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Four NFL teams that could regress, including two in NFC North

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Will 49ers take big step back in 2025?

Regression Season Incoming for Two NFC North Squads?

For every team in the NFL that improves or surprises during the season, there’s another that takes a step back — sometimes hard. Maybe it’s injuries. Maybe it’s bad coaching decisions. Maybe they were just overhyped. But whatever the cause, regression is real in the NFL.

Each season, a few teams fall well short of expectations or simply can’t repeat the highs of the year before. Here are four teams in 2025 that might not be as good as you think.

Yesterday, we told you that two NFC South teams could be in for big improvements. Today, it is two NFC North teams that could make a jump backwards, after they faced off in the final regular season contest of 2024 for division bargain rights.

San Francisco 49ers

They were bad last year and supporters called it an aberration, blaming injuries. But maybe it wasn’t. Maybe the 49ers are entering a freefall. A 6-11 finish in 2024 — including 1-5 in the NFC West — might be more of a sign of the future than a fluke.

Deebo Samuel is gone to Washington. Brandon Aiyuk is hurt. Christian McCaffrey is healthy — for now — but how long can he last through a full 17-game season? George Kittle remains, but Brock Purdy’s supporting cast is thinning. The offensive line lost Aaron Banks and Jaylon Moore. The defense took hits, too: Dre Greenlaw, Charvarius Ward, and Talanoa Hufanga are all gone. And the rest of the NFC West? It got better.

Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings were the ultimate “better lucky than good” team in 2022 when 11 of their 13 wins came by one score. That luck dried up in 2023 with a 7-10 finish. Then in 2024, Sam Darnold showed up and helped pull out 14 wins — nine of them by one score again — only to see the team bounced in the first round of the playoffs.

In their final two games last year — against Detroit with the No. 1 seed and NFC North title on the line and the wild card vs. the Rams — the Vikings were outscored 58-18. Now, Darnold is in Seattle, and Minnesota turns to J.J. McCarthy, who missed his rookie year with a knee injury. That doesn’t scream confidence. A 7-10 finish wouldn’t be surprising at all.

Pittsburgh Steelers

This wasn’t your typical Steelers offseason. They went all-in with money and draft picks for aging veterans in what looks like a desperate win-now play. Yes, Aaron Rodgers is an upgrade over last season’s mess of QBs — Russell Wilson, Justin Fields, and Mason Rudolph — but Rodgers is turning 42.

They also brought in Jalen Ramsey and shipped out Minkah Fitzpatrick, a questionable swap at best. Ramsey isn’t the same guy he was five years ago. Are the Steelers better than Baltimore in the AFC North? Better than Buffalo, Kansas City, Houston, or the Chargers? Probably not. They’re spending like contenders, but may struggle just to get back to the playoffs.

Detroit Lions

This one’s all about expectations. If you think the Lions are going to repeat as NFC No. 1 seeds and make a Super Bowl run, it might be time to temper the hype. Detroit still has talent and should be a playoff team, but the losses of offensive coordinator Ben Johnson (now with Chicago) and defensive coordinator Aaron Glenn (now with the Jets) are massive.

Both coaches were critical to Detroit’s rise in the NFC North— that’s why they’re now running their own teams. Just look at the 2022 Eagles: they made the Super Bowl, lost their coordinators, and fell to a wild-card team that got bounced in the first round the following year. The Lions could be on that same path in 2025.





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Cure Bowl – USF faces ODU

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The Bulls charge into Conference Play rested and ready for the Friday night lights.

South Florida (9-3; 6-2 American) faces Old Dominion (9-3; 6-2 Sun Belt) in the StaffDNA Cure Bowl on Dec. 17 at Camping World Stadium, Orlando. The Bulls pursue a third straight bowl win and a historic 10-win season.

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South Florida (9-3; 6-2 American) will look to capture a third straight bowl victory for just the second time in program history when it faces Old Dominion (9-3; 6-2 Sun Belt) in the StaffDNA Cure Bowl on December 17 at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, Florida. The game, presented by Coca-Cola, will kick off at 5 p.m. and air nationally on ESPN.

Cure Bowl Supports Cancer Research

The Cure Bowl is more than just football—it’s a fundraising event hosted by the Orlando Sports Foundation to support cancer research. Since its inception in 2015, the event has raised over $6.35 million for the cause. Tickets start at $25 plus fees, and fans are encouraged to secure seats for this meaningful matchup.

Bulls Nation Ready for Orlando

USF Athletics CEO Rob Higgins emphasized the importance of the game:
“The Cure Bowl supports a tremendous cause that we are excited to champion, and we look forward to our Bulls taking on a very talented Old Dominion team on Dec. 17. It’s a short drive for Bulls Nation to Camping World Stadium, and I look forward to a great turnout in Green and Gold as we pursue a third straight bowl win for just the second time in program history.”

