Breeders’ Cup 2025 Recap: Let ’em Run Looks Back on a Classic Weekend
Breeders’ Cup 2025 is in the books, and there were plenty of storylines and “could’ve, should’ve, would’ve” moments for all handicappers. The Classic saw Forever Young finally break through for the Japanese connections with a win for the ages. The Euros drove home some big prices in the Turf races, as they often do.
Breeders’ Cup 2026 will be held at the much-anticipated new Belmont Racing facility. So here is a breakdown of how Let ’em Run fared in the 2025 Breeders’ Cup on Saturday.
Race 4 — BC Filly & Mare Sprint
Top Longshot #2 Splendora got to the winner’s circle and paid $7.80. Top Pick #8 Hope Road got the show spot in this race.
Race 5 — BC Turf Sprint
We threw up an airball here, as #10 Shisospicy ran away from the field and paid $12.60.
Race 6 — BC Sprint
Back on track as Top Pick #10 Bentornato got the win and paid $5.40.
Race 7 — BC Distaff
Airball number two, as longshot #4 Scylla, from the potent duo of trainer Bill Mott and jockey Junior Alvarado, wore the winner’s blanket and paid $17.20.
Race 8 — BC Turf
These marathon turf races often lead to big payouts, and this was no exception. Euro runner #14 Ethical Diamond ran down the field and paid $57.40 for the win. We did not have it, but our Top Pick #10 El Cordobes finished third and paid $10.00.
Race 9 — BC Classic
This was one for the ages, and we were locked in, as our Top Pick #5 Forever Young stamped himself as one of the best for the Japanese contingent. The win money paid a nice $9.00.
Race 10 — BC Turf Mile
Top contender #4 The Lion in Winter could only hit the board in third place. The winner, #2 Notable Speech, looked impressive for the dynamic team of trainer Charles Appleby and jockey William Buick.
Race 11 — BC Dirt Mile
Top Pick #7 Citizen Bull ran his heart out trying to wire the field but was run down late by favorite #3 Nysos. Citizen Bull paid $5.20 for the effort.
Race 12 — BC Filly & Mare Turf
The Breeders’ Cup concluded late into the night on the East Coast at 8:25. This marathon turf race put another Euro longshot in the winner’s circle. #5 Gezora took home top prize and paid $20.20. Our Top Pick #6 Diamond Rain hit the board in third place.
Reflections and What’s Next
So, nine total races handicapped, and two of our nine top plays found the winner’s circle, including the Classic winner. We also had a longshot play (though not much of one at 5/2) in Race 4. Not a total disaster of a day—but not good enough, either. These meets are very tough to handicap because of the quality of the horses, but we are evolving and always learning.
As we close the door on this year’s Breeders’ Cup, we open another—to the year ahead. Nearly a year is in the books for this podcast and column, and while we’ve made strides, we just have to get better overall. The pursuit of sharper insights, stronger opinions, and better results never stops.
This week, Aqueduct kicks off its Fall Meet, and John and I will dive deep into the late Pick 5. We’ll also break down a great race at Churchill Downs on Saturday, the River City Stakes (G3, $300K)—a classy turf race for 3-year-olds and upward. A field of 11 is signed on to run, so tune in to Friday’s Happy Hour at 3 p.m., when Let ’em Run will dissect that race and continue our betting strategies review.
Then on Saturday at 12:30 p.m., we’ll break down Aqueduct’s late Pick 5, featuring three quality stakes races in the sequence. Both podcasts can be seen on Capital Sports Network, and you can read our insights on racing at Sports Talk Florida.
As always, thanks for joining us—here’s to improvement, consistency, and passion for the game we love.
The sparring between Major League Baseball Commissioner Rob Manfred and the Executive Director of the Major League Baseball Players Association Tony Clark continues as MLB gets ready for the 2026 season. The collective bargaining agreement between the players and the owners ends in December and the central issue seems to be this. The owners want cost certainty which could mean a salary cap and the players want no part of that. There is also the question of how much the owners are really hurting financially when the Los Angeles Dodgers owners can give Kyle Tucker a $64 million signing bonus within a four-year deal reportedly worth $240 million and the owner of the New York Mets franchise Steve Cohen can hand out a three-year deal to Bo Bichette that reportedly is worth $126 million. Of course, New York and Los Angeles are the two biggest markets in the country with a lot of wealth. It is the small market owners who are going to tell Manfred that cannot compete with the Dodgers and the Mets.
Manfred is trying to put a positive spin on the negotiations. “Until I got elected commissioner, all I did was labor relations. That’s how I made my living. I’ve never been in a negotiation where, before the first piece of paper went across the table, I, or anyone I represented, was out there saying, ‘This, we absolutely will not talk about.’ I just think it’s a hard way to begin a negotiation.” The players put out a statement that contradicts Manfred. “The league and owners say they want to avoid missing games but at the same time they appear to be dead-set on trying to force players into a system that, the last time they proposed it, led to the most missed games ever and a cancelled World Series” in 1994. The sniping continues.
