Connect with us

Business

AI helped save the chip industry. What happens if it turns out to be a bust?

Published

on



Nvidia is now the first company to surge past $4 trillion in market capitalization, rebounding from its DeepSeek-induced slump earlier this year. Other AI chipmakers, including AMD and China’s Huawei, are reporting strong financial results. Nearly every major chipmaker is now centering its strategy on AI.

But what if AI doesn’t work out?

This isn’t just a hypothetical question. Some signs suggest that AI growth is stalling, or at least slowing down. New models no longer show significant improvements from scaling up size or the amount of training data. Nobel laureate Demis Hassabis recently noted that “we are no longer getting the same progress” on AI development. Andreessen Horowitz, one of the most prominent investors in AI, similarly shared concerns that AI model capabilities appeared to be plateauing.

One reason for AI’s slowing performance might be that models have already consumed most available digital data, leaving little left over for further improvement. Developers are instead turning to synthetic data, but it might be less effective—and might even make models worse.

AI development is also enormously capital intensive. Training the most advanced models requires compute clusters costing billions of dollars. Even a single training run can cost tens of millions of dollars. Yet while development costs keep going up, monetary rewards are limited. Aside from AI coding assistants, there are few examples of AI generating returns that justify these immense capital investments.

Some companies are already scaling back their AI infrastructure investment due to cost. Microsoft, for example, is “slowing or pausing some early-stage projects” and has canceled equipment orders for several global data center projects. Meta, AWS and Google have all reportedly cut their GPU orders. Chip bottlenecks, power shortages, and public concerns are also barriers to mass AI adoption.

If the AI boom peters out, that’s bad news for the chip industry, which has used this new technology to avoid a serious slump.

Chips are getting more expensive to make. Developing new manufacturing processes cost billions of dollars; building new plants can cost tens of billions of dollars. These costs are all passed onto consumers but, outside of AI, customers aren’t keen on buying more expensive chips. The fancy technologies in today’s AI processors aren’t that useful for other purposes.

AI delayed an industry reckoning: Manufacturing is getting more expensive, while performance gains are shrinking. The economic promise of AI justifies high chip prices, but if that goes away, the chip industry needs to find something else to persuade people to sustain investment in advanced chip manufacturing. Otherwise, advanced chipmaking will become unsustainable: New technologies will cost more and more, while delivering less and less.

A chip industry slump will upend several geopolitical and economic objectives. Governments have poured billions of dollars into building domestic chip industries. U.S. President Donald Trump routinely threatens to use tariffs to bring semiconductor manufacturing back home.

The U.S.’s supposed lead on chip development may prove to be a mirage, particularly as China dominates legacy chip production. And an AI reversal would shake up the world’s tech sector, forcing Big Tech to rethink its bets.

Given these stakes, policymakers need to encourage further innovation in AI by facilitating easier access to data, chips, power, and cooling. This includes pragmatic policies on copyright and data protection, a balanced approach to onshore and offshore chip manufacturing, and removing regulatory barriers to energy use and generation. Governments shouldn’t necessarily apply the precautionary principle to AI; the benefits are too great to handicap its development, at least at these early stages. Nor should large-scale AI applications, such as autonomous vehicles or home robotics, face unreasonably high requirements for implementation.

Investors should also explore alternate AI approaches that don’t require as much data and infrastructure, potentially unlocking new AI growth. The industry must also explore non-AI applications for chips, if only to manage their risk.

To ensure the chip industry can survive a slowdown, it must reduce the cost of advanced chipmaking. Companies should work together on research and development, as well as working with universities, to lower development costs. More investment is needed in chiplets, advanced packaging, and reconfigurable hardware. The industry must support interoperable standards, open-source tools, and agile hardware development. Shared, subsidized infrastructure for design and fabrication can help smaller companies finalize ideas before manufacturing. But, importantly, the drive to onshore manufacturing may be counterproductive: Doing so carelessly will significantly increase chip costs.  

The future of chips and AI are now deeply intertwined. If chips are to thrive, AI must grow. If not, the entire chip sector may now be in jeopardy.  