Program Milestones for South Florida

This marks South Florida’s 13th bowl appearance, tied for the third-most in the first 25 seasons of bowl eligibility. The Bulls’ 8-4 bowl record ranks fourth nationally in winning percentage among programs with 10 or more appearances. Interim Head Coach Kevin Patrick noted the team’s focus on finishing strong and chasing a rare 10-win season.

Pursuit of a 10-Win Season

The Bulls aim to reach 10 wins for only the third time in program history, last achieved in 2017. They also seek a third consecutive bowl win, following victories in the 2023 Boca Bowl (45-0 vs. Syracuse) and 2024 Hawaii Bowl (41-39 in 5OT vs. San Jose State). The only other three-bowl streak came between 2008–2010.

Old Dominion’s Strong Season

Old Dominion enters the Cure Bowl with a 9-3 record, finishing second in the Sun Belt East Division. The Monarchs closed the regular season with five straight wins, including victories over Virginia Tech, Liberty, and Coastal Carolina. They boast the nation’s No. 7 rushing offense (236.9 ypg), No. 16 total offense (460.8 ypg), and No. 20 scoring defense (19.3 ppg).

Cure Bowl Legacy

Now in its 11th season, the Cure Bowl has become a staple of postseason college football. Last year, Ohio defeated Jacksonville State, while Tulane remains the only American Conference team to win the Cure Bowl (2018).

USF Offensive Firepower

South Florida’s offense ranks No. 2 nationally in total yards (501.7 per game) and No. 4 in scoring (43.0 points per game). The Bulls set a program record with five games scoring 50+ points this season. Eleven players earned all-conference honors, including First Team selections Mac Harris and De’Shawn Rucker.

Looking Ahead

USF will formally introduce Brian Hartline as the seventh head coach in program history on December 8 at the Sam and Martha Gibbons Alumni Center in Tampa. The event is open to the public and marks a new era for Bulls football.





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Matt Campbell set to take over in Happy Valley

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college championship weekend The 2025 college football season kicks off with one of the most electrifying Week 1 slates in recent memory. With playoff contenders

By: Matthew Weatherby

White smoke has risen from the Nittany Lion atop Beaver Stadium. Penn State has its new Head Coach in Matt Campbell. It was 54 long days since the Nittany Lions fired now Virginia Tech Head Coach James Franklin. They got turned down, people paid, and honestly publicly humiliated throughout the process. Now Campbell from Iowa State is set to take over in Happy Valley. Hoping to calm the mobs coming for Pat Kraft and his job.

This report came a few minutes ago from ESPN’s Pete Thamel, who said Penn State was finalizing a deal for Matt Campbell to become the head coach.

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Get to Know Matt Campbell

Penn State has finally found its guy, and funny enough, it is a similar route they took when they hired James Franklin in 2014. Franklin’s pedigree was that of a guy who appeared to do more with less. He was the most successful Vanderbilt Head coach until Clark Lea.

Campbell is the same. He won at his first stop, being Toledo’s Head Coach, where he went 35-15, good for a .700 winning percentage. Since he took the job at Iowa State, he has enjoyed some similar success, going 72-55 from 2016-25.

Now to the doing more with less portion. Over the 11 recruiting classes that he brought in at Iowa State, the average ranking was 55.8 in the national standings. Not exactly that of a top-tier program. He has developed that talent, however, with guys like Brock Purdy and Breece Hall being stars in the NFL now.

He also won Coach of the Year 3 times in the BIG 12, receiving the award in 2017, ’18, and ’20. Campbell was also the 2015 MAC Coach of the Year.

With the influx of cash I expect Campbell to receive, in terms of NIL money for the roster, it is not unreasonable to think of this as a great hire. With his coaching pedigree, you would expect the results he was able to give at Iowa State to only be magnified with a bigger brand and budget at Penn State.

What Campbell means for Penn State

It means that Pat Kraft might actually be able to sleep peacefully tonight. He has been contacting seemingly everyone, trying to get them to come to Happy Valley. None of those came to fruition; instead, he was getting them paid at the places they were already employed.

Here, the question that reigns supreme: will it be enough?

This search was an unmitigated disaster, from the inability to get anyone to take their money, all of the negative press, and the rumors of Jimmy Sexton freezing Penn State out for the way they handled Franklin. It could not have been worse for Penn State. You pair that with a group of Paterno people who wanted Terry Smith to be the Head Coach. I wonder if this hire is enough to calm the waters in Happy Valley.

One thing I do know for sure is that winning cures all. Matt Campbell might just be the guy to save Pat Kraft.





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Let ’em Run expands coverage to more tracks

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Capital Sports Network will be your home for Let ’em Run Happy Hour

Let ’em Run is breaking down races at some new venues, and we will continue to expand our horizons with a variety of tracks, as we listen to what our viewers and readers have to say.

