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Last Call for 11.3.25 – A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida

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Last Call – A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida politics.

First Shot

Jerry Demings has worn the badge, held the gavel, and now he wants the keys to the Governor’s Mansion.

The Orange County Mayor’s entry into the 2026 race sets up a Democratic Primary between a longtime party stalwart with deep local roots and a former Republican who found a second political life speaking to disaffected moderates.

It sounds like 2014 all over again, but there are key differences. David Jolly isn’t a former Governor with a renowned pedigree in retail politics, and Demings’ name ID, while hardly universal, easily outpaces that of a state Senator two years removed from office.

Whether either can gain traction is another matter. Democrats haven’t won statewide since 2018, and the voter registration gap has not only flipped toward Republicans, but it has also ballooned well past a million.

U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds, the Naples Republican currently leading the pack, was unfazed when asked last week who he might face next year.

“Whatever the Democrats, whoever they choose to throw at us, so be it. We’ll take care of them,” Donalds vowed.

The Trump-backed Congressman’s campaign on Monday threw a jab at the new guy in the ring, saying Demings is “weak, woke and wrong for Florida.”

A University of North Florida poll backs up the confidence: Donalds leads both Jolly and Demings 45%-34%.

Still, in a state that occasionally teases competitiveness before snapping back to form, Demings’ run at least ensures the conversation doesn’t end before it starts.

Evening Reads

—”The imperial aesthetic at the heart of Donald Trump’s presidency” via Naftali Bendavid of The Washington Post

—”Jack Smith, Trump’s target, shifts from defense to counterattack” via Glenn Thrush of The New York Times

—”How the U.S. economy has defied doomsday predictions on tariffs” via Konrad Putzier of The Wall Street Journal

—”Trump battles tiny toymaker over tariffs in landmark Supreme Court case” via Greg Stohr of Bloomberg

—”The lonely new vices of American life” via Dan Brooks of The Atlantic

—“Future of gerrymandering? Here’s how weird things could look.” via Nate Cohn and Jonah Smith of The New York Times

—”DeSantis awards $30 million in cancer research funds to four pediatric hospitals” via Christine Sexton of Florida Phoenix

—”Bridget and Christian Ziegler sue Sarasota, 2 detectives over ‘egregious violations’ of their rights” via Janelle Irwin Taylor of Florida Politics

—”After the vibe shift, Ford ads got weird” via Constance Grady of Vox

Quote of the Day

“There’s a saying: Justice delayed is justice denied.”

— Gov. Ron DeSantis, on the rising pace of state executions. 

Put it on the Tab

Look to your left, then look to your right. If you see one of these people at your happy hour haunt, flag down the bartender and put one of these on your tab. Recipes included, just in case the Cocktail Codex fell into the well.

Send a Gold Rush (and a gold ribbon) to Gov. Ron DeSantis and First Lady Casey DeSantis, who announced a $30 million infusion for pediatric cancer programs at four children’s hospitals across the state.

Americans for Prosperity–Florida is raising a French 86 — or a not-so-French variant — in honor of the Republicans who aced its 2025 Legislative Scorecard

Slide a Bare Knuckle Old Fashioned to Jerry Demings, whose entry into the 2026 Governor’s race will at least make for an interesting Democratic Primary.

Breakthrough Insights

Tune In

Heat continue road trip in LA

The Miami Heat look to snap a two-game losing streak as they face the Los Angeles Clippers tonight (10:30 p.m. ET, FanDuel Sports Network – Sun).

Miami (3-3) lost consecutive road games to the San Antonio Spurs and Los Angeles Lakers, the latter in a 130-120 shootout. Lakers’ guard Luca Doncic recorded a triple-double (29 points, 11 rebounds, 10 assists) in the game.

Heat forward Jamie Jaquez Jr. came off the bench to score 31 points on 11 of 16 shooting in the game. Despite not starting a game this season, Jaquez is third on the team in scoring, averaging 18.7 points per game. Guard Norman Powell leads at 24.0 points per game, although he missed the last three losses due to a groin injury. Center Bam Adebayo averages 22 points and nine rebounds per game.

Miami started last season 3-3 and never climbed more than three games over .500, finishing the regular season with a 37-45 record, good enough to qualify for the play-in round of the playoffs. After beating Chicago and Atlanta on the road, the Heat advanced to the first round, where they were swept in four straight games by the top seed in the East, the Cleveland Cavaliers.