The opinions expressed in Fortune.com commentary pieces are solely the views of their authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinions and beliefs of Fortune.



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

OpenAI and Disney just ended the ‘war’ between AI and Hollywood with their $1 billion Sora deal

Published

on



Disney’s $1 billion investment in OpenAI, announced Thursday morning—and its decision to let more than 200 Disney, Pixar, Marvel, and Star Wars characters appear inside the Sora video generator—is more than a licensing deal. According to copyright and AI law expert Matthew Sag, who teaches at Emory University’s law school, the deal marks a strategic realignment that could reshape how Hollywood protects its IP in the face of AI-generated content that threatens to leech on their legally-protected magic. 

“AI companies are either in a position where they need to aggressively filter user prompts and model outputs to make sure that they don’t accidentally show Darth Vader, or strike deals with the rights holders to get permission to make videos and images of Darth Vader,” Sag told Fortune. “The licensing strategy is much more of a win-win.” 

The three-year agreement gives OpenAI the right to ingest hundreds of Disney-owned characters into Sora and ChatGPT Image. Disney will also receive equity warrants and become a major OpenAI customer, while deploying ChatGPT internally.

Sag said the deal itself will be a kind of “revenue-sharing.”

“OpenAI hasn’t figured out the revenue model,” Sag said. “So I think making this just an investment deal, in some ways, simplifies it. For Disney … [OpenAI] will figure out a way to make this profitable at some point, and [Disney will] get a cut of that.”

Why this deal matters: the ‘Snoopy problem’

For more than a year, the biggest legal threat to large-scale generative AI has centered on what Sag calls the “Snoopy problem”: It is extremely difficult to train powerful generative models without some degree of memorization, and copyrightable characters are uniquely vulnerable because copyright protects them in the abstract.

Sag was careful to outline a key distinction. AI companies aren’t licensing the right to train on copyrighted works; they’re licensing the right to create outputs that would otherwise be infringing.

That’s because the case for AI companies training their models on unlicensed content is “very strong,” Sag said. Two recent court rulings involving Anthropic and Meta have strengthened those arguments.  

The real stumbling block, Sag said, has always been outputs, not training. If a model can accidentally produce a frame that looks too much like Darth Vader, Homer Simpson, Snoopy, or Elsa, the fair use defense begins to fray.

“If you do get too much memorization, if that memorization finds its way into outputs, then your fair-use case begins to just crumble,” Sag said.

While it’s impossible to license enough text to train an LLM (“that would take a billion” deals, Sag said), it is possible to build image or video models entirely from licensed data if you have the right partners. This is why deals like Disney’s are crucial: They turn previously illegal outputs into legal ones, irrespective of whether the training process itself qualifies as fair use.

“The limiting principle is going to be essentially about whether—in their everyday operation—these models reproduce substantial portions of works from their training data,” Sag said.

The deal, Sag says, is also a hedge against Hollywood’s lawsuits. This announcement is “very bad” for Midjourney, who Disney is suing for copyright infringement, because it upholds OpenAI’s licensing deal as the “responsible” benchmark for AI firms. 

This is also a signal about the future of AI data

Beyond copyright risk, the deal exposes another trend: the drying up of high-quality, unlicensed data on the public internet.

In a blog post, Sag wrote:

“The low-hanging fruit of the public internet has been picked,” he wrote. “To get better, companies like OpenAI are going to need access to data that no one else has. Google has YouTube; OpenAI now has the Magic Kingdom.”

This is the core of what he calls the “data scarcity thesis.” OpenAI’s next leap in model quality may require exclusive content partnerships, as opposed to more scraping. 

“By entangling itself with the world’s premier IP holder, OpenAI makes itself indispensable to the very industry that threatened to sue it out of existence,” Sag wrote. 

AI and Hollywood have spent three years locked in a cold war over training data, likeness rights and infringement. With Disney’s $1 billion investment, that era appears to be ending.

“This is the template for the future,” Sag wrote. “We are moving away from total war between AI and content, toward a negotiated partition of the world.”



