Let ’em Run Picks for Saturday 9/6/25 at Monmouth Park Late P5
We’re heading north this week to Oceanport, New Jersey and Monmouth Park. With wet and wild weather expected again at Gulfstream Park—likely forcing turf races off the grass—Monmouth offers a solid Late Pick 5 sequence. The finale is especially intriguing, featuring a showdown among the three female jockeys in the Monmouth colony, along with top trainer Chad Brown shipping in two runners, a rare move for him.
Race 5 – 2:45 EST | 5 ½ Furlongs Turf | Maiden 16K
Top Pick #8 That Thing You Do (7-2) – Likely to be the speed of the speed in this turf sprint. Jockey Martinez sticks for trainer Mike Dini. Third off the layoff and looks ready to fire. (Bonus points for the movie reference.)
Top Contender #2 Khozan (7-2) – Brisnet #1 Prime Power, with a versatile speed-and-stalk style. Jockey Sonny Leon is riding well at Monmouth, and the trainer hits at 27% with beaten favorites.
Race 6 – 3:15 EST | 6 Furlongs Dirt | OC 20K/N1X
Top Pick #3 Private Desire (2-1) – Strong Beyer figures in last two races and exits Saratoga facing tougher. Trainer Gregory Sacco is red-hot, winning at 33% overall and 30% in allowance races. Also holds the #1 Prime Power rating.
Top Contender #1 River Dog (3-1) – Dangerous speed. Owns a Timeform Early Pace figure of 126, far and away best in the field. Could clear from the rail and take them all the way. Drops in class, which adds appeal.
Race 7 – 3:45 EST | 1 Mile Turf | CLM 16K
Top Pick #3 Serene Kathleen (5-2) – Has the ideal running style for this setup. Cutting back to a mile should suit perfectly. Jockey Antonio Vargas knows her well and fits.
Top Contender #4 Pretty Thing (Ire) (2-1) – An Irish-bred who has been ultra-consistent. Jockey Madison Olver rides for trainer Jorge Delgado, a combo that strikes at 30%.
Race 8 – 4:16 EST | 6 Furlongs Dirt | OC 15K/N1X
Top Pick #6 Kate’s Love (5-2) – Toss the last race, where she stumbled out of the gate as the favorite. Jockey Madison Olver sticks around and should finish the job this time. Prime Power #1 adds confidence.
Top Contender #8 Cassie’s Vault (9-2) – Crushed maiden company last out, winning by 7 ½ lengths in a tough MSW event. Hot jockey Sammy Camacho takes over, having ridden this horse before. A logical step up in class and a good fit at this level.
Race 9 – 4:40 EST | 1 Mile Turf | Alw 50K N1X
Race of the Day at Monmouth Park This race is loaded with storylines. All three female jockeys at Monmouth—Melissa Iorio, Madison Olver, and Chantal Sutherland—are riding, while Chad Brown ships in two starters, something he rarely does at this track.
Top Pick #5 Pretty Picture (3-1) – Won impressively on debut at this distance. Trainer Chad Brown keeps jockey Sammy Camacho aboard. Should improve in her second start, and her recent works suggest she’s primed.
Top Contender #9 Bottle Rocket (7-2) – Draws a great outside post for jockey Sonny Leon, who can watch the race unfold and time his move. Drops in class for trainer Michael Trombetta, who is hitting at 40%.
Where to Watch Let ’em Run
Join us Friday at 3 p.m. on Capital Sports Network YouTube for the Happy Hour Handicapping Podcast. Fred York and John Kostin will debut “Betting Strategies 101 and Then Some,” with John sharing insights to sharpen your wagering angles.
Then come back Saturday at 12:30 for updated picks after scratches and changes. John will focus on Del Mar, while Fred breaks down the action at Monmouth. Stay tuned—and Let ’em Run.
The sparring between Major League Baseball Commissioner Rob Manfred and the Executive Director of the Major League Baseball Players Association Tony Clark continues as MLB gets ready for the 2026 season. The collective bargaining agreement between the players and the owners ends in December and the central issue seems to be this. The owners want cost certainty which could mean a salary cap and the players want no part of that. There is also the question of how much the owners are really hurting financially when the Los Angeles Dodgers owners can give Kyle Tucker a $64 million signing bonus within a four-year deal reportedly worth $240 million and the owner of the New York Mets franchise Steve Cohen can hand out a three-year deal to Bo Bichette that reportedly is worth $126 million. Of course, New York and Los Angeles are the two biggest markets in the country with a lot of wealth. It is the small market owners who are going to tell Manfred that cannot compete with the Dodgers and the Mets.
Manfred is trying to put a positive spin on the negotiations. “Until I got elected commissioner, all I did was labor relations. That’s how I made my living. I’ve never been in a negotiation where, before the first piece of paper went across the table, I, or anyone I represented, was out there saying, ‘This, we absolutely will not talk about.’ I just think it’s a hard way to begin a negotiation.” The players put out a statement that contradicts Manfred. “The league and owners say they want to avoid missing games but at the same time they appear to be dead-set on trying to force players into a system that, the last time they proposed it, led to the most missed games ever and a cancelled World Series” in 1994. The sniping continues.
