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OBBB — Alligator Alcatraz — payout audit — AmeriCorps — stormy

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Medicaid measure pulled

Senators were afforded little sleep this week as they deliriously proceeded through votes on 222 proposed amendments to the “One Big Beautiful Bill.”

But one of the most discussed — and feared — amendments filed by Sen. Rick Scott ultimately did not receive a vote. Early Tuesday, after a reported midnight meeting between a conservative bloc of Senators and Majority Leader John Thune, news broke that the amendment would be withdrawn.

Rick Scott’s controversial amendment to cut Medicaid enrollment was pulled after late-night negotiations.

The Naples Republican had proposed that the bill include a Federal Medical Assistance Percentage (FMAP) to eliminate the ability of those who are not disabled, pregnant or older than 65 to enroll in Medicaid. He rallied a bloc of Republicans in the Senate — himself and Sens. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin, Mike Lee of Utah and Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming — around the proposal.

As late as Monday, Scott promoted the measure on social media and with colleagues on the floor.

“Right now, benefits for those who truly need Medicaid are at risk because of Democrat-led states’ fraud, waste and abuse of the system,” he posted on X. “My FMAP fix protects this program for future generations, AND takes effect over time, so no one who needs this critical program loses it.”

President Donald Trump promised that passage of the bill, which makes tax cuts from his first term permanent, won’t boot anyone off Medicaid who was covered under the program’s original mission. During a trip to Florida, Trump said the bill will only cut “waste, fraud and abuse, which is what everybody wants.”

But the measure had GOP critics who say that’s not possible. Sen. Thom Tillis, a North Carolina Republican, gave a fiery speech defending Medicaid on Monday, a day after announcing he would not run for re-election. He said that any cuts risked compromising the nation’s safety net, which provides for its neediest citizens.

“What do I tell 663,000 people in two years or three years, when President Trump breaks his promise by pushing them off Medicaid because the funding’s not there anymore?” he said.

As written, the amendment calls for people to be removed from Medicaid by the start of 2031. As for the impact, an analysis by the Congressional Budget Office of the tax cut package as written will already result in 17 million people being booted from federal health plans by 2034. If Scott’s proposal had won Senate approval, it could have increased the figure to as high as 29 million people, while also saving an additional $313 million in federal spending.

The tax cut package passed on Tuesday after Vice President JD Vance broke a 50-50 tie and without the Scott language. Now it heads back to the House with amendments that did pass.

Florida Republicans in the lower chamber, though, voiced frustration with the number of individuals being left on Medicaid under the bill as written in the Senate. Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, a St. Petersburg Republican, lamented a Senate vote against actively kicking any illegal migrants off the federal program.

“This is not what I voted for,” she posted on X.

Still, Republicans in the delegation have lobbied for the legislation to pass. Rep. Vern Buchanan, a Longboat Key Republican and Co-Chair of the Florida congressional delegation, led an open letter to Floridians signed by 11 lawmakers, including Luna, touting the tax benefits of the bill as passed by the House.

“The One Big Beautiful Bill Act will lower taxes for hardworking families, seniors and small businesses, protect Medicaid and strengthen America’s border security. We are committed to seeing this bill become law on behalf of all Floridians,” the letter reads.

Special invitation

Trump on Tuesday attended the opening of a migrant detention center in Florida dubbed “Alligator Alcatraz.” The converted air strip will immediately bring 1,000 beds for detained migrants online and will be expanded to 3,000 beds by the end of July.

“You don’t always have land so beautiful and so secure. They have a lot of bodyguards and a lot of cops that are the form of alligators,” Trump said. “You don’t have to pay them so much, but I wouldn’t want to run through the Everglades for long. It will keep people where they’re supposed to be.”

Trump, Ron DeSantis, and Byron Donalds tour ‘Alligator Alcatraz,’ a new migrant detention center in Florida. Image via The Hill.

For political observers, the lineup of officials attending the center’s opening was as newsworthy as the work itself. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, when announcing the visit, mentioned that one member of the congressional delegation would also attend.

