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A sports bettor turned $15 into $140K from a 3-leg parlay. It’s the exception to the risky bet making sportsbooks billions

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A small risk seldom leads to a big reward, but it’s certainly not impossible. Last week, a sports betting customer won more than $142,000 from a three-leg parlay, wagering three NFL tight ends would score the first touchdowns of their respective games, DraftKings posted on X. The initial wager was just $15.

The exponentially larger hit from a meager wager is the temptation of a parlay. It’s a type of betting that, instead of requiring a singular win to cash out on a bet, relies on a string of winning scenarios that—while unlikely to all happen—allows winnings to snowball from a two-digit wager to a six-figure payout. The seemingly low-risk, high-reward form of gambling has taken the sports betting world by storm.

“The real appeal of them is the kind of insane payout rate,” Joshua Grubbs, an associate professor at the University of New Mexico who studies gambling addiction, told Fortune. “You see small number, big payoff, which is appealing to people because it sounds like an amazing possibility.”

Though the winning bettors may seem like the big winners, it’s the sportsbooks that have cashed in on the growing fever surrounding sports betting. In 2024, the hobby generated $13.71 billion, a 25.4% increase from 2023, according to state regulatory data compiled by the American Gaming Association. 

Parlays are often the rainmakers for sportsbooks, with more than 70% of NFL and NBA bets on FanDuel coming from parlays in 2023, according to FanDuel parent company Flutter Entertainment.Parlays made up 56% of sports betting revenue in Illinois, New Jersey, and Colorado in 2021, The Wall Street Journal reported earlier this year. According to Rutgers University’s Center for Gambling Studies, New Jersey bettors lost $1.41 per dollar won in parlays in 2020. That’s compared to a $1.05 to $1 loss ratio for whole moneyline bets.

Moreover, parlay bets are getting more complicated as time goes on, decreasing the chances of winning. In 2020, the most popular parlays had five legs, Rutgers reported. The year before, two-leg parlays were the most popular.

“The notion of a parlay in general is so statistically unlikely to happen that it is one of the surest fire ways for the sportsbooks to just make the money off that,” Grubbs said.

The rise of parlays

The sports betting industry rocketed to success after a 2018 Supreme Court decision effectively struck down a ban on sports gambling, paving the way for 38 states to legalize the practice. Its popularity has even permeated the sports industry itself: This week the NCAA took a step forward in allowing athletes and department staff members to wager on professional sports following a Division I Administrative Committee approval of the shift.

With a swath of apps taking betting from the casino to one’s pocket, the industry has captured the interest of Gen Z, who saw a 7% year-over-year increase in online sports betting activity as of 2025’s second quarter, TransUnion found in a report released last month. The accessibility of online sportsbooks has capitalized on Gen Z’s love of gambling, with enthusiasts defending the practice as a form of investment.

For parlay betting in particular, there’s a dearth of research on why exactly it makes sportsbook customers tick, Shane Kraus, an associate professor of psychology at University of Nevada, Las Vegas, told Fortune. He said the betting type’s personalizable features (users can select the different legs of their parlays) as well as the ability to create bets after a game has started, make them especially appealing. Beyond offering incentives to refer platforms to others, emerging apps have also created ways to bet alongside friends, setting up leaderboards and teams of other users.

Then, of course, there’s the research suggesting alcohol consumption, often associated with sports spectating, is associated with larger wagers and more rapid loss of money.

“You’re excited, you’re upset, you’re drinking, and you’re watching a football game, and then you start doing parlays or live bets—I don’t think you’re probably going to make the best decisions,” Kraus said.

But Kraus, who studies gambling disorders, attributes the growing popularity of parlays less to the users, and more to the sportsbooks. Though sportsbooks’ advertising spending has remained flat at around $666 million in 2024, according to Neilson Ad Intel, Kraus said messaging from sportsbooks is everywhere, including during games and matches, when commentators walk viewers through over-under odds and parlays.

“It is creating a culture where it’s just all about money,” he said

Cracking down on sports betting platforms

Kraus said he fears there’s not enough being done of the apps to assuage users from placing more bets, or at least slowing them down. Gambling addiction, which impacts a little over 1% of the population, has led some to gamble away unemployment checks and even lose their homes.