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Last Call is published by Peter Schorsch, assembled and edited by Phil Ammann and Drew Wilson, with contributions from the staff of Florida Politics.



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Debra Tendrich turns ‘pain into policy’ with sweeping anti-domestic violence proposal

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Florida could soon rewrite how it responds to domestic violence.

Lake Worth Democratic Rep. Debra Tendrich has filed HB 277, a sweeping proposal aimed at modernizing the state’s domestic violence laws with major reforms to prevention, first responder training, court safeguards, diversion programs and victim safety.

It’s a deeply personal issue to Tendrich, who moved to Florida in 2012 to escape what she has described as a “domestic violence situation,” with only her daughter and a suitcase.

“As a survivor myself, HB 277 is more than legislation; it is my way of turning pain into policy,” she said in a statement, adding that months of roundtables with survivors and first responders “shaped this bill from start to finish.”

Tendrich said that, if passed, HB 277 or its upper-chamber analogue (SB 682) by Miami Republican Sen. Alexis Calatayud would become Florida’s most comprehensive domestic violence initiative, covering prevention, early intervention, criminal accountability and survivor support.

It would require mandatory strangulation and domestic violence training for emergency medical technicians and paramedics, modernize the legal definition of domestic violence, expand the courts’ authority to order GPS monitoring and strengthen body camera requirements during investigations.

The bill also creates a treatment-based diversion pathway for first-time offenders who plead guilty and complete a batterers intervention program, mental-health services and weekly court-monitored progress reporting. Upon successful completion, charges could be dismissed, a measure Tendrich says will reduce recidivism while maintaining accountability.

On the victim-safety side, HB 277 would flag addresses for 12 months after a domestic-violence 911 call to give responders real-time risk awareness. It would also expand access to text-to-911, require pamphlets detailing the medical dangers of strangulation, authorize well-check visits tied to lethality assessments, enhance penalties for repeat offenders and include pets and service animals in injunctions to prevent coercive control and harm.

Calatayud called it “a tremendous honor and privilege” to work with Tendrich on advancing policy changes “that both law enforcement and survivors of domestic abuse or relationship violence believe are meaningful to protect families across our communities.”

“I’m deeply committed to championing these essential reforms,” she added, saying they would make “a life-or-death difference for women and children in Florida.”

Organizations supporting HB 277 say the bill reflects long-needed, practical reform. Palm Beach County firefighters union IAFF Local 2928 said expanded responder training and improved dispatch information “is exactly the kind of frontline-focused reform that saves lives.”

The Florida Police Benevolent Association called HB 277 a “comprehensive set of measures designed to enhance protections” and pledged to help advance it through the Legislature.

The Animal Legal Defense Fund praised provisions protecting pets in domestic violence cases, noting research showing that 89% of women with pets in abusive relationships have had partners threaten or harm their animals — a major barrier that keeps victims from fleeing.

Florida continues to see high levels of domestic violence. The National Coalition Against Domestic Violence estimates that 38% of Florida women and 29% of Florida men experience intimate-partner violence in their lifetimes — among the highest rates in the country.

With costs rising statewide, HB 277 also increases relocation assistance through the Crimes Compensation Trust Fund, which advocates say is essential because the current $1,500 cap no longer covers basic expenses for victims fleeing dangerous situations.

Tendrich said survivors who contributed to the bill, which Placida Republican Rep. Danny Nix is co-sponsoring, “finally feel seen.”

“This bill will save lives,” she said. “I am proud that this bill has bipartisan support, and I am even more proud of the survivors whose bravery drives every line of this legislation.”



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Ash Marwah, Ralph Massullo battle for SD 11 Special Election

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Even Ash Marwah knows the odds do him no favors.

A Senate district that leans heavily Republican plus a Special Election just weeks before Christmas — Marwah acknowledges it adds up to a likely Tuesday victory for Ralph Massullo.

The Senate District 11 Special Election is Tuesday to fill the void created when Blaise Ingoglia became Chief Financial Officer.

It pits Republican Massullo, a dermatologist and Republican former four-term House member from Lecanto, against Democrat Marwah, a civil engineer from The Villages.

