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A sports bettor turned $15 into $140K from a 3-leg parlay. It’s the exception to the risky bet making sportsbooks billions

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A small risk seldom leads to a big reward, but it’s certainly not impossible. Last week, a sports betting customer won more than $142,000 from a three-leg parlay, wagering three NFL tight ends would score the first touchdowns of their respective games, DraftKings posted on X. The initial wager was just $15.

The exponentially larger hit from a meager wager is the temptation of a parlay. It’s a type of betting that, instead of requiring a singular win to cash out on a bet, relies on a string of winning scenarios that—while unlikely to all happen—allows winnings to snowball from a two-digit wager to a six-figure payout. The seemingly low-risk, high-reward form of gambling has taken the sports betting world by storm.

“The real appeal of them is the kind of insane payout rate,” Joshua Grubbs, an associate professor at the University of New Mexico who studies gambling addiction, told Fortune. “You see small number, big payoff, which is appealing to people because it sounds like an amazing possibility.”

Though the winning bettors may seem like the big winners, it’s the sportsbooks that have cashed in on the growing fever surrounding sports betting. In 2024, the hobby generated $13.71 billion, a 25.4% increase from 2023, according to state regulatory data compiled by the American Gaming Association. 

Parlays are often the rainmakers for sportsbooks, with more than 70% of NFL and NBA bets on FanDuel coming from parlays in 2023, according to FanDuel parent company Flutter Entertainment.Parlays made up 56% of sports betting revenue in Illinois, New Jersey, and Colorado in 2021, The Wall Street Journal reported earlier this year. According to Rutgers University’s Center for Gambling Studies, New Jersey bettors lost $1.41 per dollar won in parlays in 2020. That’s compared to a $1.05 to $1 loss ratio for whole moneyline bets.

Moreover, parlay bets are getting more complicated as time goes on, decreasing the chances of winning. In 2020, the most popular parlays had five legs, Rutgers reported. The year before, two-leg parlays were the most popular.

“The notion of a parlay in general is so statistically unlikely to happen that it is one of the surest fire ways for the sportsbooks to just make the money off that,” Grubbs said.

The rise of parlays

The sports betting industry rocketed to success after a 2018 Supreme Court decision effectively struck down a ban on sports gambling, paving the way for 38 states to legalize the practice. Its popularity has even permeated the sports industry itself: This week the NCAA took a step forward in allowing athletes and department staff members to wager on professional sports following a Division I Administrative Committee approval of the shift.

With a swath of apps taking betting from the casino to one’s pocket, the industry has captured the interest of Gen Z, who saw a 7% year-over-year increase in online sports betting activity as of 2025’s second quarter, TransUnion found in a report released last month. The accessibility of online sportsbooks has capitalized on Gen Z’s love of gambling, with enthusiasts defending the practice as a form of investment.

For parlay betting in particular, there’s a dearth of research on why exactly it makes sportsbook customers tick, Shane Kraus, an associate professor of psychology at University of Nevada, Las Vegas, told Fortune. He said the betting type’s personalizable features (users can select the different legs of their parlays) as well as the ability to create bets after a game has started, make them especially appealing. Beyond offering incentives to refer platforms to others, emerging apps have also created ways to bet alongside friends, setting up leaderboards and teams of other users.

Then, of course, there’s the research suggesting alcohol consumption, often associated with sports spectating, is associated with larger wagers and more rapid loss of money.

“You’re excited, you’re upset, you’re drinking, and you’re watching a football game, and then you start doing parlays or live bets—I don’t think you’re probably going to make the best decisions,” Kraus said.

But Kraus, who studies gambling disorders, attributes the growing popularity of parlays less to the users, and more to the sportsbooks. Though sportsbooks’ advertising spending has remained flat at around $666 million in 2024, according to Neilson Ad Intel, Kraus said messaging from sportsbooks is everywhere, including during games and matches, when commentators walk viewers through over-under odds and parlays.

“It is creating a culture where it’s just all about money,” he said

Cracking down on sports betting platforms

Kraus said he fears there’s not enough being done of the apps to assuage users from placing more bets, or at least slowing them down. Gambling addiction, which impacts a little over 1% of the population, has led some to gamble away unemployment checks and even lose their homes.

Sports betting platforms, for their part, have made moves to put safeguards in place. FanDuel has set up a review system on its platform to look at a user’s hours on the site or language used with customer service teams that could trigger a review, the outcome of which could exclude a player from the platform through a “time-out” or imposing a deposit limit, a spokesperson told Fortune. About 90% of same-game parlays on the platform have a wager of $30 or less and 60% are for $5 or less.

“Our customers understand that these are fun, entertaining bets with a lower likelihood of winning,” the spokesperson said in a statement.

But University of New Mexico professor Grubbs noted that as long as making a wager is as easy as pressing a few buttons on a phone, “there is going to be a lot of potential for things to go sideways.”