Rep. Byron Donalds, whom Trump has endorsed for Governor, visited the center with Gov. Ron DeSantis and the President. Donalds, a Naples Republican, spoke at a roundtable and praised the project, as well as both the state and federal administrations for working together.

“It really does mean a lot to all the people of Florida,” he said.

But the facility is located in Rep. Mario Díaz-Balart’s district. The Hialeah Republican, however, will not attend the opening. Rather, Díaz-Balart will remain in Washington, working on budget matters as Chair of the House National Security, Department of State and Related Programs Appropriations Subcommittee.

Regardless, the idea of DeSantis and Donalds attending any public event together sparked interest in Florida circles due to the 2026 Governor’s race. Many expect DeSantis to have a different preferred choice in the contest, namely First Lady Casey DeSantis.

However, at the event, both DeSantis and Trump emphasized a positive relationship with one another, despite competing against each other in the GOP Presidential Primaries last year. DeSantis suggested the state will save the administration by housing migrants, just as he helped Trump’s campaign by making Florida a red state during his time as Governor.

“Obviously, we saved him a lot of money in Florida, because Florida was a deep red state. He didn’t even have to do a rally in Florida, whereas ’20, 2016 and ’24, this was like ground zero.”

Florida’s Finest

Sen. Ashley Moody gave out her latest “Florida’s Finest Award,” an honor bestowed upon a resident of the state.

The Plant City Republican on June 20 presented the recognition to Yvette Paradis, a Pensacola Energy customer service representative who was on the phone with a customer when he started having a seizure. Paradis called 911, likely saving the man’s life.

Ashley Moody honors Yvette Paradis, a customer service representative who saved a caller’s life.

“Yvette was having a normal day at work as a customer service representative when she answered a routine call, but it quickly turned into a lifesaving operation when she noticed signs of distress on the other end of the line,” Moody recounted.

“The customer responded by telling her that he was having a seizure, and Yvette immediately called 911 to send the ambulance to his home and advised the customer’s neighbor to stay with him until help arrived. Though she had limited information and little time, Yvette made a decision that made the difference between life and death. Her quick thinking and responsiveness saved this man, and I am proud to recognize her with the Florida’s Finest Award.”

Moody launched the award in April, when she gave the first such recognition to Ashley Willis, an Indialantic 911 dispatcher. Willis was credited with actions that saved the life of a pregnant woman on the Atlantic coast.

Discrimination against disabled

The House approved legislation championed by Rep. Kat Cammack that protects disabled Americans from discrimination on organ transplant waiting lists.

The Charlotte Woodward Organ Transplant Discrimination Prevention Act (HR 1520) passed last week on a voice vote before heading to the Senate.

Kat Cammack’s bill to prevent organ transplant discrimination against the disabled passes the House.

The bill was named for Charlotte Woodward, a Michigan constituent of Rep. Debbie Dingell, the Democratic co-sponsor of the bill. But Cammack also spotlighted the story of Zion Sarmiento, an Ocala infant who died after being denied a heart transplant.

“Baby Zion, a young infant with Down syndrome in Florida’s 3rd Congressional District, was denied a lifesaving heart transplant in 2021 and passed away. His life was worth saving, and we’re fighting to end discrimination in the organ transplant system, so the same thing never happens again,” Cammack said.

“I am honored to work alongside Congresswoman Dingell and my colleagues on both sides of the aisle in safeguarding the rights of those with disabilities.”

The legislation would bar making an individual ineligible for a transplant or determining their place on a list based on any disability.

Trueing the books

The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) recommended numerous cuts in federal spending but also stated that some $4.7 trillion in expenditures could not be traced to a specific source or use, as reported by Fox News.

Now, Rep. Mike Haridopolos wants a better accounting of taxpayer dollars. The Indian Harbour Beach Republican introduced the Locating Every Disbursement in Government Expenditure Records (LEDGER) Act (HR 4091). The bill establishes a mandatory, standardized system for recording all payments made by the Treasury Department.

Mike Haridopolos and Rick Scott introduce the LEDGER Act to track untraceable federal spending.

“The discovery that bureaucrats spent trillions of taxpayer dollars without basic tracking measures showed that Washington’s spending problem is also an accountability problem,” Haridopolos said. “The LEDGER Act addresses this by ensuring that every federal payment is properly documented, bringing much-needed transparency to government spending.”

