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Buyers wield more power in housing market, especially in Sun Belt, with contract cancellations on the rise

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A surging wave of home-sale cancellations is tilting the balance in the housing market from sellers to buyers. In June 2025, nearly 15% of pending home sales fell through, per Redfin, a record high for June data stretching back to 2017. The contract cancellations are concentrated in the Sun Belt states like Florida and Texas that have powered housing since the pandemic housing boom. The consequences of contract cancellations reach beyond individual buyers and sellers to builders, agents, and the broader economy.

Just over 57,000 home-purchase agreements were canceled in June, Redfin found, which is nearly 15% of homes that went under contract that month. This cancellation rate is up from 13.9% the previous June. The trend is evident nationwide, but especially pronounced in Sun Belt cities including Jacksonville, Florida, Las Vegas, and Atlanta, which are recording cancellation rates near or above 20%. High interest rates, high insurance costs, and high property taxes have also affected cancellation rates, according to Cotality (formerly CoreLogic).

A buyers’ market or something else?

Some factors favoring buyers have improved. Inventory is up—Zillow finds 1.36 million homes on the market in June, the most since late 2019—while demand has softened. With more choices and less competition, buyers can afford to be more selective, with Zillow finding the share of listings with a price cut hitting 26.6% in June, the highest monthly mark in Zillow records dating back through 2018, and near the all-time high of 27% from September 2022. 

Sellers have also started yanking properties from the market that aren’t selling at a price they think is worth it; delistings skyrocketing 47% year-over-year in June, according to Realtor.com.

“What we’re seeing nationally is a market that’s gradually rebalancing, with buyers gaining leverage and sellers facing a tradeoff: Adjust to the market and sell for less, or hold out and risk sitting indefinitely,” Realtor.com Senior Economist Jake Krimmel previously told Fortune. “Many sellers still aren’t pricing to sell.”

Another difference from pandemic buying conditions is fewer buyers are waiving inspection and appraisal contingencies. Now they’re being used as opportunities to renegotiate or walk away if (and when) problems arise.

It’s not a full-blown buyers’ market, though, as anxiety over the broader economy has many would-be homeowners thinking twice. Several factors are contributing to financial jitters. Mortgage rates remain stubbornly high at around 6.8%, keeping monthly payments near historic peaks, the median national sale price is still at record highs, and buyer confidence is challenged by macro uncertainty related to tariffs, inflation, and fears of a potential recession. In fact, a recent LegalShield survey shows 70% of homeowners and prospective buyers worry a potential recession and tariffs could disrupt their housing plans.

Many discover the monthly payments, once fully calculated, are simply too much to bear and back out at the last minute. Others are hoping for prices—or rates—to drop soon and choose to wait it out. For the first time in years, realtors report buyers are negotiating harder. Sellers, for their part, are now more willing to make concessions, from price reductions to agreeing to costly repairs. This shifting balance is giving buyers more room to shop around and less incentive to stick with a deal if it’s anything less than perfect.

Headwinds in Florida and Texas

Florida and Texas, often the leaders in home sales during the last five years, are now leading in rates of cancellation. Several local factors are at play, from the influx of newly built homes increasing available inventory to soaring insurance premiums, especially in disaster-prone regions. These are a drag on the housing market generally and are playing into cancellations as some potential buyers are abandoning deals after receiving quotes.

Across the Sun Belt, inventory is tilting the playing field, with single-family home inventory up 32% year-over-year in some metros. In certain cities, the months’ supply of homes (inventory-to-sales ratio) has ballooned to nine to 12 months, well above the six-month threshold for a balanced market.

Florida had the largest number of homes for sale in the U.S. as of June 2025. Active listings have spiked, with Central Florida posting its highest home inventory levels in 15 years. This has pushed median home prices down about 2%–3% compared to 2024, and more dramatically in some markets, such as Sarasota. The national housing market may not be in a buyers’ market per se, but that is the vibe in Florida, as many sellers make price cuts or offer concessions, competing for a smaller buyer pool. In Texas, active listings are hitting record highs in some markets, such as Houston, while the median price is also seeing a slight decline, similar to Florida.

As of June 2025, both the Florida and Texas housing markets are facing headwinds, marked by rising inventory, increased price reductions, longer selling timelines, and shifting leverage toward buyers. This softening trend is pronounced throughout the Sun Belt, reflecting a transition away from the frenzied pandemic-era market.

