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Crypto-based prediction market bullish on Eileen Higgins in Miami Mayor’s race

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Miami’s election is less than a week away, and online prediction markets have Eileen Higgins as the favorite in the city’s overcrowded Mayor’s race.

Higgins, a thrice-elected Miami-Dade County Commissioner, is far and away the front-runner — based on traders’ expectations — among four top candidates listed on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market where users trade shares on outcomes of future events using cryptocurrency.

The platform shows that 66% of traders believe Higgins will come out on top of a field of 13 candidates competing to succeed term-limited Mayor Francis Suarez.

As of Wednesday morning, $4,733 had been traded on Higgins winning.

Former Miami Commissioner Ken Russell, a fellow Democrat, sits at second place in the contest. Former City Manager Emilio González, a Republican, is in third with 12%, while independent former Miami-Dade Commissioner and ex-Miami Mayor Xavier Suarez has a 4% shot, according to traders.

While buys on Higgins winning jumped by 19 percentage points since Tuesday morning — the sharpest upward change since Polymarket opened trading on the Miami election in late July — buys on Russell, González and Suarez losing increased between 4% and 9%.

Image via Polymarket.

Several others in the race — including Miami Commissioner Joe Carollo and former Commissioner Alex Díaz de la Portilla, both Republicans — didn’t file for the contest until months later and aren’t on Polymarket’s list.

Another site, offshore gambling platform Betonline.ag, shows Higgins with a 58% chance of earning the most votes, with odds at -140, meaning bettors would have to wager $140 to win $100.

Russell’s odds are +275, meaning a $100 bet on him would yield $275 in winnings. González sits at +450, while Suarez and Carollo sit at +1200 and +2000, respectively.

On Kalshi, a U.S. -regulated event-futures exchange that the Atlantic described as “making a mockery of state gambling bans,” buyers can take positions on which political party Miami’s next Mayor will belong to.

Sixty-six percent of buyers believe that person will be a Democrat, while the remaining 34% expect a Republican to win the job.

Image via Kalshi.

Notably, Suarez and candidates Laura Anderson and Kenneth “K.J.” DeSantis have no party affiliation. And the Miami Mayor’s race is technically nonpartisan, meaning candidates’ political parties aren’t listed on the ballot.

Other Democrats running include Ellijah Bowdre and Michael Hepburn. Other Republicans in the race include Christian Cevallos, Alyssa Crocker and June Savage.

The General Election is Nov. 4.

If no candidate in a given race receives more than 50% of the vote, the top two vote-getters will compete in a runoff.

Polling from August found that Higgins had significantly more support than the race’s other participants, but not enough to avoid a runoff. The survey, commissioned by Higgins’ political committee, found González was likely to be her runoff foe.



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Woman who died after riding Universal’s Revenge of the Mummy had ruptured aneurysm

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Ma de La Luz Mejia Rosas died last month after the 70-year-old suffered a ruptured brain aneurysm on Universal’s Revenge of the Mummy ride, according to a newly released Medical Examiner’s report.

Rosas became unresponsive on Nov. 25 on the indoor roller coaster then passed away two weeks later Dec. 9 at Orlando Regional Medical Center, records showed.

“Mrs. Rosas went to the park to enjoy time with her children and grandchildren, expecting a safe and joyful experience,” lawyer Ben Crump, who is representing her family, said in a statement.

“Instead, her family is now left grieving and searching for answers. They deserve a full understanding of what happened before, during, and after this ride. We intend to thoroughly investigate the circumstances surrounding this tragedy and ensure her family’s voice is heard.”

Crump said he is asking for information about the ride’s operations, safety protocols, maintenance history and data on other incidents.

Universal did not immediately respond to a request for comment Tuesday.

Rosas’ death was publicly disclosed on a statewide theme park injury report last week.

Florida’s major theme parks are required to self-disclose all visitors’ injuries on rides if the guests were hospitalized for at least 24 hours. The report is publicly released by the Florida Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services, though it contains limited information on what went wrong and about visitors’ condition.

The theme park injury report showed 16 people had been hurt on Revenge of the Mummy since it opened in 2004. Most recently, a 32-year-old woman felt “neck pain/motion sickness” last year. A 60-year-old woman hadseizure in 2017. Other guests reported chest pain, light headedness, feeling nauseous or passing out.