Scott introduced a companion bill in the Senate. He notably signed the state-level Florida Accountability Contract Tracking System (FACTS) Act, a similar bill, into law as Florida Governor.

“I am glad to lead the LEDGER Act with my colleague, Congressman Haridopolos, to fix that by requiring Treasury to track every payment made using Americans’ tax dollars. There’s not a single family or business in America that operates this way — we look at our bank accounts and credit card statements to make sure we know where our money is going and stay on budget,” Scott said.

“I brought the same common sense of every American family and business as Governor of Florida to get spending under control and balance the budget, and we can do the same on the federal level to save the American dream and support the great work of President Trump, (Commerce) Secretary (Scott) Bessent and DOGE.”

AmeriCorps restoration

After a judge ordered the Trump administration to restore funding to AmeriCorps, grants are back on track for service organizations in Orlando.

Rep. Maxwell Frost announced $1.8 million in grants will go to Operation AmeriCorps and City Year Orlando’s academic support programs in underserved areas.

Maxwell Frost announces $1.8 million in AmeriCorps grants are returning to Orlando service programs.

“These federal grants are an investment in the volunteers and programs that help address Central Florida’s most pressing needs. Both City Year Orlando and Operation AmeriCorps work to ensure every child has the opportunity to succeed. And that work isn’t possible without strong federal support,” the Orlando Democrat said.

“The Trump administration may label AmeriCorps’ work as ‘wasteful,’ but in Central Florida, we know their work is essential to building a stronger, thriving community for everyone.”

AmeriCorps coordinates volunteer and service efforts nationwide, with 200,000 individuals enrolled across the country.

Reclaiming legacies

More than 80 years after World War II ended in Europe, much of the art stolen by Nazis during the Holocaust has never been returned to rightful owners or their survivors. Rep. Laurel Lee co-introduced a bipartisan bill to help families reclaim stolen works.

New legislation built on the Holocaust Expropriated Art Recovery (HEAR) Act would eliminate a 2026 expiration date on claims and help close loopholes that Jewish groups say denied rightful return of valuable collections.

Laurel Lee co-sponsors a bipartisan bill helping families reclaim art stolen during the Holocaust. Image via AP.

“The Nazi regime stole not only lives but legacies, including cultural and family treasures that carry deep personal and historical meaning,” said Lee, a Thonotosassa Republican.

“This bill ensures that families who lost everything during the Holocaust are given a fair shot at justice. These claims should be decided on the truth, not on legal loopholes or paperwork deadlines. With this legislation, we reaffirm our commitment to standing with Holocaust survivors and their families. They deserve to have their stories heard and their property returned. It’s never too late to do the right thing.”

She filed the bill with Republican Rep. Scott Fitzgerald of Wisconsin and Democratic Reps. Maggie Goodlander of New Hampshire, Jerry Nadler of New York and Jamie Raskin of Maryland.

“I was proud to be a lead sponsor of the HEAR Act when it passed in 2016 and am proud to help lead my colleagues in reintroducing the bill today,” Nadler said. “As a matter of principle, we affirm that in the United States, everyone who has a credible claim deserves to have their day in court. This bill realizes that principle and ensures that every family has the right to a fair and just process based solely on the merits of their claim.”

Art Ashes, a nonprofit dedicated to claiming art stolen by the Nazi regime, was among the Jewish organizations to endorse the bill.

“This legislation renews and strengthens the HEAR Act, which is set to expire, by closing critical loopholes and addressing key oversights. It reaffirms our commitment to ensuring that rightful owners of Nazi-looted art — and their families — receive the restitution they are owed,” said Art Ashes President Joel Greenberg.

“Any museum that knowingly retains stolen works is complicit in perpetuating the injustice inflicted on Holocaust victims. We have both a moral and legal obligation to correct these wrongs and to ensure the crimes of the Holocaust are neither forgiven nor forgotten.”

TPS terminated

The termination of any temporary protected status for Haitians in the U.S. left the only Haitian American now in Congress fuming.

Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem announced all TPS protections will expire on Aug. 3, and individuals with protections will have them terminated on Sept. 2. At that point, individuals in the U.S. are encouraged to return to Haiti or risk deportation.

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick denounces the administration’s decision to end TPS protections for Haitian nationals. Image via AP.

“The environmental situation in Haiti has improved enough that it is safe for Haitian citizens to return home,” a Homeland Security spokesperson said. “We encourage these individuals to take advantage of the Department’s resources in returning to Haiti, which can be arranged through the CBP Home app. Haitian nationals may pursue lawful status through other immigration benefit requests, if eligible.”

But Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, a Miramar Democrat, criticized the decision by the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) to end the legal protections despite continued violence that has destabilized the Caribbean island nation.

“While DHS claims that conditions in Haiti have improved, this assessment appears inconsistent with the State Department’s travel advisory, which warns of widespread violence, kidnappings and civil unrest. If the country is considered unsafe for U.S. travelers, it raises serious concerns about sending families back at this time,” Cherfilus-McCormick said.

Rep. Frederica Wilson, a Miami-Dade Democrat, agreed.

“Haiti is not safe! It’s riddled with gang violence and political turmoil,” she said. “The poorest country in the Western Hemisphere cannot absorb deportees. This news is insanity on steroids, and it is heartbreaking to my community. I urge this administration to reverse their drastic decision on TPS for Haitians. We cannot send any more people back to Haiti. This ruling is hateful, inhumane and heartless.”

The decision to end TPS for Haitians in particular could be especially impactful in Florida, home to 49% of all Haitians living in the U.S., according to the Migration Policy Institute.

“The economic impact is also significant. TPS holders and their households contribute an estimated $2.3 billion in federal and $1.3 billion in state and local taxes annually. The removal of hundreds of thousands of workers would affect not only South Florida but also the national economy,” Cherfilus-McCormick said.

“Our immigration policies should reflect compassion, consistency, and respect for those who have built their lives here under legal protections. I encourage the administration to reconsider this decision and call on Congress to provide a permanent solution for TPS holders.”

Birthright attack

Wilson also predicted significant consequences in the state for a Supreme Court ruling stating lower court judges cannot grant nationwide injunctions to parties not covered by the lawsuit in question. That explicitly relates to a Trump executive order ending birthright citizenship, something many critics believe to be blatantly unconstitutional.

“Every child born in the United States is an American citizen. PERIOD. We cannot become a nation that starts targeting newborns. The judicial fight to protect birthright citizenship is still ongoing, and we must protect this constitutional right,” Wilson said.

Frederica Wilson warns that a Supreme Court ruling threatens the fight for birthright citizenship.

Beyond Haitians, Florida boasts the highest concentration of immigrants from many Western Hemisphere nations, including the Bahamas, Colombia, Cuba and Venezuela.

However, Wilson saw ramifications of the ruling extending beyond the citizenship of many children of immigrants born in Florida.

“But today’s Supreme Court’s decision is a crazy power grab to limit federal judges’ powers to pause rulings,” she said. “Republicans have long tried to get rid of as many checks and balances on President Trump and today, the Supreme Court eliminated a key check on the President. This is what happens when you have a President who doesn’t respect the rule of law, and a misguided Court and Congress to back him.”

Stormwater win

Wilton Manors will receive $1 million to upgrade its water infrastructure with a stormwater improvement product. Rep. Jared Moskowitz announced the grant, which comes from the Environmental Protection Agency’s State and Tribal Assistance Grants program.

Jared Moskowitz secures a $1 million grant for Wilton Manors’ stormwater infrastructure project.

“I’ve been pushing the Trump administration to release much-needed federal funds for our district, and I’m glad to see these resources coming to Wilton Manors,” the Parkland Democrat said.

“Water is the most basic necessity there is, and with the help of these funds, residents can be confident their community has the clean water infrastructure they rely on.”

Human rights champion

Miami human rights activist Rosa María Payá was just formally elected to the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, formerly Florida’s Senator and a longtime Miami politician, appointed her to the Commission on behalf of the U.S. earlier this year, and the Commission voted to put her on the board last week.