Sports betting platforms, for their part, have made moves to put safeguards in place. FanDuel has set up a review system on its platform to look at a user’s hours on the site or language used with customer service teams that could trigger a review, the outcome of which could exclude a player from the platform through a “time-out” or imposing a deposit limit, a spokesperson told Fortune. About 90% of same-game parlays on the platform have a wager of $30 or less and 60% are for $5 or less.

“Our customers understand that these are fun, entertaining bets with a lower likelihood of winning,” the spokesperson said in a statement.

But University of New Mexico professor Grubbs noted that as long as making a wager is as easy as pressing a few buttons on a phone, “there is going to be a lot of potential for things to go sideways.”

“I don’t think these sportsbooks are out there saying, ‘Oh, we need to get people addicted to gambling.’ I don’t think that that’s what they’re trying to do,” Grubbs said. “I think they’re trying to make their product as accessible and appealing as possible, to get as many people involved as possible. 

“And what’s the net effect of that? Well, the net effect of that is sports betting has exponentially increased since 2018,” he concluded.

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Binance has been proudly nomadic for years. A new announcement suggests it’s chosen an HQ

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For years, Binance has dodged questions about where it plans to establish a corporate headquarters. On Monday, the world’s largest crypto exchange made an announcement that indicates it has chosen a location: Abu Dhabi, the capital of the United Arab Emirates.

In its announcement, Binance reported that it has secured three global financial licenses within Abu Dhabi Global Market, a special economic zone inside the Emirati city. The licenses regulate three different prongs of the exchange’s business: its exchange, clearinghouse, and broker dealer services. The three regulated entities are named Nest Exchange Limited, Nest Clearing and Custody Limited, and Nest Trading Limited, respectively.

Richard Teng, the co-CEO of Binance, declined to say whether Abu Dhabi is now Binance’s global headquarters. “But for all intents and purposes, if you look at the regulatory sphere, I think the global regulators are more concerned of where we are regulated on a global basis,” he said, adding that Abu Dhabi Global Market is where his crypto exchange’s “global platform” will be governed.

A company spokesperson declined to add more to Teng’s comments, but did not deny Fortune’s assertion that Binance appears to have chosen Abu Dhabai as its headquarters.

Corporate governance

The Abu Dhabi announcement suggests that Binance, which has for years taken pride in branding itself as a company with no fixed location, is bowing to the practical considerations that go with being a major financial firm—and the corporate governance obligations that entails.

When Changpeng Zhao, the cofounder and former CEO of Binance, launched the company in 2017, he initially established the exchange in Hong Kong. But, weeks after he registered Binance in the city, China banned cryptocurrency trading, and Zhao moved his nascent trading platform. Binance has since been itinerant. “Wherever I sit is going to be the Binance office,” Zhao said in 2020.

The location of a company’s headquarters impacts its tax obligations and what regulations it needs to follow. In 2023, after Binance reached a landmark $4.3 billion settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice, Zhao stepped down as CEO and pleaded guilty to failing to implement an effective anti-money laundering program.

Teng took over and promised to implement the corporate structures—like a board of directors—that are the norm for companies of Binance’s size. Teng, who now shares the CEO role with the newly appointed Yi He, oversaw the appointment of Binance’s first board in April 2024. And he’s repeatedly telegraphed that his crypto exchange is focused on regulatory compliance.

Binance already has a strong footprint in the Emirates. It has a crypto license in Dubai, received a $2 billion investment from an Emirati venture fund in March, and, that same month, said it employed 1,000 employees in the country. 



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Leaders in Congress outperform rank-and-file lawmakers on stock trades by up to 47% a year

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Stocks held by members of Congress have been beating the S&P 500 lately, but there’s a subset of lawmakers who crush their peers: leadership.

According to a recent working paper for the National Bureau of Economic Research, congressional leaders outperform back benchers by up to 47% a year.

Shang-Jin Wei from Columbia University and Columbia Business School along with Yifan Zhou from Xi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University looked at lawmakers who ascended to leadership posts, such as Speaker of the House as well as House and Senate floor leaders, whips, and conference/caucus chairs.

Between 1995 and 2021, there were 20 such leaders who made stock trades before and after rising to their posts. Wei and Zhou observed that lawmakers underperformed benchmarks before becoming leaders, then everything suddenly changed.

