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Last Call for 11.3.25 – A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida

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Last Call – A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida politics.

First Shot

Jerry Demings has worn the badge, held the gavel, and now he wants the keys to the Governor’s Mansion.

The Orange County Mayor’s entry into the 2026 race sets up a Democratic Primary between a longtime party stalwart with deep local roots and a former Republican who found a second political life speaking to disaffected moderates.

It sounds like 2014 all over again, but there are key differences. David Jolly isn’t a former Governor with a renowned pedigree in retail politics, and Demings’ name ID, while hardly universal, easily outpaces that of a state Senator two years removed from office.

Whether either can gain traction is another matter. Democrats haven’t won statewide since 2018, and the voter registration gap has not only flipped toward Republicans, but it has also ballooned well past a million.

U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds, the Naples Republican currently leading the pack, was unfazed when asked last week who he might face next year.

“Whatever the Democrats, whoever they choose to throw at us, so be it. We’ll take care of them,” Donalds vowed.

The Trump-backed Congressman’s campaign on Monday threw a jab at the new guy in the ring, saying Demings is “weak, woke and wrong for Florida.”

A University of North Florida poll backs up the confidence: Donalds leads both Jolly and Demings 45%-34%.

Still, in a state that occasionally teases competitiveness before snapping back to form, Demings’ run at least ensures the conversation doesn’t end before it starts.

Evening Reads

—”The imperial aesthetic at the heart of Donald Trump’s presidency” via Naftali Bendavid of The Washington Post

—”Jack Smith, Trump’s target, shifts from defense to counterattack” via Glenn Thrush of The New York Times

—”How the U.S. economy has defied doomsday predictions on tariffs” via Konrad Putzier of The Wall Street Journal

—”Trump battles tiny toymaker over tariffs in landmark Supreme Court case” via Greg Stohr of Bloomberg

—”The lonely new vices of American life” via Dan Brooks of The Atlantic

—“Future of gerrymandering? Here’s how weird things could look.” via Nate Cohn and Jonah Smith of The New York Times

—”DeSantis awards $30 million in cancer research funds to four pediatric hospitals” via Christine Sexton of Florida Phoenix

—”Bridget and Christian Ziegler sue Sarasota, 2 detectives over ‘egregious violations’ of their rights” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics

—”After the vibe shift, Ford ads got weird” via Constance Grady of Vox

Quote of the Day

“There’s a saying: Justice delayed is justice denied.”

— Gov. Ron DeSantis, on the rising pace of state executions. 

Put it on the Tab

Look to your left, then look to your right. If you see one of these people at your happy hour haunt, flag down the bartender and put one of these on your tab. Recipes included, just in case the Cocktail Codex fell into the well.

Send a Gold Rush (and a gold ribbon) to Gov. Ron DeSantis and First Lady Casey DeSantis, who announced a $30 million infusion for pediatric cancer programs at four children’s hospitals across the state.

Americans for Prosperity–Florida is raising a French 86 — or a not-so-French variant — in honor of the Republicans who aced its 2025 Legislative Scorecard

Slide a Bare Knuckle Old Fashioned to Jerry Demings, whose entry into the 2026 Governor’s race will at least make for an interesting Democratic Primary.

Breakthrough Insights

Tune In

Heat continue road trip in LA

The Miami Heat look to snap a two-game losing streak as they face the Los Angeles Clippers tonight (10:30 p.m. ET, FanDuel Sports Network – Sun).

Miami (3-3) lost consecutive road games to the San Antonio Spurs and Los Angeles Lakers, the latter in a 130-120 shootout. Lakers’ guard Luca Doncic recorded a triple-double (29 points, 11 rebounds, 10 assists) in the game.

Heat forward Jamie Jaquez Jr. came off the bench to score 31 points on 11 of 16 shooting in the game. Despite not starting a game this season, Jaquez is third on the team in scoring, averaging 18.7 points per game. Guard Norman Powell leads at 24.0 points per game, although he missed the last three losses due to a groin injury. Center Bam Adebayo averages 22 points and nine rebounds per game.