Early voter turnout was light, as would be expected in a low-key standalone Special Election: At 10% or under for Hernando and Pasco counties, 19% in Sumter and 15% in Citrus.

Massullo has eyed this Senate seat since 2022 when he originally planned to leave the House after six years for the SD 11 run. His campaign ended prematurely when Gov. Ron DeSantis backed Ingoglia, leaving Massullo with a final two years in office before term limits ended his House career.

When the SD 11 seat opened up with Ingoglia’s CFO appointment, Massullo jumped in and a host of big-name endorsements followed, including from DeSantis, Ingoglia, Agriculture Commissioner Wilton Simpson, U.S. Sens. Ashley Moody and Rick Scott, four GOP Congressmen, county Sheriffs in the district, and the Florida Chamber of Commerce.

The Florida LGBTQ+ Democratic Caucus is endorsing Marwah.

Marwah ran for HD 52 in 2024, garnering just 24% of the vote against Republican John Temple

Massullo has raised $249,950 to Marwah’s $12,125. Massullo’s $108,000 in spending includes consulting, events and mail pieces. One of those mail pieces reminded voters there’s an election.

The two opponents had few opportunities for head-to-head debate. The League of Women Voters of Citrus County conducted a SD 11 forum on Zoom in late October, when the two candidates clashed over the state’s direction.

Marwah said DeSantis and Republicans are “playing games” in their attempts to redraw congressional district boundaries.

“No need to go through this expense,” he said. “It will really ruin decades of progress in civil rights. We should honor the rule of law that we agreed on that it’ll be done every 10 years. I’m not sure why the game is being played at this point.”

Massullo said congressional districts should reflect population shifts.

“The people of our state deserve to be adequately represented based on population,” he said. “I personally do not believe we should use race as a means to justify particular areas. I’m one that believes we should be blind to race, blind to creed, blind to sex, in everything that we do, particularly looking at population.”

Senate District 11 covers all of Citrus, Hernando and Sumter counties, plus a portion of northern Pasco County. It is safely Republican — Ingoglia won 69% of the vote there in November, and Donald Trump carried the district by the same margin in 2024.



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Miles Davis tapped to lead School Board organizing workshop at national LGBTQ conference

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Miles Davis is taking his Florida-focused organizing playbook to the national stage.

Davis, Policy Director at PRISM Florida and Director of Advocacy and Communications at SAVE, has been selected to present a workshop at the 2026 Creating Change Conference, the largest annual LGBTQ advocacy and movement-building convention.

It’s a major nod to his rising role in Florida’s LGBTQ policy landscape.

The National LGBTQ Task Force, which organizes the conference, announced that Davis will present his session, “School Board Organizing 101.” His proposal rose to the top of more than 550 submissions competing for roughly 140 slots, a press note said, making this year’s conference one of the most competitive program cycles in the event’s history.

His workshop will be scheduled during the Jan. 21-24 gathering in Washington, D.C.

Davis said his selection caps a strong year for PRISM Florida, where he helped shepherd the organization’s first-ever bill (HB 331) into the Legislature. The measure, sponsored by Tampa Democratic Rep. Dianne Hart, would restore local oversight over reproductive health and HIV/AIDS instruction, undoing changes enacted under a 2023 expansion to Florida’s “Parental Rights in Education” law, dubbed “Don’t Say Gay” by critics.

Davis’ workshop draws directly from that work and aims to train LGBTQ youth, families and advocates in how local boards operate, how public comment can shape decisions and how communities can mobilize around issues like book access, inclusive classrooms and student safety.

“School boards are where the real battles over student safety, book access, and inclusive classrooms are happening,” Davis said. “I’m honored to bring this training to Creating Change and help our community build the skills to show up, speak out, and win — especially as PRISM advances legislation like HB 331 that returns power to our local communities.”

Davis’ profile has grown in recent years, during which he jumped from working on the campaigns and legislative teams of lawmakers like Hart and Miami Gardens Democratic Sen. Shevrin Jones to working in key roles for organizations like America Votes, PRISM and SAVE.

The National LGBTQ Task Force, founded in 1973, is one of the nation’s oldest LGBTQ advocacy organizations. It focuses on advancing civil rights through federal policy work, grassroots engagement and leadership development.

Its Creating Change Conference draws thousands for four days of training and strategy-building yearly, a press note said.



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