“Importantly, whilst we observe a huge improvement in leaders’ trading performance as they ascend to leadership roles, the matched ‘regular’ members’ stock trading performance does not improve much,” they wrote.

Leadership’s stock market edge stems in part from their ability to set the regulatory or legislation agenda, such as deciding if and when a particular bill will be put to a vote. Setting the agenda also gives leaders advanced knowledge of when certain actions will take place.

In fact, Wei and Zhou found that leaders demonstrate much better returns on stock trades that are made when their party controls their chamber.

In addition, being a leader also increases access to non-public information. The researchers said that while companies are reluctant to share such insider knowledge, they may prioritize revealing it to leaders over rank-and-file lawmakers.

Leaders earn higher returns on companies that contribute to their campaigns or are headquartered in their states, which Wei and Zhou said could be attributable to “privileged access to firm-specific information.”

The upper echelon also influences how other members of Congress vote, and the paper found that a leader’s party is much more likely to vote for bills that help firms whose stocks the leader held, or vote against bills that harmed them. And stocks owned by leadership tend to see increases in federal contract awards, especially sole-source contracts, over the following one to two years.

“These results suggest that congressional leaders may not only trade on privileged knowledge, but also shape policy outcomes to enrich themselves,” Wei and Zhou wrote.

Stock trades by congressional leaders are even predictive, forecasting higher occurrences of positive or negative corporate news over the following year, they added. In particular, stock sales predict the number of hearings and regulatory actions over the coming year, though purchases don’t.

Investors have long suspected that Washington has a special advantage on Wall Street. That’s given rise to more ETFs with political themes, including funds that track portfolios belonging to Democrats and Republicans in Congress.

And Paul Pelosi, former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s husband, even has a cult following among some investors who mimic his stock moves.

Congress has tried to crack down on members’ stock holdings. The STOCK Act of 2012 requires more timely disclosures, but some lawmakers want to ban trading completely.

A bipartisan group of House members is pushing legislation that would prohibit members of Congress, their spouses, dependent children, and trustees from trading individual stocks, commodities, or futures.

And this past week, a discharge petition was put forth that would force a vote in the House if it gets enough signatures.

“If leadership wants to put forward a bill that would actually do that and end the corruption, we’re all for it,” said Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, R-Fla., on social media on Tuesday. “But we’re tired of the partisan games. This is the most bipartisan bipartisan thing in U.S. history, and it’s time that the House of Representatives listens to the American people.”



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Macron warns EU may hit China with tariffs over trade surplus

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French President Emmanuel Macron warned that the European Union may be forced to take “strong measures” against China, including potential tariffs, if Beijing fails to address its widening trade imbalance with the bloc.

“I’m trying to explain to the Chinese that their trade surplus isn’t sustainable because they’re killing their own clients, notably by importing hardly anything from us any more,” Macron told Les Echos newspaper in an interview published on Sunday.

“If they don’t react, in the coming months we Europeans will be obliged to take strong measures and decouple, like the US, like for example tariffs on Chinese products,” he said, adding that he had discussed the matter with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.

Macron has just returned from a three-day state visit in China, where he pressed for more investment as Paris seeks to recalibrate its relationship with the world’s second-largest economy. France’s goods trade deficit with China reached around €47 billion ($54.7 billion) last year, according to the French Treasury. Meanwhile, China’s goods trade surplus with the EU swelled to almost $143 billion in the first half of 2025, a record for any six-month period, according to data released by China earlier this year.

Tensions between France and China escalated last year after Paris backed the EU’s decision to impose tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles. Beijing retaliated by imposing minimum price requirements on French cognac, sparking fears among pork and dairy producers that they could be targeted next.

‘Life or Death’

Macron said the US approach to China was “inappropriate” and had worsened Europe’s position by diverting Chinese goods toward the EU market.

“Today, we’re stuck between the two, and it’s a question of life or death for European industry,” Macron said, while noting that Germany — Europe’s biggest economy — doesn’t entirely share France’s stance.

In addition to Europe needing to become more competitive, the European Central Bank too has a role to play in strengthening the EU’s single market, Macron said, arguing that monetary policy should take growth and jobs into account, not just inflation, he said.

He also said the ECB’s decision to continue selling the government bonds it holds risks pushing up long-term interest rates and weighing on economic activity.

“Europe must — and wants to — remain a zone of monetary stability and credible investment,” Macron said.



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