Crump was previously representing the family of a man with disabilities who died in September after riding a roller coaster at Universal’s Epic Universe theme park.

The family and Universal settled out of court in a confidential settlement.

Millions of people visit Orlando’s theme parks every year, and a handful of tragedies occur.

Earlier this month, a wrongful death lawsuit was filed against The Boathouse restaurant after a man died from choking on a steak at Disney Springs last year.



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James Uthmeier endorses Jon Maples for HD 87

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‘Jon Maples brings real-life experience, strong values and a deep commitment to Florida families.’

Fresh off a commanding Republican Primary win in the Special Election for the empty House District 87 seat, former Lake Clarke Shores Council member Jon Maples has notched an endorsement from Florida’s top cop.

Attorney General James Uthmeier announced on X that he is fully behind Maples, who he said will be “a principled voice in Tallahassee.”

“Jon Maples brings real-life experience, strong values and a deep commitment to Florida families. He understands the challenges facing our state and is ready to lead with common sense,” he said.

“I’m proud to endorse Jon Maples for FL House 87.”

Uthmeier’s endorsement Tuesday adds to others from President Donald Trump, Republican Reps. Anne Gerwig, Griff Griffitts, Jon Snyder and “MAGA” Meg Weinberger, Palm Beach County Commissioner Sara Baxter, Lake Worth Beach Commissioner Mimi May, former Rep. MaryLynn Magar, the Florida House Republican Campaign Committee and business group Associated Industries of Florida.

Maples won last Tuesday’s Primary with 84% of the vote over one opponent. He’s set to face Democrat Emily Gregory, who took 88% of the vote against a single Primary foe.

The winner of the March 24 Special Election will succeed former Republican Rep. Mike Caruso, who vacated the HD 87 seat in August for an appointed post as Palm Beach County Clerk and Comptroller.

HD 87 covers Palm Beach County’s coast from Juno Beach south to Lantana, spanning Palm Beach Gardens, Jupiter, and Hypoluxo along the way.



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Stacy Hahn files to challenge GOP incumbent Donna Cameron Cepeda in Hillsborough Commission race

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Republican Hillsborough County School Board member Stacy Hahn has filed to run for the Hillsborough County Commission, challenging another Republican in a gambit for the countywide District 5 seat.

Hahn, who has served on the Hillsborough County School Board since 2018, announced her candidacy by citing her experience with the School District as evidence of her fiscal responsibility and belief in limited government.

The countywide District 5 seat is currently held by incumbent Republican Commissioner Donna Cameron Cepeda, who won election in 2022 as part of a broader GOP sweep that flipped control of the Hillsborough County Commission

The race is already drawing significant attention, with well-funded Democratic challenger Neil Manimala also vying to claim the seat. Manimala has a significant lead in funds raised, with his campaign already reporting more than $121,000 compared to $6,000 raised by Cepeda, according to Supervisor of Elections records. Hahn has not yet been required to submit a funding report.

Hahn described herself as a conservative who supports limited government and fiscal discipline, arguing that government is most effective when it empowers individuals, families and businesses rather than expanding bureaucracy.

In a statement, Hahn said her time on the School Board gave her a firsthand view of how county-level decisions affect classrooms, neighborhoods and the local economy, touching on issues such as public safety, infrastructure, housing affordability and budgeting.

“As a School Board member, I worked closely with families, educators, and community partners, and I saw firsthand how county decisions impact our classrooms, neighborhoods, and local economy — from public safety and infrastructure to housing affordability and responsible budgeting,” Hahn said.

“Hillsborough County is a unique and beautiful place with tremendous potential. To unlock that potential, we need common-sense leadership at the County Center — leaders who are focused on improving quality of life for every neighborhood, supporting local businesses, and being responsible stewards of taxpayer dollars.”

First elected to the School Board in 2018, Hahn has focused her tenure on financial transparency, literacy initiatives, workforce and career pathways, and early childhood education. She has pointed to her oversight of the School District’s roughly $4.4 billion budget and management of the county’s largest employer as preparation for the demands of county government, saying that experience helped her balance budgets, manage growth and deliver results.

Hahn has also been involved in a range of community and nonprofit efforts, including literacy- and STEM-focused programs, according to her campaign materials. She lives in Tampa with her husband, Jeff, their three children, Ethan, Jackson and Aidan, and their dog Rocky.

Hahn said she is “excited about the work ahead and the opportunity to serve.”



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