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Winner and Loser of the Week in Florida politics — Week of 7.13.25

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Good news this week, as Gov. Ron DeSantis appears ready to back additional teacher pay raises ahead of the 2026 Legislative Session.

Speaking at a Teacher of the Year ceremony in Orlando, DeSantis spoke of the $1.36 billion pot in this year’s budget dedicated to teacher salaries, a total the House initially resisted.

“I think we can do better next year, so we’ll be pushing for that, and just make sure you tell your state Representatives to get with the program here,” DeSantis said, never resisting a chance to take a shot at his newfound enemies in the House.

Interchamber bickering aside, that’s a welcome announcement for the hardworking teachers who do one of the most important jobs in society: help educate our children and build them up to be successful.

But it’s important to note that those raises may be a matter of necessity, as DeSantis’ own administration seeks to exert additional control over the state’s education system.

He’s already made the issue a priority during his tenure as Governor. But just this week, DeSantis’ hand-selected Education Commissioner, Anastasios Kamoutsas, issued an additional warning to schools to ensure they are backing parental rights initiatives.

As we’ve written, the Left has been a bit too extreme here in endorsing a sort of anything goes attitude in the classroom in the name of inclusivity. But the Right’s counterbalance to that has been to empower kooks to go raise hell at School Board meetings and beyond to try to bully educators into bending to their will.

Kamoutsas’ letter appears to foreshadow additional penalties if schools aren’t toeing the administration’s line. And add to that another announcement this week from the State Board of Education lowering the standards for specialists who manage school library books. In other words, it’s a way of getting in unqualified people who will also enforce the administration’s viewpoint here.

That’s not to mention all of the changes coming due to cuts in the U.S. Department of Education.

These likely aren’t welcome announcements for teachers across the state, who likely aren’t keen to have the state constantly watching over their shoulder.

So additional pay raises may just be the cost of doing business to avoid a further exodus of teaching talent from Florida.

Now, it’s onto our weekly game of winners and losers.

Winners

Honorable mention: Rays baseball in Tampa Bay. It appears the Tampa Bay Rays — with emphasis on “Tampa Bay” — have found a lifeline.

As The Athletic reported this week, it appears there’s a deal to sell the team to Jacksonville developer Patrick Zalupski, who in turn says he’ll keep the team in the Tampa Bay area.

The news followed months of uncertainty after a deal to build a new stadium in the Historic Gas Plant District, along with new development, fell through following the fallout from Hurricane Milton.

With that deal dead, it was unclear what Rays owner Stuart Sternberg would do going forward. Now, Sternberg will be out of the picture entirely, with an agreement in principle to sell the team for $1.7 billion.

Interestingly, while Zalupski wants to keep the team local, he does reportedly prefer having the new stadium in Tampa rather than in St. Pete.

It remains to be seen how that might happen or whether it can help the Rays overcome their reputation as one of the worst-attended teams in baseball. But at least a generation who has grown up with the team won’t have it yanked out of the city because of a domino effect triggered by an act of God.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest winner: Ralph Massullo. In 2022, Massullo — then a member of the House — got bullied out of running for the open Senate District 11 seat after Gov. Ron DeSantis decided to endorse his close ally, Blaise Ingoglia, in the Republican Primary.

With DeSantis then at the peak of his powers in Florida, Massullo saw the writing on the wall and withdrew from the race, returning to the House and winning a fourth and final term.

There will be no such drama this time.

Massullo, now two years removed from service after hitting term limits, announced his run for the SD 11 seat in a Special Election to replace Ingoglia as Senator after DeSantis appointed Ingoglia as Chief Financial Officer (more on that in a second).

And this time, Massullo is running with the Governor’s support.

Succeeding Blaise Ingoglia in the Senate will be a tough act to follow, but if anyone can do it, Ralph Massullo can,” DeSantis posted on X. “Ralph has my support to be the next senator from Senate District 11.”

That all but guarantees that Massullo will win this Special Election, setting him up to run as an incumbent in November 2026.

The biggest winner: Ingoglia. Ingoglia will now join the Cabinet, a move that will allow him to have incumbent status ahead of a high-powered 2026 showdown with Sen. Joe Gruters.

It’s a stark move by DeSantis, who is openly defying President Donald Trump’s preferred choice in Gruters and selecting Ingoglia instead.

DeSantis also took the time to bash Gruters at a presser announcing his selection of Ingoglia, showing the Governor is ready to spend political capital to back Ingoglia as he runs for a full term in 2026.