The road ahead

Florida, Texas, and the broader Sun Belt markets are all contending with oversupply, softer pricing, and a shift toward buyer-friendly conditions. After years of strong gains, 2025 has brought a market reset, fueled by cooling migration, higher rates, and the lingering effects of pandemic-era overbuilding. In these regions, buyers now have more choice and negotiating power, while sellers face increasing competition and subdued price growth.

“Homes are sitting on the market nearly three weeks longer than last year,” Realtor.com’s Krimmel said. “That’s a sign of sellers still anchored to pandemic-era prices even though the market is telling them otherwise.”

Market watchers don’t expect a quick reversal. Prices are forecast to dip slightly by the end of 2025, but mortgage rates are predicted to hold nearly steady. For now, home-sale cancellations are likely to remain elevated, requiring all market participants to adapt to an era of higher uncertainty—and, for savvy buyers, greater opportunity.

For this story, Fortune used generative AI to help with an initial draft. An editor verified the accuracy of the information before publishing. 



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Binance has been proudly nomadic for years. A new announcement suggests it’s chosen an HQ

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For years, Binance has dodged questions about where it plans to establish a corporate headquarters. On Monday, the world’s largest crypto exchange made an announcement that indicates it has chosen a location: Abu Dhabi, the capital of the United Arab Emirates.

In its announcement, Binance reported that it has secured three global financial licenses within Abu Dhabi Global Market, a special economic zone inside the Emirati city. The licenses regulate three different prongs of the exchange’s business: its exchange, clearinghouse, and broker dealer services. The three regulated entities are named Nest Exchange Limited, Nest Clearing and Custody Limited, and Nest Trading Limited, respectively.

Richard Teng, the co-CEO of Binance, declined to say whether Abu Dhabi is now Binance’s global headquarters. “But for all intents and purposes, if you look at the regulatory sphere, I think the global regulators are more concerned of where we are regulated on a global basis,” he said, adding that Abu Dhabi Global Market is where his crypto exchange’s “global platform” will be governed.

A company spokesperson declined to add more to Teng’s comments, but did not deny Fortune’s assertion that Binance appears to have chosen Abu Dhabai as its headquarters.

Corporate governance

The Abu Dhabi announcement suggests that Binance, which has for years taken pride in branding itself as a company with no fixed location, is bowing to the practical considerations that go with being a major financial firm—and the corporate governance obligations that entails.

When Changpeng Zhao, the cofounder and former CEO of Binance, launched the company in 2017, he initially established the exchange in Hong Kong. But, weeks after he registered Binance in the city, China banned cryptocurrency trading, and Zhao moved his nascent trading platform. Binance has since been itinerant. “Wherever I sit is going to be the Binance office,” Zhao said in 2020.

The location of a company’s headquarters impacts its tax obligations and what regulations it needs to follow. In 2023, after Binance reached a landmark $4.3 billion settlement with the U.S. Department of Justice, Zhao stepped down as CEO and pleaded guilty to failing to implement an effective anti-money laundering program.

Teng took over and promised to implement the corporate structures—like a board of directors—that are the norm for companies of Binance’s size. Teng, who now shares the CEO role with the newly appointed Yi He, oversaw the appointment of Binance’s first board in April 2024. And he’s repeatedly telegraphed that his crypto exchange is focused on regulatory compliance.

Binance already has a strong footprint in the Emirates. It has a crypto license in Dubai, received a $2 billion investment from an Emirati venture fund in March, and, that same month, said it employed 1,000 employees in the country. 



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Leaders in Congress outperform rank-and-file lawmakers on stock trades by up to 47% a year

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Stocks held by members of Congress have been beating the S&P 500 lately, but there’s a subset of lawmakers who crush their peers: leadership.

According to a recent working paper for the National Bureau of Economic Research, congressional leaders outperform back benchers by up to 47% a year.

Shang-Jin Wei from Columbia University and Columbia Business School along with Yifan Zhou from Xi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University looked at lawmakers who ascended to leadership posts, such as Speaker of the House as well as House and Senate floor leaders, whips, and conference/caucus chairs.

Between 1995 and 2021, there were 20 such leaders who made stock trades before and after rising to their posts. Wei and Zhou observed that lawmakers underperformed benchmarks before becoming leaders, then everything suddenly changed.