We are breaking down interesting races at Laurel Park and Turfway Park (a little nighttime action) that will be run on Saturday. Then we turn our attention to Aqueduct on Saturday, where there is The Remsen Gr2, a Kentucky Derby prep, and the signature race…The Cigar Mile.

Saturday Roundup Reminder

Be sure to tune into the Saturday “Let ’em Run Roundup” at 12:30 where we will bring even more insight after any scratches and other changes. So catch us this weekend on multiple streaming apps and social channels!!


Saturday 12/6 — Laurel Park

Race 6 — 2:23 EST — The Maryland Juvenile — 125K — 7 Furlongs (Dirt)
Some talented 2 y.o.’s line up for this race, at the always tricky distance for young runners at 7 furlongs. I am going to lean on #3 Sometime 9-2. Was ambitiously placed in the Iroquois against some of the best milers in the division. Breeding out of Take Charge Indy, who came in 1st at The Florida Derby and The Clark Handicap, so the talent is there. The #4 Biker Bailey 4-1 came out of a Md 20k, but took over the field and posted a 70 BSF. Could go to the front and not look back.
Bet = $10 Ex Box 3,4 = $20


Saturday 12/6 — Turfway Park

Race 7 — 8:55 EST — The Boone County — 125K — 1 ¼ (Synthetic)
Big field to choose from gives us plenty of options and value to boot. Jockey Fernando De La Cruz hops aboard #10 Swift Delivery 5-1, 1 of 2 Mark Casse entrants. A failed turf experiment, in between two Gr3 races on synthetic, make this horse the one to beat. Tough post, but De La Cruz can work out a trip and close on the field. The #1 Funtastic Again 5-1, is the horse for course and surface. Has ran in a steady diet of 6 Graded races last 6x, and now gets relief and a good post to go to the front. Jockey Gerado Corrales is very familiar with this runner.


Saturday 12/6 — Aqueduct (Races 7–11)

Race 7 — 2:11 EST — Alw 88K N1X — 1 Mile (Dirt)

Nice start to the late P5 for Let ’em Run, with a big field of 12 runners. Hard to look past #6 Life and Times 8-5. As a student of pace figures, this runner has an early pace figure of 142!! Out of Justify, and 2nd time out runners for that sire often improve…scary. Likely to have some company up front, but just too fast.
Bet = P5 = 6 / All / All / 6 / 2 = $78 (based on current entries)

Race 8 — 2:39 EST — The NY Stallion Series — 500K (Fillies) — 7 Furlongs (Dirt)

Another full field of 2 y.o. fillies running at 7 furlongs. Going with #12 Daniella Marie 6-1, the entry for the “other Chad”… trainer Chad Summers, who is heating up and excellent with 2.y.o’s. Jockey Kendrick Caramouche stays on, and never really asked her in last, when she won by 9 ¼ lengths. Likely post time fave #10 Hot Currency 7-2, looking to improve with stud jockey Flavian Prat retaining the mount.

Race 9 — 3:08 EST — The Remsen Gr2 — 250K — 1 ⅛ (Dirt)

Kentucky Derby prep race, with 12 runners ready to go. The #11 Talkin 5-1 for trainer Danny Gargan is my top choice. Gargan is looking to hit the Derby trail again with a good one here, out of top Sire Good Magic. Runner beat Further Ado in Maiden, and that runner is labeled as a Derby favorite, so why not this guy. Jockey Kendrick Caramouche has options from a tough post, with interesting Brisnet early and late pace figures both high, and nearly the same (early 106 / late 102). Once again the Flavian Prat runner #2 Paladin 3-1 will get much deserved attention.

Race 10 — 3:37 EST — The Cigar Mile Gr2 — 500K — 1 Mile (Dirt)

Really can’t see anyone beating the fast and talented #6 Phileas Fogg 8-5. Two new wrinkles; with blinkers going on and jockey Joel Rosario taking the mount. Trainer Rodriguez Gustavo gave him a break pointing to this race, and said “it’s showtime“; when asked how he was doing!!

Two notes per Brisnet, lone E speed, and best pace to the 6 furlong distance, by a lot. So should have company early, but will then pull away to the wire.

Race 11 — The NY Stallion Series — 500K — 7 Furlongs

Once again the Big A putting out a big field for bettors. Trainer Butch Reid has #2 Parker Boone 8-5 ready to make some noise. Runner won by 12 ¼ 1st time out and was under wraps early. Naysayers will say “who did he beat”, but runners out of Solomini are often very good, very early. Will have other speed to deal with, but a ground saving post should seal the deal.

Final Notes

Stay tuned as we continue to grow, and tune in on Saturday for our 12:30 Podcast, with scratches and changes affecting our picks. And as the saying goes, Let ‘em Run.





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