For Ingoglia, he’ll now see his profile rise, and it’s likely that he and DeSantis have a fallback position ready for him depending on how next year’s Primary shakes out.

And now it’s time for our recurring reminder that this is a weekly column.

Ingoglia is clearly on top this week. He won out to succeed now-U.S. Rep. Jimmy Patronis in this role. For now, the Spring Hill Republican will exit a body where he serves among 39 colleagues and instead be side-by-side with DeSantis as part of the Governor’s Cabinet.

But 2026 does loom. And already, Trump is bringing out the big guns, with close allies immediately joining Gruters’ campaign, showing that the President is also going to take this contest seriously and fight to get a close ally elected.

DeSantis is clearly popular in the Sunshine State, but one has to wonder whether he has enough juice to win out against the sitting President. A recent survey from St. Pete Polls casts significant doubt on Ingoglia’s chances.

So next year’s race may not end well for Ingoglia. But that’s a problem for next year. For now, he’s the incumbent and Gruters isn’t, and Ingoglia will be able to run that office as he sees fit for over a year.

Losers

Dishonorable mention: Cory Mills. Mills is now facing a lawsuit from his landlord seeking to evict Mills from his property in Washington.

According to the documents, Mills pays a whopping $20,800 in rent per month. But the suit alleges Mills didn’t pay on time from March to July, causing Mills to owe more than $85,000.

Mills has spent the week pushing back on the story, targeting independent journalist Roger Sollenberger, who first reported on the suit. Mills said the issues were related to technical problems which didn’t allow him to pay his rent online.

Sollenberger countered that those messages are recent and don’t show previous missed payments, references Mills also being behind on rent payments in months prior, leading to a warning in January.

Maybe Mills’ story is legit and he’ll prevail in the end here. But this is a guy who previously floated running for Senate to challenge U.S. Sen. Ashley Moody in 2026. At the very least, this lawsuit is another headache that Mills doesn’t need, and adds to other potential hurdles Mills is facing, including a House ethics probe.

Speaking of electoral difficulty, campaign finance reports that were due this week shows a challenger in Mills’ House district outraised Mills in the second quarter.

Democrat Noah Widmann didn’t beat Mills by much, bringing it more than $254,000 compared to Mills’ $253,000. But if Mills does stick around to run for re-election in the House, this could be a sign he’ll face a tougher-than-expected General Election matchup, especially with the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee already listing Mills’ seat as a target.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest loser: Black voters. The legal challenge to DeSantis’ congressional map is officially dead, with the Florida Supreme Court ruling in favor of the DeSantis administration this week.

A brief refresher: DeSantis essentially hijacked the redistricting process in 2022, vetoing a map passed by a GOP Legislature in order to force his own preferred district lines instead.

One of the most controversial changes DeSantis made was eliminating an oddly drawn district in North Florida that Florida’s Supreme Court had previously drawn during a different legal challenge last decade. That North Florida district was designed to give Black voters power to choose their Representative of choice, and U.S. Rep. Al Lawson served there until DeSantis’ map completely reshaped it.

Lawson lost in 2022 while running in a majority GOP district against fellow U.S. Rep. Neal Dunn, a Republican. Several groups sued, arguing Florida’s Fair Districts Amendment disallows this method of diluting minority voter power.

The Florida Supreme Court, now filled with DeSantis appointees, disagreed. They essentially said the previous Justices on the court were wrong, and that the U.S. Constitution overrides the Fair Districts amendment. The majority found that the Equal Protection Clause disallows the type of shoehorned district drawn to give minority voters power in the first place.

That means DeSantis’ map will stand, and North Florida will likely continue its all-Republican makeup for the foreseeable future.

The biggest loser: Brightline. The Miami Herald and WLRN teamed up for an absolutely stellar piece of journalism this week, showing how Brightline trains — already known for killing many people in crashes since they began operating — have killed far more people than previously known.

Reporters pored through federal and local data to count 182 deaths caused by those trains since 2017. More than 40%, 75 in total, were ruled suicides. But even more — 91 — were ruled accidental, with 10 more undetermined and the final six still pending rulings.

Accidents happen. But the reporters who worked like hell uncovering these totals shredded Brightline regarding culpability.

“The reporting team found that Brightline has failed to urgently address the train’s dangers, blamed victims for the high death rate, and, as fatalities climbed, turned to the public to pay for safety upgrades,” the story says. “Even then, critical life-saving measures, including fencing along the tracks and suicide-crisis signs, haven’t been installed due to years-long delays in the release of federal funds.”