Luke Littler 8 – 5 Michael van Gerwen(best of 15 legs)
Reigning double world champion and world number one Luke Littler bounced back from his Bahrain setback to win the Saudi Arabia Darts Masters on the eve of his 19th birthday, rounding off a sensational day by defeating Michael van Gerwen 8–5 in a high-quality final.
Littler had to come from behind in a hard-fought quarter-final against Gian van Veen, before exacting revenge on Gerwyn Price in the semi-final, having lost to the Welshman at last week’s event in Bahrain.
‘The Nuke’ then started off like a bullet train against van Gerwen, racing into a 4–0 lead in a matter of minutes while averaging a remarkable 114. ‘Mighty Mike’, to his credit, raised his level to haul it back to 4–3, only to miss three darts at double 10 to draw level.
From there, Littler regained his edge, and despite pressure from the Dutchman, got over the line with a superb 11-darter to seal the victory.
Explosive darts action in a restrained atmosphere in Riyadh
If the sport is judged purely on the competition itself, then the crowd were treated to a spectacular showcase of darts at its very best. van Gerwen illustrated that range perfectly, averaging just 87 in a laboured quarter-final win over Stephen Bunting before lifting his level dramatically to post 100-plus averages in both his semi-final and final.
Then there was Littler, who had to produce his best to overcome three opponents in high-quality encounters, while surprise quarter-finalist Man Lok Leung impressed by pushing Nathan Aspinall all the way. From a purely sporting perspective, it was the kind of day any darts fan would happily lap up.
But Riyadh had never hosted a PDC event before, and it showed. Without the usual fancy dress, constant noise and crowd-led momentum that darts thrives on, the atmosphere was noticeably muted from start to finish.
Culturally, that is understandable and works well enough for many sports, but darts is different. The gap in understanding was evident when the crowd greeted an early sub-50 checkout with the same muted enthusiasm as a ton-plus finish later on, flattening moments that would normally lift the room.
The players would have felt it too. Darts players feed off the crowd in different ways, and there was little coming back at them to draw energy from. Most are media-trained to not criticise openly, although Nathan Aspinall did suggest that the crowd were still finding their way with the finer details of the sport, and some may even have been ringers.
As a first staging of the event, lessons will inevitably be learned and things may improve when darts returns to the Kingdom. One thing is certain – Saudi Arabia rarely loosens its grip once it has a sport in its grasp, and it is unlikely to be content in the long term with hosting a solitary, minor tournament while the game itself is still shaking off the afterglow of the World Championship.
But if the sport is to truly thrive here long term, a balance will need to be found between local traditions and the atmosphere that has long been part of what makes darts what it is.
Tune în Wednesday for a special show from Tampa Bay Downs
Let ‘em Run Special Wednesday Podcast LIVE from Tampa Bay Downs
Midweek racing brings fresh opportunity, sharper opinions, and real-time insight from the track. This Wednesday, Let ‘em Run takes the show on the road with live analysis straight from Tampa Bay Downs. With strong angles, value-driven plays, and boots on the ground, this special edition delivers the kind of edge horseplayers look for during the week.
Be sure to tune in on Wednesday at 12:30 PM EST for our special “Boots on the Ground” segment. John Kostin will be live from Tampa Bay Downs and joined by guest handicapper Wadie Khalaf. Together, they will break down the card with a sharp focus on the Late P5 and key spot plays, including the always-popular Bro’s BRISnet Play of the Day. You can catch the show live on Sports Talk Media Network, along with multiple streaming apps and social channels. Let’s take a closer look at a few races that stand out.
Tampa Bay Downs | Wednesday 1/21/26
Race 2 | 12:20 PM EST
This race offers a strong opinion with limited value, but there is still a way to make it pay. The #5 Uncashed sits at 2-1 on the morning line and owns a +10 BRISnet Prime Power advantage over the rest of the field. That edge pushes the projected win percentage to around 55%. He also profiles as the lone “E” type in the race, which strengthens the pace advantage. Trainer numbers support the play as well, with a 31% win rate when sending out runners who won last time out.
Since the price will likely drop, the value shifts to a double play. The suggested approach is a $50 double using 5 with 9 and 10 in Race 3. The outside posts win often in that race, and the odds should offer a better return.
Race 8 | 3:55 PM EST
This race sets up nicely for another BRISnet-based angle and should provide a fairer price at post time. The #1 Paynter’s Prodigy sits at 3-1 and checks several important boxes. He is an “E” type, owns the highest last-race speed figure, and also tops the field in early TimeformUS Pace.
The only other true speed appears to be #12 Chico Charlie at 6-1, but that runner draws a tough, ground-losing outside post. The price on the #1 may drift up, as jockey Wesley Ho remains capable but does not draw heavy public support. That scenario could create solid betting value.
All three of us will share insights and opinions on the full Late P5 during the live podcast. Be sure to tune in. Bet smart, cheer hard, fast horses equal serious fun, and as always, Let ‘em Run.