South Florida lawmakers cheered the election.

Human rights activist Rosa María Payá is elected to the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights.

“Congratulations to Rosa María Payá on her election to serve as a member of the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights,” said Díaz-Balart, dean of the congressional delegation.

“Rosa María has dedicated her life to supporting freedom for the Cuban people and others living in tyranny in our hemisphere, while ensuring that we never forget the sacrifice that so many have made in the struggle for freedom. She will be an effective, dedicated, and knowledgeable advocate for human rights.”

The Havana native is the daughter of Oswaldo Payá Sardiñas, founder of the Christian Liberation Movement in Cuba, who died in a car crash in 2012 on the island.

Rubio also cheered Payá’s advancement in the process. “Payá’s voice and tireless advocacy in defense of freedom, democracy, and human rights in our region is needed now more than ever,” he posted.

Payá, in turn, thanked the Cabinet member publicly for the opportunity.

“Your unwavering defense of freedom in our hemisphere have paved the way,” she wrote in a post tagging Rubio. “Honored to walk this path for my father and with those who never stop standing for liberty.”

NOAA cuts

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has filed an update to its budget request to Congress, recommending the closure of the Atlantic Oceanographic & Meteorological Laboratory in Miami.

That’s part of a 17% reduction in the federal agency’s workforce. Shuttering that facility, along with several other weather labs nationwide, will result in a decrease of 285 NOAA employees.

The administration proposes closing Miami’s NOAA laboratory as part of significant federal workforce reductions.

The agency plans to shift some of the lab’s responsibilities to other NOAA functions, including the National Weather Service, according to the budget document. NOAA intends to continue pursuing commercial lease options for the Weather Forecasting Office in Miami.

However, the closure of the laboratory is part of the Trump administration’s effort to reduce the number of federal employees at NOAA significantly. The Miami facility was affected by layoffs that included the elimination of 216 personnel at climate laboratories, 285 at weather laboratories and 131 at ocean laboratories.

On this day

July 1, 1836 — “Congress authorizes Andrew Jackson to accept donation for Smithsonian” via the Smithsonian Institution — President Jackson asserted his belief that the people of the United States would ultimately put such opportunities to good use. Unsure whether the Constitution gave him the authority to accept the James Smithson bequest, he asked Congress to pass legislation allowing him to do so. Congress authorized acceptance and Jackson took immediate steps to secure the bequest by sending diplomat Richard Rush to England. Rush spent two years in England pursuing the United States’ claim in the Court of Chancery. The Court awarded Smithson’s properties, valued at approximately $508,318, to the United States.

July 1, 1963 — “Post Office introduces ZIP codes” via History.com — The Zone Improvement Plan (ZIP) was part of an effort to improve the speed of mail delivery, inaugurating the use of machine-readable ZIP codes to facilitate the efficient sorting of mail at a national level. The idea wasn’t totally new. In 1943, the Post Office had created numbered zones for over 100 urban areas nationwide. However, in the post-World War II boom, that system quickly became inadequate. Between 1943 and 1962, annual mail volume doubled from 33 billion to 66.5 billion pieces, and the average mailed letter passed through an average of 17 sorting stops.

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Peter Schorsch publishes Delegation, compiled by Jacob Ogles, edited and assembled by Phil Ammann and Ryan Nicol.


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Ron DeSantis again downplays interest in a second presidential run

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The question won’t go away.

Gov. Ron DeSantis may be out of state, just like he was when he ran for President in 2024, but that doesn’t mean he’s eyeing another run for the White House.

“I’ve got my hands full, man. I’m good,” he told Stuart Varney during an in-studio interview Friday in New York City, responding to a question about his intentions.

DeSantis added that it was “not the first time” he got that question, which persists amid expectations of a crowded field of candidates to succeed President Donald Trump.

“I’m not thinking about anything because I think we have a President now who’s not even been in for a year. We’ve got a lot that we’ve got to accomplish,” the term-limited Governor told Jake Tapper last month when asked about 2028.

It may be for the best that DeSantis isn’t actively running, given some recent polls.