There is also blame to go around for local governments. And in response to the story, U.S. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy already promised to work on making these trains safer.

But clearly, something needs to change. Either Brightline can willingly pay for more safety measures on its own, the government can provide more resources, or the government can place more restrictions and force the company to act.

But action needs to be forthcoming. According to the report, a person is killed every 13 days since Brightline began service, making it the most dangerous passenger train in the U.S.


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Debra Tendrich turns ‘pain into policy’ with sweeping anti-domestic violence proposal

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Florida could soon rewrite how it responds to domestic violence.

Lake Worth Democratic Rep. Debra Tendrich has filed HB 277, a sweeping proposal aimed at modernizing the state’s domestic violence laws with major reforms to prevention, first responder training, court safeguards, diversion programs and victim safety.

It’s a deeply personal issue to Tendrich, who moved to Florida in 2012 to escape what she has described as a “domestic violence situation,” with only her daughter and a suitcase.

“As a survivor myself, HB 277 is more than legislation; it is my way of turning pain into policy,” she said in a statement, adding that months of roundtables with survivors and first responders “shaped this bill from start to finish.”

Tendrich said that, if passed, HB 277 or its upper-chamber analogue (SB 682) by Miami Republican Sen. Alexis Calatayud would become Florida’s most comprehensive domestic violence initiative, covering prevention, early intervention, criminal accountability and survivor support.

It would require mandatory strangulation and domestic violence training for emergency medical technicians and paramedics, modernize the legal definition of domestic violence, expand the courts’ authority to order GPS monitoring and strengthen body camera requirements during investigations.

The bill also creates a treatment-based diversion pathway for first-time offenders who plead guilty and complete a batterers intervention program, mental-health services and weekly court-monitored progress reporting. Upon successful completion, charges could be dismissed, a measure Tendrich says will reduce recidivism while maintaining accountability.

On the victim-safety side, HB 277 would flag addresses for 12 months after a domestic-violence 911 call to give responders real-time risk awareness. It would also expand access to text-to-911, require pamphlets detailing the medical dangers of strangulation, authorize well-check visits tied to lethality assessments, enhance penalties for repeat offenders and include pets and service animals in injunctions to prevent coercive control and harm.

Calatayud called it “a tremendous honor and privilege” to work with Tendrich on advancing policy changes “that both law enforcement and survivors of domestic abuse or relationship violence believe are meaningful to protect families across our communities.”

“I’m deeply committed to championing these essential reforms,” she added, saying they would make “a life-or-death difference for women and children in Florida.”

Organizations supporting HB 277 say the bill reflects long-needed, practical reform. Palm Beach County firefighters union IAFF Local 2928 said expanded responder training and improved dispatch information “is exactly the kind of frontline-focused reform that saves lives.”

The Florida Police Benevolent Association called HB 277 a “comprehensive set of measures designed to enhance protections” and pledged to help advance it through the Legislature.

The Animal Legal Defense Fund praised provisions protecting pets in domestic violence cases, noting research showing that 89% of women with pets in abusive relationships have had partners threaten or harm their animals — a major barrier that keeps victims from fleeing.

Florida continues to see high levels of domestic violence. The National Coalition Against Domestic Violence estimates that 38% of Florida women and 29% of Florida men experience intimate-partner violence in their lifetimes — among the highest rates in the country.

With costs rising statewide, HB 277 also increases relocation assistance through the Crimes Compensation Trust Fund, which advocates say is essential because the current $1,500 cap no longer covers basic expenses for victims fleeing dangerous situations.

Tendrich said survivors who contributed to the bill, which Placida Republican Rep. Danny Nix is co-sponsoring, “finally feel seen.”

“This bill will save lives,” she said. “I am proud that this bill has bipartisan support, and I am even more proud of the survivors whose bravery drives every line of this legislation.”



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Ash Marwah, Ralph Massullo battle for SD 11 Special Election

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Even Ash Marwah knows the odds do him no favors.

A Senate district that leans heavily Republican plus a Special Election just weeks before Christmas — Marwah acknowledges it adds up to a likely Tuesday victory for Ralph Massullo.

The Senate District 11 Special Election is Tuesday to fill the void created when Blaise Ingoglia became Chief Financial Officer.

