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Casey DeSantis’ 2026 odds fall on Kalshi, near a historic low

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Though the market still has light volume, people willing to put money on the identity of the next Republican gubernatorial nominee are fading First Lady Casey DeSantis.

As of Saturday morning, the Kalshi platform affords the former newscaster just a 7% chance of winning next August’s primary, representing one of her worst showings. In late June, she had just a 5% chance according to investors, but her odds recovered thereafter.

Whether she gets a bounce or not remains to be seen.

However, Rep. Byron Donalds, who is the front-runner in the race not just for the GOP nod but the general election as well, is seen as having a 71% chance of winning.

Gov. Ron DeSantis, who has helped to promulgate the idea that his wife should be Governor for months, finally appointed a Lieutenant Governor this week: former Sen. Jay Collins.

If the Governor senses any urgency for a preferred candidate of his to enter the race, he wouldn’t say when asked directly this week.

“Politics will take care of itself. I mean, we have a whole year before we even have a Primary, and so that’s a lifetime in politics,” DeSantis said at the Hillsborough County Sheriff’s Office.

Regarding the First Lady, the Governor said “people have asked her to do things because they know she’s a dynamic speaker, very eloquent, very accomplished,” but added that being Governor is “not anything she … has ever outwardly sought.”

Collins isn’t being considered as a Kalshi option yet. And DeSantis suggests the jury is still out on whether he should run.

“I have confidence that he could do the job as Governor and do it well,” DeSantis said of Collins. “Now, when you talk about someone running, you know, there’s people that could be a good Governor who may not be able to be a good candidate. There are some candidates who could be good, who’d be lousy Governors. It doesn’t necessarily go one or the other, right?”


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North Florida Land Trust publishes book documenting a quarter century of land preservation

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Floridians can now read all about it when it comes to the North Florida Land Trust (NFLT).

The nonprofit environmental conservation organization has only been around since 1999. But in that time, the NFLT has overseen tens of thousands of acres of land preservation in North Florida. Now, a new book, “Keeping North Florida Wild,” is celebrating the group’s quarter century as one of the most influential conservation organizations in the state.

“This book gives people a way to visualize our accomplishments and impact as well as understand the significant role conservation has in Florida. It showcases why we must continue our mission to preserve these important natural spaces, because it truly is now or never,” said Allison DeFoor, NFLT President and CEO.

“I think our team did an incredible job, and I especially want to thank Sarah Hande, our communications officer, who took the lead on putting this book together. She really did a wonderful job, and I can’t wait for everyone to read it.”

The book includes photo essays and additional commentary from Mark Woods, an opinion columnist with The Florida Times-Union newspaper in Jacksonville. “Keeping North Florida Wild” can be bought online and delivered.

The NFLT has had a productive 2025 in terms of land acquisitions. The organization has added thousands of acres to what’s called the Ocala to Osceola wildlife corridor, which runs through several counties.

The organization also picked up some surprise donations in November. The NFLT announced it received an unexpected $100,000 in donations. Much of that money came from Heather and Herve Devos, while two anonymous donors made up for the remaining portion.

The contribution to the NFLT comes at a critical time, as the environmental preservation organization is engaged in its end-of-year fundraising campaign. The nonprofit group is aiming to raise $500,000 in contributions by Dec. 31. The NFLT is also promising to match each dollar up to $100,000 for those donations, “amplifying the power of every gift to protect North Florida’s natural resources.”

The NFLT operates on donations to cover its operating costs. The year-end fundraising campaign helps the organization expand its land acquisition efforts.



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Pudge controls the weather, not Erika Donalds

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Pudge controls the weather,” is a semi-famous and entirely adorable line from Lilo and Stitch, in which the cartoon little girl feeds Pudge, a fish, a peanut butter sandwich every Thursday to ensure favorable conditions.

As endearing a moment that was in what has become a modern Disney classic, it’s also understood to be complete fiction.

But don’t tell that to CBS, whose team of reporters apparently think it’s actually Erika Donalds who controls the weather.

At issue is a report published last week by CBS reporters Michael Kaplan, Mark Strassmann, and Emma Nicholson, with help from several other CBS reporters, outlining the delayed opening of Optima Classical Academy in Fort Myers. It was supposed to open in late 2024, but didn’t because of ongoing impacts from Hurricane Ian, which struck the area as a Category 5 hurricane, causing catastrophic devastation throughout the community from both wind and flood damage. Recovery efforts led to delays in opening the school this year, too, though it is still authorized under law to open next year.

The CBS piece has the look and feel of a hard-hitting investigative piece — it’s long and has catchy sub-heads — but its findings don’t uncover much.

The headline points to “parents scrambling” after the school didn’t open on time. The main sub-headline says Donalds “defended millions paid to vendors she was tied to.”

But the story itself is mostly just commentary from a couple of parents frustrated with their kids’ lack of options giving the Optima Classical Academy delay, one of whom even acknowledges she “had all our eggs in that basket.” This doesn’t project a problem with choice. Instead, it only punctuates the need for more choice programs — including charter schools like the ones Donalds launches.

Donalds, wife of U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds, has become a leading voice in the school choice movement not just in Florida, but across the nation. She has successfully opened four classical charter schools in the state, a growing trend of schools that emphasize Eurocentric education that begins allowing students to explore primary documents such as the U.S. Constitution much earlier than traditional public curricula allows.

It’s become a popular choice among parents who worry about what many describe as “woke” education in public schools. And yes, it sucks that the early 300 parents in Fort Myers who selected Optima Classical Academy for their children are left waiting.