“I don’t think these sportsbooks are out there saying, ‘Oh, we need to get people addicted to gambling.’ I don’t think that that’s what they’re trying to do,” Grubbs said. “I think they’re trying to make their product as accessible and appealing as possible, to get as many people involved as possible. 

“And what’s the net effect of that? Well, the net effect of that is sports betting has exponentially increased since 2018,” he concluded.

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Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi says company will be worth $1 trillion by doing these three things

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Ali Ghodsi, the CEO and cofounder of data intelligence company Databricks, is betting his privately held startup can be the latest addition to the trillion-dollar valuation club.

In August, Ghodsi told the Wall Street Journalthat he believed Databricks, which is reportedly in talks toraise funding at a $134 billion valuation, had “a shot to be a trillion-dollar company.” At Fortune’s Brainstorm AI conference in San Francisco on Tuesday, he explained how it would happen, laying out a “trifecta” of growth areas to ignite the company’s next leg of growth.

The first is entering the transactional database market, the traditional territory of large enterprise players like Oracle, which Ghodsi said has remained largely “the same for 40 years.” Earlier this year, Databricks launched a link-based offering called Lakehouse, which aims to combine the capabilities of traditional databases with modern data lake storage, in an attempt to capture some of this market.

The company is also seeing growth driven by the rise of AI-powered coding. “Over 80% of the databases that are being launched on Databricks are not being launched by humans, but by AI agents,” Ghodsi said. As developers use AI tools for “vibe coding”—rapidly building software with natural language commands—those applications automatically need databases, and Ghodsi they’re defaulting to Databricks’ platform.

“That’s just a huge growth factor for us. I think if we just did that, we could maybe get all the way to a trillion,” he said.

The second growth area is Agentbricks, Databricks’ platform for building AI agents that work with proprietary enterprise data.

“It’s a commodity now to have AI that has general knowledge,” Ghodsi said, but “it’s very elusive to get AI that really works and understands that proprietary data that’s inside enterprise.” He pointed to the Royal Bank of Canada, which built AI agents for equity research analysts, as an example. Ghodsi said these agents were able to automatically gather earnings calls and company information to assemble research reports, reducing “many days’ worth of work down to minutes.”

And finally, the third piece to Ghodsi’s puzzle involves building applications on top of this infrastructure, with developers using AI tools to quickly build applications that run on Lakehouse and which are then powered by AI agents. “To get the trifecta is also to have apps on top of this. Now you have apps that are vibe coded with the database, Lakehouse, and with agents,” Ghodsi said. “Those are three new vectors for us.”

Ghodsi did not provide a timeframe for attaining the trillion-dollar goal. Currently, only a handful of companies have achieved the milestone, all of them as publicly traded companies. In the tech industry, only big tech giants like Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta have managed to cross the trillion-dollar threshold.

To reach this level would require Databricks, which is widely expected to go public sometime in early 2026, to grow its valuation roughly sevenfold from its current reported level. Part of this journey will likely also include the expected IPO, Ghodsi said.

“There are huge advantages and pros and cons. That’s why we’re not super religious about it,” Ghodsi said when asked about a potential IPO. “We will go public at some point. But to us, it’s not a really big deal.”

Could the company IPO next year? Maybe, replied Ghodsi.



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New contract shows Palantir working on tech platform for another federal agency that works with ICE

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Palantir, the artificial intelligence and data analytics company, has quietly started working on a tech platform for a federal immigration agency that has referred dozens of individuals to U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement for potential enforcement since September.

The U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services agency—which handles services including citizenship applications, family immigration, adoptions, and work permits for non-citizens—started the contract with Palantir at the end of October, and is paying the data analytics company to implement “Phase 0” of a “vetting of wedding-based schemes,” or “VOWS” platform, according to the federal contract, which was posted to the U.S. government website and reviewed by Fortune.

The contract is small—less than $100,000—and details of what exactly the new platform entails are thin. The contract itself offers few details, apart from the general description of the platform (“vetting of wedding-based schemes”) and an estimate that the completion of the contract would be Dec. 9.Palantir declined to comment on the contract or nature of the work, and USCIS did not respond to requests for comment for this story.

But the contract is notable, nonetheless, as it marks the beginning of a new relationship between USCIS and Palantir, which has had longstanding contracts with ICE, another agency of the Department of Homeland Security, since at least 2011. The description of the contract suggests that the “VOWS” platform may very well be focused on marriage fraud and related to USCIS’ recent stated effort to drill down on duplicity in applications for marriage and family-based petitions, employment authorizations, and parole-related requests.

