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Donald Trump’s opportunity to deliver another historic Japan trade agreement

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President Donald Trump and Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba have a unique opportunity to strike a trade deal benefiting both countries.

Trump’s priorities are clear: improving market access for American agriculture, automobiles and digital services while addressing a $70 billion trade deficit. Japanese consumers would benefit from greater product options at lower costs.

In September 2019, Trump and the late Prime Minister Shinzo Abe announced a landmark agreement expanding markets for American agriculture and industrial goods while setting the gold standard on digital trade. The deal removed key barriers, enabling American farmers, ranchers and innovators to sell more goods to Japan. Today’s negotiations are far more complex.

Trump is making bold demands to open Japanese markets, backing them with threats of across-the-board and sectoral tariffs. His counterpart, Ishiba, leads a minority government facing significant political challenges and weak polling numbers heading into crucial Upper House elections this week.

Central to Trump’s strategy is the automotive sector, which accounts for over half the trade deficit. Japan has historically maintained non-tariff barriers that frustrate American automakers. Trump has threatened substantial tariffs on Japanese automotive imports to push for market access reforms.

The stakes are high given the auto industry’s importance to Japan’s economy. Major automakers like Toyota, Honda and Nissan have significant U.S. operations and employ many Americans, but the trade imbalance remains a source of tension. Trump wants reciprocal market access to address this imbalance.

American agriculture was a key beneficiary of the 2019 agreement. Japan imports substantial amounts of American beef, pork and wheat, ranking as a top five market for each. Trump is focused on further reducing Japanese agricultural import restrictions, especially on rice, considering Japan’s recent rice shortage that sent prices skyrocketing. These barriers are unnecessary for a country that already imports significant food quantities.

Trump has consistently championed American technology companies against foreign government attacks. When Canada attempted to implement a Digital Services Tax requiring U.S. tech companies to pay billions, Trump used trade leverage to force a reversal. Similarly, his administration’s pressure on the EU’s digital services tax succeeded in getting the EU to drop it.

Japan has pursued such tactics as its antitrust authorities scrutinizing American tech companies, including smartphone software providers. Trump’s negotiating team seeks clarity and assurance about fair treatment for U.S. technology firms.

The importance of reaching a deal cannot be overstated. This week, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent will lead a Presidential Delegation to Osaka for the World Expo — an event he chose over the G20 in South Africa, signaling how crucial these negotiations are. This diplomatic prioritization reflects the strategic importance of the U.S.-Japan relationship when both nations face shared challenges from China’s economic and security posture.

Japan should seize the opportunity of Bessent’s visit to make a serious final offer on trade. Trump’s track record demonstrates his willingness to use leverage for meaningful results. His impatience with recalcitrant trading partners is clear: nations that don’t reach final agreements by Aug. 1 risk significantly higher tariffs. It’s time for Japan to come to the table and wrap up negotiations.

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Kenneth R. Weinstein, Ph.D., is the Japan Chair at Hudson Institute. In March 2020, he was nominated by Trump to serve as U.S. Ambassador to Japan. His nomination was reported unanimously out of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee in September 2020. He also previously served on the Advisory Committee on Trade Policy and Negotiations, which provides counsel on trade agreements to the U.S. Trade Representative. Weinstein has served under the last four U.S. administrations as a member of presidentially appointed commissions.


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Kevin Steele seeks insight from conservative leaders at Rick Scott-led summit

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State Rep. Kevin Steele’s campaign for Chief Financial Officer already enjoys political support from U.S. Sen. Rick Scott. The Dade City Republican attended a summit headlined by the Senator to also gain some policy insight and mentoring.

Steele was among the attendees for the Rescuing the American Dream summit held on Thursday in Washington, D.C. He said it was a quest for knowledge that drew him to Capitol Hill to hear the discussion.

“The way you do things better in the future is by learning from people who have already accomplished something,” Steele told Florida Politics at the event.

Scott gave a shoutout to Steele from the stage. The Governor already endorsed Steele, who is challenging the appointed Chief Financial Officer Blaise Ingoglia in 2026. At the summit, Scott both promoted conservative successes in the first year of President Donald Trump’s second term and laid out visions on issues from health care reform to cryptocurrency.

Steele called the panel discussions “amazing” and instructive on tackling affordability issues in Florida.

“If we don’t start addressing those things head first, we’re going to fall behind,” Steele said. “I think we’ve lost several million jobs in the state of Florida over the past six or seven years. Learning from Rick Scott and how to bring jobs back to the state is a good thing. And I think that we need to start tackling some of the big, big things that we need to attack.”

