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Last Call for 9.3.25 – A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida

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Last Call – A prime-time read of what’s going down in Florida politics.

First Shot

Florida Democrats are thumping their chests after notching lopsided wins in Tuesday’s Special Elections.

LaVon Bracy Davis grabbed nearly 73% of the vote in Senate District 15 while RaShon Young swept House District 40 with 75%.

Party operatives wasted no time casting the results as proof that voters are souring on Republicans — pointing to “overperformance” of 22 and 15 points beyond 2024 margins and drawing a straight line to congressional battlegrounds held by incumbent Republican U.S. Reps. Anna Paulina Luna, Cory Mills and María Elvira Salazar.

The DCCC said the results are putting the GOP trio on notice, arguing the numbers show Democrats are poised to break through in 2026.

“Luna, Mills, and Salazar ignore the writing on the wall at their own peril. At every turn, Democrats have significantly overperformed and this election is simply the latest indication that Floridians are tired of Republicans’ lies, allegations, and false promises. Voters want results – not the lip-service, headline chasing, and scandals that Florida’s Republican delegation delivers. In 2026, Floridians are going to finally show Luna, Mills, and Salazar the door,” DCCC spokesperson Madison Andrus said in a news release.

The celebratory release echoes Democrats’ narrative following closer-than-expected — but by no means close — losses in Special Congressional Elections earlier this year. The key difference: these were safe Democratic seats that everyone expected Democrats to win.

Special Elections, especially in off-year contexts, tend to magnify partisan bases rather than mirror November electorates. And while Mills may have heard Bracy Davis’ and Young’s warning shots in his Central Florida district, it’s questionable whether Salazar or Luna would have heard anything within their South Florida and Pinellas-based districts, respectively.

That doesn’t mean the numbers are meaningless — Democrats have struggled to show life statewide, and any narrative of momentum is a commodity they’ll happily bank. Still, the jump from a pair of home-field blowouts to a statewide comeback story carries about as much water as the average “takeaways” rundown on the Gators’ opener vs. LIU.

Evening Reads

—”Jeffrey Epstein accusers join lawmakers to push for full release of documents” via Amy B. Wang, Mariana Alfaro, Beth Reinhard, Marianna Sotomayor and Kadia Goba of The Washington Post

­—”How Donald Trump lost the podcast bros” via Christian Paz of Vox

—”How the Democrats keep copying the MAGA influencer playbook (and failing)” via Tina Nguyen of The Verge

—“The wrong way to win back the working class” via Jonathan Chait of The Atlantic

—”Ron DeSantis administration pushes to eliminate all vaccine mandates in Florida” via Christine Sexton of the Florida Phoenix

—”States go their own (and contradictory) ways on vaccine policy” via Emily Baumgaertner Nunn of The New York Times

—”Paul Renner, former Florida House speaker, announces run for Governor” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics

—“‘Ill-advised decision’: DeSantis says Renner shouldn’t have run for Governor” via A.G. Gancarski of Florida Politics

—”DeSantis says crosswalk art is a ‘safety hazard.’ Studies say otherwise.” via Nakylah Carter of the Tampa Bay Times

—”Why I decided to go to the doctor” via Chris Cillizza of So What

Quote of the Day

“Governor of what?”

— Gov. Ron DeSantis, on former House Speaker Paul Renner’s entry into the 2026 fray.

Put it on the Tab

Look to your left, then look to your right. If you see one of these people at your happy hour haunt, flag down the bartender and put one of these on your tab. Recipes included, just in case the Cocktail Codex fell into the well.

Today, he’s celebrating a campaign launch, but the magic eight ball (and the Governor) are ready to serve Paul Renner an On Second Thought.

Surgeon General Joseph Ladapo is going all in on a push to end all vaccine mandates. From our end of the bar, it looks like all he wants is an Attention or two.

State-level economic indicators may be positive, but a new UF survey indicates consumers see a Fiscal Cliff on the horizon.

Bill Day’s Latest

Breakthrough Insights

Tune In

Rays try to keep winning streak, playoff hopes alive

The Tampa Bay Rays continue to chase a wild-card spot as they conclude a series against another wild-card contender, the Seattle Mariners, tonight (7:35 p.m. ET, FanDuel Sports Net Sun).

After 138 games, the Rays are back where they started, at the .500 mark and still working to earn a postseason spot. Tampa Bay is 3.5 games out of the final wild card spot, currently held by Seattle. The Rays have won five straight games, including the first two games of the series against Seattle.

Last night, Tampa’s 22-year-old star, Junior Caminero, reached a pair of milestones, hitting his 40th home run of the season and collecting his 100th run batted in.

After concluding the series against the Mariners, the Rays will host another wild-card hopeful, the Cleveland Guardians, for four games before heading to Chicago to face the White Sox and Cubs for three games each.

The Rays will send veteran Adrian Houser to the mound tonight. Houser joined the Rays at the trade deadline from the White Sox. Tampa Bay has won each of the last three games in which he has started, but Houser has earned only one victory as a member of his new team.

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Last Call is published by Peter Schorsch, assembled and edited by Phil Ammann and Drew Wilson, with contributions from the staff of Florida Politics.


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Eileen Higgins brings out starpower as special election campaign nears close

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Prominent Democrats will be on hand at a number of stops.

Former Miami-Dade Commissioner Eileen Higgins is enlisting more big names as support at early vote stops ahead of Tuesday’s special election for Mayor, including a Senate candidate, a former Senate candidate, and a current candidate for Governor.

During her canvass kickoff at 10 a.m at Elizabeth Virrick Park, Higgins will appear with U.S. Senate Candidate Hector Mujica.