DeSantis, who ran in 2024 before withdrawing after failing to win a single county in the Iowa caucuses, has just 2% support in the latest survey from Emerson College.

Recent polling from the University of New Hampshire says he’ll struggle again in what is historically the first-in-the-nation Primary state. The “Granite State Poll,” his worst showing in any state poll so far, shows the Florida Governor with 3% support overall.

In January 2024, DeSantis had different messaging after leaving the GOP Primary race.

“When I was in Iowa, a lot of these folks that stuck with the President were very supportive of what I’ve done in Florida. They thought I was a good candidate,” DeSantis said. “I even had people say they think that I would even do better as President, but they felt that they owed Trump another shot. And so I think we really made a strong impression.”

But that was then, this is now.



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First place at stake for Jaguars vs. Colts

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How big is Sunday’s game for the Jaguars?

According to The Athletic, the Jaguars have an 83% chance of making the playoffs entering the weekend. That’s a pretty good bet. At 8-4, the Jaguars are currently in the third spot in the AFC.

However, Jacksonville stands a 42% chance of winning the division, slightly better than Sunday’s opponent, the Indianapolis Colts (8-4), who sit at 34% to win the AFC South.

With both games against the Colts still on the schedule and matchups with the struggling New York Jets, a trip to Denver to face the surging Broncos, and the season finale at home against the Tennessee Titans, the Jaguars need only to win the games they should win to make the playoffs.

Leaving the Colts games aside for the moment, if the Jaguars simply beat the Jets and Titans, they would have 10 wins. That is almost certainly enough to earn a postseason spot.

So, in a way, Sunday’s game against the Colts isn’t make-or-break. However, if the Jaguars want to win the division and host a playoff game, at least one win over the Colts is essential. Should the Jaguars win Sunday, they would hold a 1-game advantage over the Colts and, for the time being, hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over Indianapolis.

By one metric, the Jaguars can increase their playoff odds to 95% with a victory on Sunday. Even with a loss, they are a good bet to make the playoffs as a wild-card team. But the chance to start the postseason with a home game is a powerful advantage, one that division winners enjoy.

Health will be a major factor in Sunday’s game. The Jaguars hope to have wide receiver/kick returner Parker Washington and defensive end Travon Walker back in the lineup. Both missed some or all of last week’s game but practiced in a limited basis this week. Starting left tackle Walker Little and safety Andrew Wingard remained in the concussion protocol this week. Starting right guard Patrik Mekari returned from concussion protocol on Wednesday.

The Colts are also dealing with injuries. Cornerback Sauce Gardner did not practice this week, while quarterback Daniel Jones continues to play with a fracture in his leg.

The key matchup could be strength vs. strength. Indianapolis running back Jonathan Taylor leads the NFL in rushing with 1,282 yards, while the Jaguars are the league’s top rush defense, allowing opponents only 82.4 yards per contest. No running back has run for more than 90 yards against the Jaguars this season, and only one, Houston’s Woody Marks, has rushed for more than 70 yards in a game. Taylor averages nearly 107 yards per game this season.

The Jaguars last made the playoffs in 2022 in Doug Pederson’s first season as head coach. Liam Coen is trying to replicate the feat.

Interestingly, the game is one of three in the NFL this weekend with first place on the line.

The Baltimore Ravens host the Pittsburgh Steelers Sunday. Both teams are 6-6, and the winner will lead the AFC North. The Chicago Bears (9-3) also travel to Green Bay to face the Packers (8-3-1), with the winner taking the top spot in the NFC North.



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Supporters rally behind Ken Welch as re-election bid looms

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As St. Petersburg Mayor Ken Welch prepares to seek a second term, some political observers have questioned whether his first four years delivered enough progress to merit re-election.

Longtime community leaders like Rep. Michele Rayner, Pinellas County Commissioner Rene Flowers and Rev. J.C. Pritchett say the answer is already clear: No other candidate brings the same mix of lived experience, policy acumen and unshakable commitment to the city’s underserved neighborhoods as Welch.