That includes addressing property insurance premiums head on and evaluating the property tax situation.

While he will be challenging a Republican incumbent in a Primary, Steele voiced caution at comparing his philosophy too directly with Ingoglia, a former Republican Party of Florida Chair with a history of animus with Scott.

But he did suggest Ingoglia’s recent scrutinizing of local governments may be starting at the wrong place when it comes to cutting spending.

“We need to start focusing on state down, instead of going to a county and pointing out flaws there,” Steele said. “There’s a lot of issues at the state level that we can address, some of which we are, some of which I’ve submitted different bills to address. I think that there’s a lot of waste and abuse at the state level that we can focus on.”



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Darren Soto refuses to call for Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick’s resignation

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U.S. Rep. Darren Soto is refusing to say whether indicted U.S. Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick should vacate her seat in Congress.

Video obtained by Florida Politics shows Soto being confronted on Capitol Hill. “Will you call on Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick to resign?” the videographer asks.

Initially, Soto remains silent, but the questioner suggests that silence shows “support” for someone who “stole $5 million in health care funds for the most vulnerable.” The Kissimmee Democrat then responds but continues walking away from the camera. He then conflates a censure motion against U.S. Rep. Cory Mills, a New Smyrna Beach Republican, and Cherfilus-McCormick, a Miramar Democrat.

“Both Mills and Cherfilus-McCormick, both will have due process. Thank you,” Soto said.

Both Cherfilus-McCormick and Mills remain the subjects of ongoing House Ethics Committee investigations. But only Cherfilus-McCormick now faces criminal prosecution for alleged financial crimes.

A grand jury in November indicted Cherfilus-McCormick on charges she stole $5 million in disaster relief funds to finance her 2021 congressional campaign.

The indictment alleges that Cherfilus-McCormick and her brother, Edwin Cherfilus, secured funding intended for a COVID vaccine distribution program, but when overpayments were made, she routed the spending through several accounts that later donated the funds as campaign contributions.

Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries said pursuant to House rules that Cherfilus-McCormick had to give up her ranking status on the Subcommittee on the Middle East and North Africa. Local Democrats have started to issue calls for the Miramar Democrat’s resignation. But there have been no calls from Democratic members of Congress.

U.S. Rep. Greg Steube, a Sarasota Republican, has said if she won’t resign, he will move for her expulsion.

The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC), which lists Soto as a target in 2026, slammed Soto’s unwillingness to criticize a fellow Democrat.

“Darren Soto’s refusal to call on Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick to resign is unacceptable,” said NRCC spokesperson Maureen O’Toole. “Floridians deserve a representative who fights for them, not his taxpayer-thieving colleague.”



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Lawmakers propose tough penalties for adults who involve minors in animal cruelty

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Bipartisan legislation filed this week would expand Florida’s criminal penalties for adults who involve children in acts of animal cruelty or expose them to violent offenses against animals.

Democratic Sen. Kristen Arrington and Republican Rep. Linda Chaney filed the legislation (SB 676, HB 559). The bills would add new crimes to state law that make it a third-degree felony for an adult to entice a minor to commit animal cruelty, or for an adult to commit animal cruelty in the presence of a minor. 

The lawmakers cite studies that show children who witness acts of animal cruelty experience an increase in mental health issues, along with an increased likelihood of engaging in violence themselves. By addressing the cycle of abuse early on, they say children can be shielded from additional trauma caused by witnessing violence.

The proposal would also create offenses for adults who involve minors in animal fighting or baiting, and for sexual activities with animals, while also ranking the new crimes on the state’s offense severity chart and increasing penalties for certain felony offenses. If approved, the act would take effect Oct. 1, 2026.

Arrington, of Kissimmee, said the goal is to strengthen protections for both children and animals.

“Exposing children to acts of animal cruelty not only harms animals but has a profound negative impact on children’s emotional development and wellbeing” Arrington said in a statement. “This bill is meant to protect both our youth and our animals, ensuring that those who would involve minors in such heinous acts face strict consequences.”

Chaney, of St. Pete Beach, said animal crimes committed in front of children are closely linked with other forms of family violence.

“Committing animal crimes in front of minors is a serious issue that often co-occurs with other forms of family violence and can have severe, long-term traumatic effects on the children involved” Chaney said. “We must do all we can to break generational cycles of violence. This bill can do that.”

Democratic Rep. Johanna López of Orlando signed on as a prime co-sponsor.

“I’m honored to join Senator Arrington and Representative Chaney in advancing reforms that protect the safety and mental health of our minors and ensure that those who abuse our children or our pets are held accountable,” López said.



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