Miami started last season 3-3 and never climbed more than three games over .500, finishing the regular season with a 37-45 record, good enough to qualify for the play-in round of the playoffs. After beating Chicago and Atlanta on the road, the Heat advanced to the first round, where they were swept in four straight games by the top seed in the East, the Cleveland Cavaliers.

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Last Call is published by Peter Schorsch, assembled and edited by Phil Ammann and Drew Wilson, with contributions from the staff of Florida Politics.



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Red Hills Strategies announces promotions, additions to ‘Rockstar Roster’

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As the 2026 Session ramps up, Red Hills Strategies is shuffling its roster with a couple of promotions and a pair of new hires.

The political communications and strategy firm is bumping Maggie Gahan up to director and Caroline Hamon to creative project manager. Team Red Hills is also adding Anna Stallworth and Charlotte Roberts to its strategic communications team.

Gahan, a Florida Politics 2025 Rising Star, led the successful communications program behind “Lucy’s Law,” 2025 legislation to strengthen safety on Florida’s waterways. She also works for Tampa General Hospital and supports elected officials while managing high-profile events, including TGH Day at the Capitol and Robinhood’s Financial Education Fair.​

“Maggie is an asset to this team in every way. She’s an incredible leader, a strategic thinker and a hard worker,” said Red Hills founder and President Amanda Bevis. “She has proven indispensable to many of our initiatives, and she handles high-pressure moments with a lot of grace — like a swan.”

Hamon’s promotion, meanwhile, comes as Red Hills expands its in-house creative operation. Her designs drive many of the brands and initiatives Red Hills has launched, appearing on digital platforms, collateral materials and billboards across Florida.

“Caroline brings ideas to life with smart, compelling visuals that move people to act,” said Brittany Clark, Vice President and Creative Strategist. “Our clients trust her to translate complex policy goals into clear, beautiful, creative.”

Stallworth, a recent graduate of Troy University, comes aboard as creative coordinator. Before joining Red Hills, she handled creative needs for local businesses, from hardware stores to boutiques, as well as university-affiliated organizations and events. She recently completed an internship with BowStern in Tallahassee, where she supported marketing efforts for regional clients.

Roberts joined the firm earlier this month, bringing depth to Red Hills’ strategic communications bench. She holds a master’s degree in mass communications from the University of Florida, where she was a member of Florida Blue Key and a Reitz Scholar. Her internship experience ranges from Comcast in Atlanta to Lakeland EDC near her hometown.

“The team at Red Hills Strategies is distinguished for its proactive efforts, high-quality work and meaningful results,” Bevis said. “We’re energized by the expansion of this team, which not only boosts our capacity but also brings fresh perspectives and creative thinking. More bright minds working together will lead to more dynamic campaigns that help our clients stand out in a crowded space.”



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DNC declares Donald Trump’s first year in office a ‘complete disaster’

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Exactly one year ago, Donald Trump was sworn in for his second term while promising the American public that help was on the way, particularly regarding affordability.

The issue had already been creating major challenges for lower- and middle-income earners across the nation. One year in, Trump continues to claim the nation is enjoying an “economic boom.” But the Democratic National Committee (DNC) wholly disagrees, especially for Floridians.

“The numbers don’t lie: Trump’s first year back in office has been a complete disaster for Florida families. Trump broke his promise to lower costs on Day One and instead has made life far more expensive for Florida families,” said Tim Hogan, the DNC’s senior advisor for messaging, mobilization and strategy.

“Because of Trump’s Big Ugly Bill and failed economic policies, unemployment in Florida is up, families are paying $1,060 more a year, and 1,500,000 Floridians will be kicked off their health care after Trump let premiums skyrocket. While Donald Trump may think affordability is a hoax, Florida families know better, which is why they are putting their trust in Democrats who will keep fighting to lower costs and protect health care.”

A DNC study last week found Florida is one of 26 states where unemployment has risen since Trump took office, at a 0.7-percentage-point increase. The $1,060 figure is the approximate amount Florida households are losing through higher costs related to Trump’s tariffs and his “One Big Beautiful Bill” package, which the DNC and other Democratic groups have taken to calling the “Big Ugly Bill.”

