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China swoops in to replace Asian USAID projects axed by Trump

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The U.S. canceled two aid projects in Cambodia in late February—one to encourage child literacy and another to improve nutrition and development for kids under five. A week later, China’s aid agency announced funding for programs to achieve almost identical goals.

“Children are the future of the country and the nation,” China’s ambassador to Cambodia Wang Wenbin said at the event, standing next to the country’s health minister and a UNICEF official. “We should care for the healthy growth of children together.” 

While China’s announcement didn’t include a dollar figure, the Chinese money essentially funds the same types of initiatives and development goals as efforts terminated as part of the Trump administration’s dismantling of USAID, according to two people with knowledge of the U.S. projects, who weren’t authorized to speak publicly. 

Both focused on “inclusive education” and the “most vulnerable children,” according to news releases and procurement documents. They both provided school supplies, offering hand-washing materials and improving outcomes for “vulnerable” families and households, newborns and children with disabilities, according to the people. 

The price tag for the U.S. programs—$40 million—was small compared with the $27.7 billion in savings the Trump administration said this week it saved by axing thousands of aid contracts. But for Cambodia, whose national GDP is roughly equivalent to that Vermont, it was a big sum, and replacing lost foreign funds has been a priority.

The State Department, which oversees USAID and may now absorb the agency entirely, said in a statement that the U.S. was funding aid programs that make Americans wealthier and more secure. At the same time, it said the U.S. had achieved “significant progress” by investing in Cambodia’s development over the past 30 years, “partnering closely” with the government.

“Despite changes in the U.S. approach to foreign assistance, we hope to see our relationship with Cambodia productively mature as we make America safer, stronger, and more prosperous,” the department added in the statement. 

The contracts were terminated on Feb. 26 after President Donald Trump and adviser Elon Musk launched a sweeping overhaul of U.S. foreign assistance, which included dismantling the U.S. Agency for International Development.

Although it’s only one example, it appears to confirm fears voiced by Democratic and some Republican lawmakers, aid advocates and former U.S. officials: By slashing foreign aid, Trump is giving China an easy opportunity to fill a vacuum and gain a soft-power advantage in countries where the global adversaries compete for influence.

That’s especially urgent in Cambodia, where the U.S. has spent roughly $1 billion since the 1990s. Washington has long waged an uphill battle with China in Southeast Asia, and Cambodia in particular. The Biden administration raised concerns about Chinese military influence at the country’s Ream Naval Base over the last four years. 

But more recently, the U.S. has moved to strengthen defense ties with the government in Phnom Penh, which granted an American warship access to Ream for the first time late last year.

‘Diplomatic gift’

“It’s a diplomatic gift” to China, said Charles Kenny, a senior fellow at the Center for Global Development. “In every country where there’s a serious USAID cut, if they put a small amount of money into a health and education project and say, ‘Look, we’re ramping up,’ that does seem to be a bit of a publicity gift for them. And I’m sure they’re smart enough to take it.”

Since the Trump administration moved to shut down USAID, terminate most of its foreign aid contracts, and furlough or place on leave most of its employees, U.S. lawmakers, development experts and national security professionals have highlighted the geopolitical risks of curtailing U.S. foreign aid in the developing world. 

Many of those lawmakers and experts have warned that China could move in, gaining further influence over developing nations after wooing officials in Africa, Asia and South America for years with tens of billions in loans focused mostly on infrastructure through Beijing’s Belt and Road Initiative. 

And it certainly has. China already announced funding for a Cambodian de-mining initiative that was dropped, and later restored, by the U.S. In mid-March, Beijing also announced an early childhood development project in Rwanda, where USAID recently curtailed contracts. And Chinese officials have reportedly offered to make up for funding gaps in Nepal, nestled between India and China. 

Will Parks, the Cambodia representative for the United Nations Children’s Fund, said in a statement that the organization and Cambodia signed a partnership with China in 2024, based on a proposal from 2022. It was launched earlier this month and “complements” funding from other nations, Parks said.   

“Cambodia has made tremendous progress for children over the past decade,” he said. “But further reductions of aid budgets could jeopardize these hard-won achievements.”

Cambodia’s government was explicit about drawing a link.

“The Cambodian government works with many partners, and we never rely on any one partner exclusively,” government spokesman Pen Bona said via text message in response to questions. “So if one partner withdraws support, we seek to find another partner to replace it.”

China “will continue to provide assistance to economic and social development” in Cambodia “under the framework of South-South cooperation,” the Chinese Foreign Ministry said in a statement.

“China’s aid policy remains consistent and clear,” the Foreign Ministry continued. “China’s principles of non-interference, not attaching any political strings, not giving empty promises remain unchanged.”