Luke Littler 8 – 5 Michael van Gerwen(best of 15 legs)
Reigning double world champion and world number one Luke Littler bounced back from his Bahrain setback to win the Saudi Arabia Darts Masters on the eve of his 19th birthday, rounding off a sensational day by defeating Michael van Gerwen 8–5 in a high-quality final.
Littler had to come from behind in a hard-fought quarter-final against Gian van Veen, before exacting revenge on Gerwyn Price in the semi-final, having lost to the Welshman at last week’s event in Bahrain.
‘The Nuke’ then started off like a bullet train against van Gerwen, racing into a 4–0 lead in a matter of minutes while averaging a remarkable 114. ‘Mighty Mike’, to his credit, raised his level to haul it back to 4–3, only to miss three darts at double 10 to draw level.
From there, Littler regained his edge, and despite pressure from the Dutchman, got over the line with a superb 11-darter to seal the victory.
Explosive darts action in a restrained atmosphere in Riyadh
If the sport is judged purely on the competition itself, then the crowd were treated to a spectacular showcase of darts at its very best. van Gerwen illustrated that range perfectly, averaging just 87 in a laboured quarter-final win over Stephen Bunting before lifting his level dramatically to post 100-plus averages in both his semi-final and final.
Then there was Littler, who had to produce his best to overcome three opponents in high-quality encounters, while surprise quarter-finalist Man Lok Leung impressed by pushing Nathan Aspinall all the way. From a purely sporting perspective, it was the kind of day any darts fan would happily lap up.
But Riyadh had never hosted a PDC event before, and it showed. Without the usual fancy dress, constant noise and crowd-led momentum that darts thrives on, the atmosphere was noticeably muted from start to finish.
Culturally, that is understandable and works well enough for many sports, but darts is different. The gap in understanding was evident when the crowd greeted an early sub-50 checkout with the same muted enthusiasm as a ton-plus finish later on, flattening moments that would normally lift the room.
The players would have felt it too. Darts players feed off the crowd in different ways, and there was little coming back at them to draw energy from. Most are media-trained to not criticise openly, although Nathan Aspinall did suggest that the crowd were still finding their way with the finer details of the sport, and some may even have been ringers.
As a first staging of the event, lessons will inevitably be learned and things may improve when darts returns to the Kingdom. One thing is certain – Saudi Arabia rarely loosens its grip once it has a sport in its grasp, and it is unlikely to be content in the long term with hosting a solitary, minor tournament while the game itself is still shaking off the afterglow of the World Championship.
But if the sport is to truly thrive here long term, a balance will need to be found between local traditions and the atmosphere that has long been part of what makes darts what it is.
Tune în Wednesday for a special show from Tampa Bay Downs
Let ‘em Run Special Wednesday Podcast LIVE from Tampa Bay Downs
Midweek racing brings fresh opportunity, sharper opinions, and real-time insight from the track. This Wednesday, Let ‘em Run takes the show on the road with live analysis straight from Tampa Bay Downs. With strong angles, value-driven plays, and boots on the ground, this special edition delivers the kind of edge horseplayers look for during the week.
Be sure to tune in on Wednesday at 12:30 PM EST for our special “Boots on the Ground” segment. John Kostin will be live from Tampa Bay Downs and joined by guest handicapper Wadie Khalaf. Together, they will break down the card with a sharp focus on the Late P5 and key spot plays, including the always-popular Bro’s BRISnet Play of the Day. You can catch the show live on Sports Talk Media Network, along with multiple streaming apps and social channels. Let’s take a closer look at a few races that stand out.
Tampa Bay Downs | Wednesday 1/21/26
Race 2 | 12:20 PM EST
This race offers a strong opinion with limited value, but there is still a way to make it pay. The #5 Uncashed sits at 2-1 on the morning line and owns a +10 BRISnet Prime Power advantage over the rest of the field. That edge pushes the projected win percentage to around 55%. He also profiles as the lone “E” type in the race, which strengthens the pace advantage. Trainer numbers support the play as well, with a 31% win rate when sending out runners who won last time out.
Since the price will likely drop, the value shifts to a double play. The suggested approach is a $50 double using 5 with 9 and 10 in Race 3. The outside posts win often in that race, and the odds should offer a better return.
Race 8 | 3:55 PM EST
This race sets up nicely for another BRISnet-based angle and should provide a fairer price at post time. The #1 Paynter’s Prodigy sits at 3-1 and checks several important boxes. He is an “E” type, owns the highest last-race speed figure, and also tops the field in early TimeformUS Pace.
The only other true speed appears to be #12 Chico Charlie at 6-1, but that runner draws a tough, ground-losing outside post. The price on the #1 may drift up, as jockey Wesley Ho remains capable but does not draw heavy public support. That scenario could create solid betting value.
All three of us will share insights and opinions on the full Late P5 during the live podcast. Be sure to tune in. Bet smart, cheer hard, fast horses equal serious fun, and as always, Let ‘em Run.