But assigning blame for that to Donalds rather than to the act of God that created the delay is a stretch at best.

“It is sexist — but not surprising — that CBS would choose to attack an accomplished businesswoman with a strong record of starting successful charter schools and providing thousands of students with an excellent education. Erika Donalds has been a leading voice in advancing school choice nationwide, both through policy and helping launch new schools. Her leadership has helped make Florida’s education landscape a national model for education freedom and innovation, her expertise continues to be sought by policymakers across America, and her dedication and lifelong commitment have expanded access to quality educational opportunities for children who need and deserve them,” said Danielle Alvarez, senior advisor to U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds’ campaign for Governor.

While Hurricane Ian made landfall near Fort Myers in late 2022, the Category 5 storm caused one of the longest and most complex disaster recoveries in U.S. history. Even three years after the storm, news coverage in Southwest Florida was still highlighting recovery challenges and progress, with numerous rebuilding efforts still underway. As anyone with experience recovering from hurricane devastation will tell you, the large-scale recovery affects areas far outside of landfall, with construction resources spread thin and exacerbating timelines.

But despite the CBS story’s failure to accurately portray what has happened with Optima’s delay, the piece actually does get some facts right, even if not in context.

For example, the story notes that “state data shows when it came to academic performance, one of the schools (Donalds opened) quickly excelled.” It also includes important context that the Fort Myers school “had yet to receive any taxpayer funding,” though it is still operating under the parameters of its approved charter agreement allowing it to open by 2026. Even in an example cited outlining areas of concern in academic performance at one Optima-run school, the CBS story correctly notes that academic performance improved after the independent audit, which was commissioned specifically to uncover areas of continued opportunity.

The piece cites a spokesperson for Donalds, who said the school’s improvement shows “how a supportive environment, committed teachers, and high expectations can help children thrive.”

But perhaps worst of all in what amounts to a cleverly disguised hit piece against Donalds, the story attempts to lead readers to believe Donalds made improper financial gain from the charter schools she opened or planned to open, arguing some charter school funds at schools that had already opened were spent on outside firms with ties to Donalds. But the information is framed in a derogatory way, despite later noting the firms “landed the schools a good price on payroll expenses, IT and other back-office services” and that each school “is owned and governed by its own independent nonprofit board, which is responsible for oversight and decision-making.”

Nevertheless, the narrative is framed in such a way that paints Donalds as the villain.

But sure, I guess we’ll just start feeding Donalds peanut butter sandwiches on Thursdays and hope for the best.



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As Gov. DeSantis’ Florida explores AI checks, Donald Trump promises preemption

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President Donald Trump is poised to set federal guidance for artificial intelligence that could preclude regulations that states like Florida and Governors like Ron DeSantis might want to enact.

“There must be only One Rulebook if we are going to continue to lead in AI. We are beating ALL COUNTRIES at this point in the race, but that won’t last long if we are going to have 50 States, many of them bad actors, involved in RULES and the APPROVAL PROCESS,” Trump posted to Truth Social.

“THERE CAN BE NO DOUBT ABOUT THIS! AI WILL BE DESTROYED IN ITS INFANCY! I will be doing a ONE RULE Executive Order this week. You can’t expect a company to get 50 Approvals every time they want to do something. THAT WILL NEVER WORK.”

The President’s comments come as the Florida House prepares to begin a week of committee meetings addressing AI, and after DeSantis has spent months fretting about the impacts of the technological inevitability and teasing statewide regulations to address it.

The House is holding meetings starting Tuesday revolving around what Speaker Daniel Perez calls “the potentially positive and negative impacts of the use of AI in their respective jurisdictions.”

The House Economic Infrastructure Subcommittee will tackle utility costs related to data centers. The House Careers & Workforce Subcommittee plans to explore “Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Work: Opportunities, Challenges, and Workforce Readiness.” And the House Information Technology Budget & Policy Subcommittee will examine “Examples of artificial intelligence use in state agencies and options for the future.”

Meanwhile, DeSantis is prioritizing a so-called “AI Bill of Rights” that is designed to counter what he calls an “age of darkness and deceit.”

Exploitative depictions concern the Governor. He said he wants the law to “do things like fortify some of the protections we have in place for things like deepfakes and use of explicit material, particularly those that depict minors.”

Foreign control also worries him.

DeSantis vows not to “allow any state or local government agency to utilize Chinese-created AI tools when they’re doing data here in the state of Florida.”

Other proposed protections include ensuring “that data inputted into AI is secure and private.”

Additionally, people dealing with insurance companies may have recourse against claims being determined by AI rather than humans, and lawyers’ clients could be protected from the technology being used to write briefs and filings.

DeSantis also wants the legislation to rein in data centers by capping utility rates that could be driven up by them, banning subsidies to build them, prohibiting them in agriculturally-zoned areas, issuing statewide noise regulations, and embracing the oft-trampled concept of home rule to allow local jurisdictions to ban them.

He also expects emergent legislation to “provide more parental rights … to ensure parents can access conversations their child has with one of these LLM (large language model) chatbots. Parents will be able to set parameters from when the child can access any of these platforms, and there will be notifications for parents required if the child exhibits concerning behavior.”

DeSantis has decried overstretched stock market valuations for “Mag 7” companies Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla, all of which are in the AI space. He has also suggested the “Founding Fathers” would hate the technology, and argued it will be used to perpetuate fraud.

Despite these qualms, Trump will move forward.



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