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

Bob Iger says Disney’s $1 billion deal with OpenAI is an ‘opportunity, not a threat’: ‘We’d rather participate than be disrupted by it’

Published

on



Disney is investing $1 billion in OpenAI and is giving the go-ahead for its iconic characters like Mickey Mouse to be used in the AI short-form video app Sora.

The two companies announced a three-year deal that would bring more than 200 characters to Sora with a period of exclusivity for part of the duration of the deal.

Disney CEO Bob Iger painted the team-up as Disney taking the next step in content with the newest technology and waived away concerns about whether the deal represents a threat to human creators.

“We’ve always viewed technological advances as opportunity, not threat,” Iger said. 

“It’s going to happen regardless, and we’d rather participate in the rather dramatic growth, rather than just watching it happen and essentially being disrupted by it,” he later added.

Iger also noted in an interview with CNBC that as part of the deal, Disney characters can be used in Sora videos, but it does not include rights to likeness or voices. 

“OpenAI is putting guardrails essentially around how these are used, so that really there’s nothing to be concerned about from a consumer perspective,” he said. “This will be a safe environment and a safe way for consumers to engage with our characters in a new way.”

Iger said the company would also feature some user-generated AI content from Sora on the Disney+ platform, which he said would be a great way to increase engagement with younger users.

Disney will receive warrants to buy additional equity in OpenAI as part of the deal and Iger said there would be future opportunities for the company to become an OpenAI customer including licensing from OpenAI. 

Starting last year, OpenAI started opening up Sora to more users and in September launched Sora 2, an upgraded version of the video generator catered more toward mobile. Controversy followed its September release because of the app’s ability to create convincing and realistic videos of people. In October, OpenAI paused AI-generated deepfake videos that featured civil rights leader Martin Luther King Jr. after his daughter, Bernice A. King complained they were being used in a “demeaning, disjointed” way.

Thursday’s deal also comes after Disney sent a cease-and-desist letter to Google for allegedly using its intellectual property to train its AI models and in its services without permission. The company has previously sent similar letters to other companies like Character.ai. Iger told CNBC that Character.ai corrected the issue shortly after and noted that with Google, “the ball is in their court,” and Disney would wait to see how they react to the claim.

Altman for his part said Sora users have longed to use Disney characters in their videos and said he hoped adding them to the platform could “unleash a sort of whole new way that people use this technology.”

“We have underestimated the amount of latent creativity in the world,” said Altman. “But if you lower the effort, skill, time required to create new things people very quickly are able to bring ideas to life.”



Source link

Continue Reading

Business

RFK Jr. and Sean Duffy had pull-up competition to announce a $1B plan for healthy airport upgrades

Published

on



As if dragging a three-wheeled carry-on across the mileage of an international airport isn’t enough, the government wants you panting before your flight. This week, Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy and Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. had a pull-up competition in the middle of Reagan National Airport’s Terminal 2 (not a metaphor) to announce the $1 billion in grants the administration plans to allocate toward healthy airport upgrades.

  • Officials were vague about what these upgrades could include, but mentioned projects like dedicated play areas for kids, more lactation pods, and mini-gyms for travelers.
  • The funding will come from former President Biden’s 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act and is part of the current administration’s “Make Travel Family Friendly Again” initiative.

But…over 30 major US airport hubs already have children’s play areas, and most airports have been required to provide private lactation areas since FY2021. And 68% of passengers said their top priority for air travel changes is lower prices, according to a 2025 Ipsos poll for Airlines for America.

Big picture: The administration has been pushing initiatives to make flying more pleasant. Last month, Duffy encouraged travelers to dress up for flights and act right, which some travelers responded to by…wearing pajamas to the airport to troll the secretary.—MM

This report was originally published by Morning Brew.

Join us at the Fortune Workplace Innovation Summit May 19–20, 2026, in Atlanta. The next era of workplace innovation is here—and the old playbook is being rewritten. At this exclusive, high-energy event, the world’s most innovative leaders will convene to explore how AI, humanity, and strategy converge to redefine, again, the future of work. Register now.



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © Miami Select.