Elected in 2021 as the city’s first Black Mayor, Welch came into office with a sweeping promise to build an inclusive St. Pete. His agenda emphasized affordable housing, equity and the long-delayed redevelopment of the Historic Gas Plant District — the once-thriving Black neighborhood razed in the 1980s to make way for Tropicana Field

The symbolism of Welch — whose family lost their lumberyard business in that very neighborhood — taking the lead on its reimagining is not lost on his supporters.

“The Gas Plant is in his fingernails,” said Pritchett, a longtime pastor and civic leader. “He realizes how sacred that is and how important that is. He has heard the stories, from his family and from residents, about what it was like to be displaced from your home and be promised for almost 50 years an answer and it not be delivered.”

While some recent coverage has spotlighted perceived stumbles — including storm recovery challenges, City Hall turnover, and the Tampa Bay Rays’ withdrawal from the redevelopment deal — Welch’s allies say the record tells a different story: a leader navigating complex crises with pragmatism, restraint and a steady hand.

Pritchett, whose ministerial alliance endorsed Welch in 2021, said the Mayor remains the right leader for a city on the edge of transformation.

“I think he ought to be able to have the opportunity to really lean into the work that he started,” he said.

Already, City Council member Brandi Gabbard has announced she will run against Welch. A well-known Realtor and moderate Democrat, Gabbard is considered a credible contender with appeal across ideological lines. She may not be the only challenger; former Governor and U.S. Rep. Charlie Crist is also reportedly weighing a bid for the office.

Rayner, who has known Welch for much of her life, said he is uniquely suited to carry forward the Gas Plant vision because of his roots in the community.

“He understands the nuances of what this means, not only for St. Pete at large but for Black people who did not get what was owed to them,” Rayner said. “He’s able to navigate the sensitivities around that issue in a way no one else can.”

Under Welch’s leadership, the city launched an ambitious redevelopment plan with the Tampa Bay Rays and Hines to transform the 86-acre site into a new neighborhood featuring affordable housing, a ballpark and cultural amenities honoring the displaced Gas Plant community.

But after hurricanes battered the city last year, causing widespread damage, the Rays pulled out of the agreement in early 2025 following Pinellas County and City Council’s decision to slightly delay bond votes.

Critics have seized on the collapse as a political liability, but supporters argue the narrative is misplaced. They say the Rays walked away from a handshake deal, not the other way around.

“When the vote happened and we thought we had a deal, Stu (Sternberg), the Mayor, and Brian Auld and others went out to celebrate, and we hugged and we shook hands,” Pritchett said. “Only to find that in March the Rays walked away from the handshake and from the covenant and from the deal.”

“It left the residents hanging, and our community is still healing from that,” he added. “They left hurt and a void and an ‘I told you so’ that has existed since 1978. This Mayor did not pause, this Mayor was not caught like a deer in the headlights. This Mayor said, ‘let’s pivot and find a solution to deliver to the residents a development for the future.’”

Flowers, a longtime Welch ally and successor after his time on the County Commission, rejected claims that storm damage or financing delays doomed the deal as “hogwash.” Her family lost a dry-cleaning business at the Gas Plant District, and she praised Welch’s efforts to revive the community’s vision for the district.

“When the deal fell through with the Rays, and of course the Gas Plant District was a part of that, initially I was very angry,” Flowers said. “I cannot tell you the number of hours and the amount of time, the amount of documents that we had to peruse through, meetings to attend and briefings for almost two years. The amount of money that’s put out on the front end with bond counsel, legal counsel, the Sports Authority.” 

Flowers maintains that damage to Tropicana Field’s roof and facilities was out of anybody’s control, and while the timing was unfortunate, the situation did not delay plans for a new state-of-the-art facility.

“That facility would have had to come down anyway, No. 1,” Flowers said. “And No. 2, the city had insurance on the facility. So it would have had to have been repaired in order for them to finish out playing in 2026, which is what is happening right now.”

“I’m sorry, I’m just calling it hogwash,” she said. “That was hogwash to say, you know, costs went up and this and that and the other. But they could never show us on paper where their contractor and their developer said it went from this many million to this much. They couldn’t show it because it didn’t exist.”

With development rights now back in the city’s hands, Welch is pushing forward. He’s prioritized building affordable senior housing, expanding the Woodson African American Museum, and exploring new convention and mixed-use options. 