In a closed-door hearing on Capitol Hill this month, Trump appointee Pete Marocco, who led the assault on USAID, was asked about the Cambodia projects and the timing of China’s swift announcement, according to one person familiar with the session. Marocco brushed off concerns about China increasing its influence, this person said. 

Marocco did not respond to a request for comment. 

While Trump’s team have said the canceled projects brought no benefits to Americans, Diana Putman, who retired as USAID’s acting assistant administrator for Africa, said the agency’s billions in foreign assistance helped give U.S. ambassadors a crucial advantage.

“Their leverage and ability to make a difference in terms of foreign policy in that country is backed up by the money that they bring, and in the Global South that money is primarily the money that USAID has,” Putman said.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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Some US oil executives see disaster in Trump’s agenda while dismissing ‘drill, baby, drill’ as a ‘myth and populist rallying cry’

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  • The Dallas Fed’s latest energy survey revealed deep skepticism among executives toward President Donald Trump’s tariffs and oil-production agenda. In anonymous comments, respondents decried the uncertainty and higher costs of tariffs while predicting that trying to lower crude prices to $50 a barrel would reduce production instead of expand it.

In anonymous comments collected by the Dallas Fed, some US oil and gas executives didn’t pull their punches as they criticized key policies of President Donald Trump.

Most respondents decried the uncertainty and higher costs from his tariffs, while others said plans to sharply lower crude prices are incompatible with a major expansion in energy production.

“The administration’s chaos is a disaster for the commodity markets. ‘Drill, baby, drill’ is nothing short of a myth and populist rallying cry. Tariff policy is impossible for us to predict and doesn’t have a clear goal. We want more stability,” one executive said.

The White House didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

Trump has already slapped tariffs on China, Canada, Mexico, steel, aluminum and autos, while threatening duties on pharmaceuticals, chips, lumber and the European Union. He has said reciprocal tariffs will be unveiled on April 2, though he is reportedly pushing for even more aggressive levies and potentially a universal duty.

The on-again, off-again rollout of Trump’s prior tariffs has given businesses and consumers whiplash. Meanwhile, US refineries import oil from Canada and Mexico, while producers rely on imported metals for drilling operations.

Despite pumping record amounts of oil during the Biden administration, the energy industry largely backed Trump and celebrated his return to office.

But Trump officials have since targeted oil as part of their strategy to cool inflation and induce the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. In particular, the administration has suggested crude at $50 a barrel, helped by a massive increase in supply from expanded production.

Now the honeymoon appears to be over, as the industry warns $50 a barrel wouldn’t be economically feasible.

“The threat of $50 oil prices by the administration has caused our firm to reduce its 2025 and 2026 capital expenditures. ‘Drill, baby, drill’ does not work with $50 per barrel oil. Rigs will get dropped, employment in the oil industry will decrease, and U.S. oil production will decline as it did during COVID-19,” another oil executive warned.

Yet another said, “I have never felt more uncertainty about our business in my entire 40-plus-year career.”

To be sure, some respondents welcomed Trump’s shift away from climate-change policies and his openness to boosting exports of liquid natural gas.

But the overall tone was gloomy, and the Dallas Fed’s business activity index dropped to 3.8 in the first quarter from 6.0 in the fourth quarter

The company outlook index plunged 12 points to -4.9, suggesting pessimism among firms, and the outlook uncertainty index jumped 21 points to 43.1.

“The political climate caused by the new presidential administration appears to be creating instability. Energy markets are not exempt from the loss of public faith in all markets,” one executive said.

The Dallas Fed’s manufacturing survey last month showed that even in conservative parts of the country that voted for Trump, executives reported a collapse in business conditions amid tariff uncertainty.

That came after separate surveys from other regional Fed banks found deterioration in the economic outlook as well as plans for capital spending.

Meanwhile, consumers have turned negative too as Trump’s steep federal layoffs and tariffs weigh on their perceptions of the job market and inflation.

On Tuesday, the Conference Board’s latest survey revealed consumer confidence fell for the fourth consecutive month.

Notably, the survey’s expectations Index—which is based on consumers’ short-term outlook for income, business, and labor market conditions—fell to 65.2, the lowest level in 12 years “and well below the threshold of 80 that usually signals a recession ahead.”

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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FCC chairman orders DEI investigation into Disney, ABC

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The head of the Federal Communications Commission ordered an investigation into Walt Disney Co. and its ABC network over their diversity, equity and inclusion practices, broadening his examination of media and telecom companies for perceived discriminatory biases. 