“Importantly, whilst we observe a huge improvement in leaders’ trading performance as they ascend to leadership roles, the matched ‘regular’ members’ stock trading performance does not improve much,” they wrote.

Leadership’s stock market edge stems in part from their ability to set the regulatory or legislation agenda, such as deciding if and when a particular bill will be put to a vote. Setting the agenda also gives leaders advanced knowledge of when certain actions will take place.

In fact, Wei and Zhou found that leaders demonstrate much better returns on stock trades that are made when their party controls their chamber.

In addition, being a leader also increases access to non-public information. The researchers said that while companies are reluctant to share such insider knowledge, they may prioritize revealing it to leaders over rank-and-file lawmakers.

Leaders earn higher returns on companies that contribute to their campaigns or are headquartered in their states, which Wei and Zhou said could be attributable to “privileged access to firm-specific information.”

The upper echelon also influences how other members of Congress vote, and the paper found that a leader’s party is much more likely to vote for bills that help firms whose stocks the leader held, or vote against bills that harmed them. And stocks owned by leadership tend to see increases in federal contract awards, especially sole-source contracts, over the following one to two years.

“These results suggest that congressional leaders may not only trade on privileged knowledge, but also shape policy outcomes to enrich themselves,” Wei and Zhou wrote.

Stock trades by congressional leaders are even predictive, forecasting higher occurrences of positive or negative corporate news over the following year, they added. In particular, stock sales predict the number of hearings and regulatory actions over the coming year, though purchases don’t.

Investors have long suspected that Washington has a special advantage on Wall Street. That’s given rise to more ETFs with political themes, including funds that track portfolios belonging to Democrats and Republicans in Congress.

And Paul Pelosi, former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s husband, even has a cult following among some investors who mimic his stock moves.

Congress has tried to crack down on members’ stock holdings. The STOCK Act of 2012 requires more timely disclosures, but some lawmakers want to ban trading completely.

A bipartisan group of House members is pushing legislation that would prohibit members of Congress, their spouses, dependent children, and trustees from trading individual stocks, commodities, or futures.

And this past week, a discharge petition was put forth that would force a vote in the House if it gets enough signatures.

“If leadership wants to put forward a bill that would actually do that and end the corruption, we’re all for it,” said Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, R-Fla., on social media on Tuesday. “But we’re tired of the partisan games. This is the most bipartisan bipartisan thing in U.S. history, and it’s time that the House of Representatives listens to the American people.”



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Macron warns EU may hit China with tariffs over trade surplus

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French President Emmanuel Macron warned that the European Union may be forced to take “strong measures” against China, including potential tariffs, if Beijing fails to address its widening trade imbalance with the bloc.

“I’m trying to explain to the Chinese that their trade surplus isn’t sustainable because they’re killing their own clients, notably by importing hardly anything from us any more,” Macron told Les Echos newspaper in an interview published on Sunday.

“If they don’t react, in the coming months we Europeans will be obliged to take strong measures and decouple, like the US, like for example tariffs on Chinese products,” he said, adding that he had discussed the matter with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen.

Macron has just returned from a three-day state visit in China, where he pressed for more investment as Paris seeks to recalibrate its relationship with the world’s second-largest economy. France’s goods trade deficit with China reached around €47 billion ($54.7 billion) last year, according to the French Treasury. Meanwhile, China’s goods trade surplus with the EU swelled to almost $143 billion in the first half of 2025, a record for any six-month period, according to data released by China earlier this year.

Tensions between France and China escalated last year after Paris backed the EU’s decision to impose tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles. Beijing retaliated by imposing minimum price requirements on French cognac, sparking fears among pork and dairy producers that they could be targeted next.

‘Life or Death’

Macron said the US approach to China was “inappropriate” and had worsened Europe’s position by diverting Chinese goods toward the EU market.

“Today, we’re stuck between the two, and it’s a question of life or death for European industry,” Macron said, while noting that Germany — Europe’s biggest economy — doesn’t entirely share France’s stance.

In addition to Europe needing to become more competitive, the European Central Bank too has a role to play in strengthening the EU’s single market, Macron said, arguing that monetary policy should take growth and jobs into account, not just inflation, he said.

He also said the ECB’s decision to continue selling the government bonds it holds risks pushing up long-term interest rates and weighing on economic activity.

“Europe must — and wants to — remain a zone of monetary stability and credible investment,” Macron said.



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