Early vote stops follow, with Higgins solo at the 11 a.m. show-up at Miami City Hall and the 11:30 at the Shenandoah Library.

From there, big names from Orlando will be with the candidate.

Orange County Mayor and candidate for Florida Governor Jerry Demings and former Congresswoman Val Demings will appear with Higgins at the Liberty Square Family & Friends Picnic (2 p.m.), Charles Hadley Park (3 p.m.), and the Carrie P. Meek Senior and Cultural Center (3:30 p.m.)

Higgins, who served on the County Commission from 2018 to 2025, is competing in a runoff for the city’s mayoralty against former City Manager Emilio González. The pair topped 11 other candidates in Miami’s Nov. 4 General Election, with Higgins, a Democrat, taking 36% of the vote and González, a Republican, capturing 19.5%.

To win outright, a candidate had to receive more than half the vote. Miami’s elections are technically nonpartisan, though party politics frequently still play into races.



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Hope Florida fallout drives another Rick Scott rebuke of Ron DeSantis

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The cold war between Florida’s Governor and his predecessor is nearly seven years old and tensions show no signs of thawing.

On Friday, Sen. Rick Scott weighed in on Florida Politics’ reporting on the Agency for Health Care Administration’s apparent repayment of $10 million of Medicaid money from a settlement last year, which allegedly had been diverted to the Hope Florida Foundation, summarily filtered through non-profits through political committees, and spent on political purposes.

“I appreciate the efforts by the Florida legislature to hold Hope Florida accountable. Millions in tax dollars for poor kids have no business funding political ads. If any money was misspent, then it should be paid back by the entities responsible, not the taxpayers,” Scott posted to X.

While AHCA Deputy Chief of Staff Mallory McManus says that is an “incorrect” interpretation, she did not respond to a follow-up question asking for further detail this week.

The $10 million under scrutiny was part of a $67 million settlement from state Medicaid contractor Centene, which DeSantis said was “a cherry on top” in the settlement, arguing it wasn’t truly from Medicaid money.

But in terms of the Scott-DeSantis contretemps, it’s the latest example of tensions that seemed to start even before DeSantis was sworn in when Scott left the inauguration of his successor, and which continue in the race to succeed DeSantis, with Scott enthusiastic about current front runner Byron Donalds.

Earlier this year, Scott criticized DeSantis’ call to repeal so-called vaccine mandates for school kids, saying parents could already opt out according to state law.

While running for re-election to the Senate in 2024, Scott critiqued the Heartbeat Protection Act, a law signed by DeSantis that banned abortion after the sixth week of pregnancy with some exceptions, saying the 15 week ban was “where the state’s at.”

In 2023 after Scott endorsed Donald Trump for President while DeSantis was still a candidate, DeSantis said it was an attempt to “short circuit” the voters.

That same year amid DeSantis’ conflict over parental rights legislation with The Walt Disney Co.Scott said it was important for Governors to “work with” major companies in their states.

The critiques went both ways.

When running for office, DeSantis distanced himself from Scott amid controversy about the Senator’s blind trust for his assets as Governor.

“I basically made decisions to serve in uniform, as a prosecutor, and in Congress to my financial detriment,” DeSantis said in October 2018. “I’m not entering (office) with a big trust fund or anything like that, so I’m not going to be entering office with those issues.”

In 2020, when the state’s creaky unemployment website couldn’t handle the surge of applicants for reemployment assistance as the pandemic shut down businesses, DeSantis likened it to a “jalopy in the Daytona 500” and Scott urged him to “quit blaming others” for the website his administration inherited.

The chill between the former and current Governors didn’t abate in time for 2022’s hurricane season, when Scott said DeSantis didn’t talk to him after the fearsome Hurricane Ian ravaged the state.



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Amnesty International alleges human rights violations at Alligator Alcatraz

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Enforcing what Gov. Ron DeSantis calls the “rule of law” violates international law and norms, according to a global group weighing in this week.

Amnesty International is the latest group to condemn the treatment of immigrants with disputed documentation at two South Florida lockups, the Krome North Service Processing Center (Krome) and the Everglades Detention Facility (Alligator Alcatraz).

The latter has been a priority of state government since President Donald Trump was inaugurated.

The organization claims treatment of the detained falls “far below international human rights standards.”

Amnesty released a report Friday covering what it calls a “a research trip to southern Florida in September 2025, to document the human rights impacts of federal and state migration and asylum policies on mass detention and deportation, access to due process, and detention conditions since President Trump took office on 20 January 2025.”

“The routine and prolonged use of shackles on individuals detained for immigration purposes, both at detention facilities and during transfer between facilities, constitutes cruel, inhuman and degrading treatment, and may amount to torture or other ill-treatment,” the report concludes.

Gov. DeSantis’ administration spent much of 2025 prioritizing Alligator Alcatraz.

While the state did not comment on the report, Amnesty alleges the state’s “decision to cut resources from essential social and emergency management programs while continuing to allocate resources for immigration detention represents a grave misallocation of state resources. This practice undermines the fulfillment of economic and social rights for Florida residents and reinforces a system of detention that facilitates human rights violations.”

Amnesty urges a series of policy changes that won’t happen, including the repeal of immigration legislation in Senate Bill 4-C, which proscribes penalties for illegal entry and illegal re-entry, mandates imprisonment for being in Florida without being a legal immigrant, and capital punishment for any such undocumented immigrant who commits capital crimes.

The group also recommends ending 287(g) agreements allowing locals to help with immigration enforcement, stopping practices like shackling and solitary confinement, and closing Alligator Alcatraz itself.



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