USCIS has been outspoken about its recent collaboration with ICE. Over nine days in September, USCIS announced that it worked with ICE and the Federal Bureau of Investigation to conduct what it called “Operation Twin Shield” in the Minneapolis-St. Paul area, where immigration officials investigated potential cases of fraud in immigration benefit applications the agency had received. The agency reported that its officers referred 42 cases to ICE over the period. In a statement published to the USCIS website shortly after the operation, USCIS director Joseph Edlow said his agency was “declaring an all-out war on immigration fraud” and that it would “relentlessly pursue everyone involved in undermining the integrity of our immigration system and laws.” 

“Under President Trump, we will leave no stone unturned,” he said.

Earlier this year, USCIS rolled out updates to its policy requirements for marriage-based green cards, which have included more details of relationship evidence and stricter interview requirements.

While Palantir has always been a controversial company—and one that tends to lean into that reputation no less—the new contract with USCIS is likely to lead to more public scrutiny. Backlash over Palantir’s contracts with ICE have intensified this year amid the Trump Administration’s crackdown on immigration and aggressive tactics used by ICE to detain immigrants that have gone viral on social media. Not to mention, Palantir inked a $30 million contract with ICE earlier this year to pilot a system that will track individuals who have elected to self-deport and help ICE with targeting and enforcement prioritization. There has been pushback from current and former employees of the company alike over contracts the company has with ICE and Israel.

In a recent interview at the New York Times DealBook Summit, Karp was asked on stage about Palantir’s work with ICE and later what Karp thought, from a moral standpoint, about families getting separated by ICE. “Of course I don’t like that, right? No one likes that. No American. This is the fairest, least bigoted, most open-minded culture in the world,” Karp said. But he said he cared about two issues politically: immigration and “re-establishing the deterrent capacity of America without being a colonialist neocon view. On those two issues, this president has performed.”



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CoreWeave CEO: Despite see-sawing stock, IPO was ‘incredibly successful’ amid challenges of tariff timing

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CoreWeave has been rocked by dizzying stock swings—with its stock currently trading 52% below its post-IPO high—and a frequent target of market commentators, but CEO Michael Intrator says the company’s move to the public markets has been “incredibly successful. And he takes the public’s mixed reaction in stride, given the novelty of CoreWeave’s “neocloud” business which competes with established cloud providers like Amazon AWS and Google Cloud.

“When you introduce new models, introduce a new way of doing business, disrupt what has been a static environment, it’s going to take some people some time,” Intrator said Tuesday at Fortune’s Brainstorm AI conference in San Francisco. But, he added, more people are beginning to understand the CoreWeave’s business model.

“We came out into one of the most challenging environments,” Intrator said of CoreWeave’s March IPO, which occurred very close to President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs in April. “In spite of the incredible headwinds, we’re able to launch a successful IPO.”

CoreWeave, which priced its IPO at $40 per share, has experienced frequent severe up-and-down price swings in the eight months since its public market debut. At its closing price of $90.66 on Tuesday, the stock remains well above its IPO price.

As Fortune reported last month, CoreWeave’s rapid rise has been fueled by an aggressive, debt-heavy strategy to stand up data centers at unprecedented speed for AI customers. And for now, the bet is still paying off. In its third-quarter results released in November, the company said its revenue backlog nearly doubled in a single quarter—to $55.6 billion from $30 billion—reflecting long-term commitments from marquee clients including Meta, OpenAI, and French AI startup Poolside. Both earnings and revenue came in ahead of Wall Street expectations.

But the numbers were not all celebratory. CoreWeave disclosed a further increase in the debt it has taken on to finance its expansion, and it revised its full-year revenue outlook downward—suggesting that, even with historic demand in the pipeline.

With media headlines calling CoreWeave a “ticking time bomb,” with critics calling out insider stock sales, circular financing accusations and an overreliance on Nvidia, Intrator was asked whether he felt CoreWeave was misunderstood.

“Look, we built a company that is challenging one of the most stable businesses that exist—that cloud business, these three massive players,” he said, referring to AWS, Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud.  I feel like it’s incumbent on CoreWeave to introduce a new business model on how the cloud is going to be built and run. And that’s what we’re doing.” 

He repeatedly framed CoreWeave not as a GPU reseller or traditional data-center operator but as a company purpose-built from scratch to deliver high-performance, parallelized computing for AI workloads. That focus, he said, means designing proprietary software that orchestrates GPUs, building and colocating its own infrastructure, and moving “up the stack” through acquisitions such as Weights & Biases and OpenPipe.

Intrator also defended the company’s debt strategy, saying CoreWeave is effectively inventing a new financing model for AI infrastructure. He pointed to the company’s ability to repurpose power sources, rapidly deploy capacity, and finance large-scale clusters as proof it is solving problems incumbents never had to face.

“When I look back at history of the company, it took us a year with with a company investor like Fidelity, before they were like, ‘Oh, I get it,’” he said. “So look, we’ve been public for eight months. I couldn’t be prouder of what the company has accomplished.” 



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