It pits Republican Massullo, a dermatologist and Republican former four-term House member from Lecanto, against Democrat Marwah, a civil engineer from The Villages.

Early voter turnout was light, as would be expected in a low-key standalone Special Election: At 10% or under for Hernando and Pasco counties, 19% in Sumter and 15% in Citrus.

Massullo has eyed this Senate seat since 2022 when he originally planned to leave the House after six years for the SD 11 run. His campaign ended prematurely when Gov. Ron DeSantis backed Ingoglia, leaving Massullo with a final two years in office before term limits ended his House career.

When the SD 11 seat opened up with Ingoglia’s CFO appointment, Massullo jumped in and a host of big-name endorsements followed, including from DeSantis, Ingoglia, Agriculture Commissioner Wilton Simpson, U.S. Sens. Ashley Moody and Rick Scott, four GOP Congressmen, county Sheriffs in the district, and the Florida Chamber of Commerce.

The Florida LGBTQ+ Democratic Caucus is endorsing Marwah.

Marwah ran for HD 52 in 2024, garnering just 24% of the vote against Republican John Temple

Massullo has raised $249,950 to Marwah’s $12,125. Massullo’s $108,000 in spending includes consulting, events and mail pieces. One of those mail pieces reminded voters there’s an election.

The two opponents had few opportunities for head-to-head debate. The League of Women Voters of Citrus County conducted a SD 11 forum on Zoom in late October, when the two candidates clashed over the state’s direction.

Marwah said DeSantis and Republicans are “playing games” in their attempts to redraw congressional district boundaries.

“No need to go through this expense,” he said. “It will really ruin decades of progress in civil rights. We should honor the rule of law that we agreed on that it’ll be done every 10 years. I’m not sure why the game is being played at this point.”

Massullo said congressional districts should reflect population shifts.

“The people of our state deserve to be adequately represented based on population,” he said. “I personally do not believe we should use race as a means to justify particular areas. I’m one that believes we should be blind to race, blind to creed, blind to sex, in everything that we do, particularly looking at population.”

Senate District 11 covers all of Citrus, Hernando and Sumter counties, plus a portion of northern Pasco County. It is safely Republican — Ingoglia won 69% of the vote there in November, and Donald Trump carried the district by the same margin in 2024.



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Miles Davis tapped to lead School Board organizing workshop at national LGBTQ conference

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Miles Davis is taking his Florida-focused organizing playbook to the national stage.

Davis, Policy Director at PRISM Florida and Director of Advocacy and Communications at SAVE, has been selected to present a workshop at the 2026 Creating Change Conference, the largest annual LGBTQ advocacy and movement-building convention.

It’s a major nod to his rising role in Florida’s LGBTQ policy landscape.

The National LGBTQ Task Force, which organizes the conference, announced that Davis will present his session, “School Board Organizing 101.” His proposal rose to the top of more than 550 submissions competing for roughly 140 slots, a press note said, making this year’s conference one of the most competitive program cycles in the event’s history.

His workshop will be scheduled during the Jan. 21-24 gathering in Washington, D.C.

Davis said his selection caps a strong year for PRISM Florida, where he helped shepherd the organization’s first-ever bill (HB 331) into the Legislature. The measure, sponsored by Tampa Democratic Rep. Dianne Hart, would restore local oversight over reproductive health and HIV/AIDS instruction, undoing changes enacted under a 2023 expansion to Florida’s “Parental Rights in Education” law, dubbed “Don’t Say Gay” by critics.

Davis’ workshop draws directly from that work and aims to train LGBTQ youth, families and advocates in how local boards operate, how public comment can shape decisions and how communities can mobilize around issues like book access, inclusive classrooms and student safety.

“School boards are where the real battles over student safety, book access, and inclusive classrooms are happening,” Davis said. “I’m honored to bring this training to Creating Change and help our community build the skills to show up, speak out, and win — especially as PRISM advances legislation like HB 331 that returns power to our local communities.”

Davis’ profile has grown in recent years, during which he jumped from working on the campaigns and legislative teams of lawmakers like Hart and Miami Gardens Democratic Sen. Shevrin Jones to working in key roles for organizations like America Votes, PRISM and SAVE.

The National LGBTQ Task Force, founded in 1973, is one of the nation’s oldest LGBTQ advocacy organizations. It focuses on advancing civil rights through federal policy work, grassroots engagement and leadership development.

Its Creating Change Conference draws thousands for four days of training and strategy-building yearly, a press note said.



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