The same study estimated that expiring premium tax credits under the Affordable Care Act would lead to 1.5 million Floridians losing health coverage, one of the highest numbers in the nation behind only California.

But the DNC’s critique does not stop there. Democrats point to a Joint Economic Committee Minority report this month finding that families paid $310 more for groceries during Trump’s first year in office than they did in 2024.

The DNC’s own study found that working American families have lost $585 to inflation and that nearly 4.5 million Floridians who rely on the Affordable Care Act’s marketplace for health coverage are seeing premiums skyrocket, which the DNC attributes to Trump’s refusal to extend tax credits. It’s worth noting that while Trump opposed extending the credits, Congress declined to pass an extension.

Additionally, cuts under the One Big Beautiful Bill to the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, colloquially known as food stamps, will mean more than 1.6 million Floridians lose some or all of their food benefits, according to the DNC analysis. The Harvard Kennedy School found that the legislation is cutting about $186 billion from the program over 10 years, a 20% cut that is the largest in the program’s history.

And what the DNC describes as failures seem to be also resonating with the American public, with new polling on Trump’s first year in office showing twice as many Americans say Trump is focused on the wrong priorities as the right ones. The AP-NORC poll also shows 60% of U.S. adults think Trump has done more to hurt than help the cost of living in his second term.

Meanwhile, the poll finds only 4 in 10 approve of Trump’s job performance. While Trump is far underwater in his approval rating, it has improved slightly since December, when his disapproval was at 61%, compared to 59% now. Even at his highest approval since March, Trump was still underwater, with 53% disapproving of his job performance.



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New statewide insurance trust enters 2026 with sustained growth and millions more in taxpayer savings

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The Florida Educator Health Trust (FLEHT) enters 2026 less than a year old, but already with significant progress under its belt.

Established to help Florida School Districts save on employee health plans without having to pass along benefit reductions, the program opened last June with just three counties on board, representing 1,671 public school employees in DeSoto, Hardee and Hendry counties.

By the end of December, the nonprofit health insurance program had eight counties enrolled, with the addition of Brevard, Charlotte, Okeechobee, Highlands and Polk counties, bringing its total public school employee representation to nearly 22,000 people.

As of mid-January, more School Boards have voted to join the program at various points throughout 2026, which will bring the total counties enrolled to 15.

“In an era of rising health insurance costs for employees, we set out to provide much-needed services to School Districts without compromising benefits to educators, and it is working,” said Ted Roush, a former Superintendent of Schools and FLEHT Executive Director.

“In only 6 months, we have shown demonstrable savings to the districts, and consequently to taxpayers, realizing savings in the millions of dollars. Our growth — going from three to 15 counties in our first year of full operation — will allow us to continue achieving significant economies of scale, saving taxpayers even more money while maintaining a high level of health insurance for district employees.”

“By harnessing the power of the group district membership, FLEHT is able to perform for the whole what is not possible individually in the insurance marketplace,” Roush added.

The FLEHT realizes savings for School Districts by bringing Districts together to deliver efficient health programs for employees.

Formerly known as the FSHIP program, it was established in 2009 by the Florida School Board Insurance Trust. The program transitioned to FLEHT under the Florida Association of District School Superintendents last year. The change was meant to align the needs of Florida educators.

The FLEHT under its new structure is overseen by an executive committee composed of Superintendents, with all member Districts represented with voting trustees.

Hernando County is expected to be the next School Board to enter into a participation agreement with FLEHT. Program officials estimate they will have as many as 20 School Districts on board by Spring Break season. The group also estimates it has saved taxpayers more than $12 million.

The program is responding to rising health care premiums across the U.S. While cost of living is already creating a challenge, at an estimated 17% increase, health care premiums have increased by 45%, according to the National Council on Teacher Quality.

In order to participate in FLEHT, School Boards must first adopt a participation agreement. The District must already be or become self-insured. From there, the District establishes a transition plan into FLEHT and then formally enters the program. Once a District is a member, its Superintendent becomes a member/trustee of the program.

The program estimates savings of 7%-12% when fully transitioning from a fully-insured health insurance plan to a self-insured FLEHT participant. Within one to three years, the program claims members will enjoy savings of up to 13%.



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