FCC Chairman Brendan Carr directed the agency’s Enforcement Bureau to “ensure that Disney and ABC have not been violating FCC equal employment opportunity regulations by promoting invidious forms of DEI discrimination.” 

Carr specifically called out policies at Disney including its “Reimagine Tomorrow” initiative designed to advance its DEI mission and inclusion standards across ABC that require “50% of regular and recurring characters” be drawn from “underrepresented groups,” according to a letter Carr wrote to Disney Chief Executive Officer Bob Iger and posted on X on Friday. 

“Disney started out a century ago as an iconic American company,” Carr wrote. “But then something changed. Disney has now been embroiled in rounds of controversy surrounding its DEI policies.”

Since being appointed by President Donald Trump earlier this year, Carr has sent similar letters to Verizon Communications Inc. and Comcast Corp. He recently told Bloomberg that a company’s DEI practices would affect its chances of receiving merger approval.

Carr noted that Disney has recently walked back some of its DEI initiatives but said “significant concerns remain.” Earlier this year Disney said it would end the Reimagine Tomorrow program that Carr called out. The company is also removing diversity from the criteria for determining manager compensation. 

“We are reviewing the Federal Communications Commission’s letter, and we look forward to engaging with the commission to answer its questions,” a spokesperson for Disney said.

Disney’s modern remake of Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs hit theaters earlier this month under a deluge of criticism, including over casting an actress of Colombian heritage as the title character and the re-imagining of the seven dwarfs.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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Trump seeks even more aggressive tariffs to fundamentally transform the US economy and eyes a single universal duty, report says

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  • President Donald Trump is pressing his staff to take a harder stance on tariffs as part of an effort to transform the US economy, sources told the Washington Post. That could include a universal tariff that hits most imports without regard to the country of origin. The discussions come right before April 2, which Trump has billed as “Liberation Day,” when his next batch of tariffs will be unveiled.

As part of an effort to fundamentally transform the US economy, President Donald Trump has been pushing his staff to get even more aggressive on tariffs, sources told the Washington Post.

That could include a universal tariff that hits most imports, no matter which country they are from, the report said, adding that Trump views a single duty as less likely to be watered down by exemptions.

Intense discussions are ongoing ahead of April 2, which Trump has billed as “Liberation Day,” when his next batch of tariffs will be unveiled.

For now, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s “dirty 15” plan to set tariffs on the 15% of countries that the administration considers the worst trading partners is seen as the most likely outcome, according to the Post.

“There’s still a lot of options still on the table. They are considering everything and trying very hard to make the idea of a reciprocal tariff both understandable to the American public and effective,” Wilbur Ross, Trump’s commerce secretary during his first term, told the Post. “They are quite correctly exploring every alternative in the hope they come to the best possible solution.”

The White House didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.

Trump has already slapped tariffs on China, Canada, Mexico, steel, aluminum and autos, while threatening duties on pharmaceuticals, chips, lumber and the European Union.

He said reciprocal tariffs would come out on April 2, but suggested he would show some “flexibility.” And earlier reports that said those would be more targeted raised hopes on Wall Street that their impact would be less severe.

But after stocks rallied, his announcement of the auto tariffs on Wednesday contributed to another selloff, which was also fueled by signs that tariffs were worsening inflation and consumers’ expectations of future inflation.

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee recently warned that inflation expectations could become a self-fulfilling prophecy, and Boston Fed President Susan Collins has said tariff-induced inflation “looks inevitable,” adding that he suspects the central bank will hold rates steady for longer.

After their most recent policy meeting this month, Fed officials lowered their forecasts for economic growth and raised their inflation estimates, raising the specter of “stagflation.”

Meanwhile, surveys of consumers and businesses show that they are turning increasingly gloomy about the economy amid tariff uncertainty and mass federal layoffs. Even executives in deep-red states that voted for Trump say business conditions are collapsing.

And economists have been hiking recession odds, with some even seeing a 50-50 chance of a downturn.

Fitch Ratings previously estimated that If Trump carries out all his plans, the effective US tariff rate could hit 18% on average—the highest level in 90 years. 

Trump has acknowledged Americans will feel “some pain” from his tariffs but that they are necessary to revitalize US manufacturing and rebalance trade to more favorable terms.

While several companies have pledged to set up more factories in the US, Wall Street has warned that tariffs meant to reshuffle the auto sector, which has closely integrated supply chains across Canada and Mexico, will create chaos.

Still, the White House said the Trump administration is committed to delivering on his vision restore the US industrial base.

“America cannot just be an assembler of foreign-made parts—we must become a manufacturing powerhouse that dominates every step of the supply chain of industries that are critical for our national security and economic interests,” spokesman Kush Desai previously told Fortune.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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