A new request for proposals is expected to be finalized early next year after the City Council requested additional time for potential developers and pumped the brakes on a more aggressive timeline set by Welch this year.

“He’s going to make a decision sometime in January or early February,” Flowers said. “But that’s on those 86 acres, we can move forward with that, we don’t have to wait and see what’s going to happen with the Rays.”

“We don’t have to focus on Tropicana Field until the new owners make their play,” she said. “That’s up to them. But what we can focus on is the Gas Plant district. They’re going to be playing in that dome, we know that, through 2026. They may have to play there a little longer because wherever they decide to build they’ve got to build it before they can go.”

Beyond the Gas Plant, Welch’s administration has advanced several measurable goals. In 2024 alone, the city supported 281 new affordable housing units, helped 193 homeowners with essential repairs and assisted 87 first-time buyers with down payments. His team launched a $3 million utility relief program that served more than 7,600 renter households and invested $1.5 million into minority- and women-owned small businesses through the South St. Pete CRA.

When Hurricanes Helene and Milton hit within weeks of each other last year, Welch led a cleanup effort that cleared more than 2 million cubic yards of debris in under 90 days and secured $159 million in federal recovery funds. Critics were quick to criticize the speed of the cleanup, they even labeled the debris “Welch piles,” but progress reports show the city met or exceeded its benchmarks, a point his supporters say speaks to his quiet effectiveness.

“Besides ambition, I would like to see opposing candidates point to the issues that would make one decide that he should not be re-elected for another four years,” Pritchett said. “If you want to say it’s hurricane debris, so be it, but every time there’s a challenge he’s delivered.”

Welch has also been criticized for complying with a state order to remove intersection murals featuring racial justice and Pride themes, a decision that drew accusations of cowardice from some activists. Supporters say that view ignores his duty to protect the city from multimillion-dollar funding cuts threatened by the Florida Department of Transportation for noncompliance.

“Activists and community leaders have the privilege of breaking the law and challenging Tallahassee’s decisions,” Pritchett said. “The Mayor has taken an oath to follow the law and to be an example of civic responsibility. It’s performative political rhetoric to suggest the Mayor would break the law and lay over the murals to protect them temporarily from being removed.”

Rayner agreed, describing Welch’s approach as “principled and pragmatic.” His creation of the Office of Equity and Inclusion, and continued support for leadership positions like the city’s LGBTQ+ Liaison reflects his commitment to inclusion despite popular rhetoric trumpeted by right-wing politicians. Those efforts have helped the city maintain a perfect score on the Human Rights Campaign’s Municipal Equality Index.

“He’s not kowtowing to bullying out of Tallahassee,” Rayner said. “He is answering the call of the people that elected him and not answering the call of some performance politics of the state legislature. What I appreciate about Mayor Welch is he doesn’t say what is politically advantageous or expedient. He is very principled and character-driven. And I think that’s why you see him do the things that he does.”

Welch’s allies also reject claims of a toxic workplace culture at City Hall, citing the Mayor’s adherence to process. He placed his former Deputy Mayor Stephanie Owens on leave during an internal investigation, prompting her to resign amid bullying allegations. Former Communications Director Janelle Irwin Taylor, who is now a senior staff member for Florida Politics, leveled the allegations against Owens.

Former Managing Director of Economic and Workforce Development Brian Caper, one of the city leaders behind work to redevelop the Historic Gas Plant District and on the canceled deal with the Tampa Bay Rays, also resigned his position after findings that he sexually harassed a subordinate in his department.

“Public service is like any other sector,” Pritchett said. “When a complaint is filed the HR department investigates and interviews. Unions and contracts are not controlled by the Mayor. Following the advice of legal and following proper procedures is the responsibility of the Mayor for the hundreds of employees of the city.”

As Welch positions himself for re-election, his campaign is expected to emphasize results over rhetoric: a city that has rebuilt from two major storms, launched major equity and resilience initiatives, and remained on strong fiscal footing amid statewide political turbulence.

“He measures twice and cuts once; he really wants to make sure he’s getting things right for the people,” Rayner said.



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