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Stocks closed mixed in most volatile session since the pandemic as Wall Street is ‘starting to find a bottom’

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  • President Donald Trump’s announcement of sweeping “reciprocal tariffs” caught investors completely off-guard last week, but news of negotiations and an erroneous report about a 90-day pause might have given traders some hope. Meanwhile, hedge funds may have supported share prices as they covered their short positions.  

Markets are gyrating like it’s 2020 all over again as investors continue to reckon with President Donald Trump’s sweeping “reciprocal tariffs,” resulting in Wall Street’s most volatile session since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. 

Stocks initially fell further Monday before some Big Tech names led a measured recovery. The S&P 500 plunged into bear market territory to start the day, dropping 20% from the index’s mid-February high, before erasing most of those losses to close down 0.23% for the session. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite followed a similar pattern, finishing with a 0.1% gain, while the Dow Jones fell about 350 points after ending last week with back-to-back losses of 1,500 points or more for the first time in its history. 

Markets simply weren’t prepared for the protectionist measures Trump unveiled in the White House Rose Garden on Wednesday, said Jay Hatfield, the CEO of Infrastructure Capital Advisors. A blanket 10% tariff went into effect on Saturday, but most imports are set to be taxed much higher if those goods come from countries that have trade deficits with the U.S. 

“What we call the ‘chart of death’ was completely unexpected,” said Hatfield, who manages ETFs and a series of hedge funds. 

However, Hatfield noted stocks didn’t do a straight nosedive Monday as administration officials claimed more than 50 countries have called the White House to negotiate, even if reports of a 90-day tariff pause proved to be erroneous. When the S&P moved below 5,000, just over a month after surging above the 6,100 mark, it triggered a natural support level for the index, he said. 

“We’re starting to find a bottom,” Hatfield said. “But that doesn’t mean the bottom is not 4,800 or 4,600.” 

Ironically, share prices might have also gotten a boost because uncertainty remains high. The CBOE Volatility Index, or VIX, briefly moved above 50 several times throughout the session. Popularly known as Wall Street’s “fear gauge,” the index is derived from the prices of S&P 500 options and is experiencing its highest sustained spike since the pandemic.

Hatfield said this heightened volatility signals hedge funds have, fittingly, ensured they are well hedged by buying puts, or options contracts that give investors the right to sell an underlying asset—in this case, the S&P 500 futures contracts—at a predetermined price. 

Exercising those options is profitable when the value of the index drops below the option’s “strike price.” When volatility is high, however, traders have incentive to unwind these positions to ensure they make money before stocks possibly rebound. 

“It’s actually one good thing about hedge funds,” Hatfield said. “They are the ones doing the buying that causes the market to stabilize.” 

For example, Hatfield’s small hedge fund loaded up on S&P 500 puts Friday morning before liquidating them on Monday, which he could do because his long exposure to the index was limited. 

“If you never cover your shorts,” he said, “you never make money.” 

Chip stocks rally, but Apple and Nike fall 

Tariff uncertainty created several winners and losers Monday. Popular chip stocks rallied, with shares of bull market darlings Nvidia and Broadcom jumping 3.5% and 5.4%, respectively. Amazon and Meta also helped lead the way for America’s tech giants, with both stocks climbing more than 2%. 

But Dollar Tree outpaced all those companies as one of the day’s biggest winners. About half of the discount chain’s products will be subject to tariffs, analysts from Citi said, but the stock rose 8% as they suggested the company could raise prices without much pushback from consumers. 

For other major names, however, Monday offered little respite. Apple shares have shed nearly a fifth of their value since Wednesday, with the stock declining 3.7% for the session. The iPhone maker relies heavily on China, which has been hit by a 54% tariff that Trump said will see another 50% duty tacked on if Beijing does not withdraw its own retaliatory measures. 

It’s a similar story for Nike, which produces most of its apparel in India and other countries in Southeast Asia, which were also hit with heavy tariffs. Shares of Stellantis, Ford, and other automakers also continued to decline as the industry wrestled with a 25% tariff on all foreign cars and parts.  

Investors did not necessarily flock to all types of safe haven assets, however. Treasuries sold off as the 10-year yield moved up over 20 basis points to 4.20%, and the price of gold also fell. 

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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Parents hit back at RFK Jr.’s claim that ‘autism destroys families’

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The Education Department has a rude awakening for 5.3 million student loan borrowers: giving their info to debt collectors

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Trump’s memecoin enjoys surprise 10% surge after sales lock up is lifted

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President Donald Trump’s personally endorsed memecoin surged over the weekend, despite expectations that its price would tumble as tens of thousands of fresh tokens were released to project insiders.

$Trump, a memecoin launched by Trump in the lead up to his second inauguration, has gained 10% since Friday, when 40 million additional tokens were to be released into circulation. The event, known as a token unlock, was expected to depress the memecoin’s price by increasing its supply but it seems to have had the opposite effect. 

Token unlocks are when a group of people—usually project team members, early investors or advisors—receive their allocated tokens for free or at a lower price after a predetermined amount of time and are allowed to sell them. Token unlocks are a way for project founders to guarantee to investors that they won’t do a rug pull—a common scam in which a memecoin project’s team members dump their holdings at once, tanking the token’s price and leaving investors holding the bag.

The tokens that were released last week were allocated to “creators and CIC digital,” according to the token’s website. While the identity of the token’s creators is unclear, CIC Digital is a company known to be affiliated with Trump. As the $330 million worth of tokens were unlocked, investors feared that these holders would immediately try to turn a profit by dumping the tokens into the market. 

Despite these concerns, the team has not made any significant sales yet, according to crypto analysis firm Chainalysis. “As of 1 p.m. ET on Monday, Chainalysis hasn’t detected any on-chain actions from the creators of $Trump coins,” the firm told Fortune

The token team’s perceived commitment to the project has led to increased confidence in the token’s longevity, leading investors to rush back over the weekend, Dylan Bane, an analyst at research firm Messari, told Fortune. “Because the price hasn’t gone down and a large-scale sale has not occurred, the markets might be pricing in the possibility that the Trump team just chooses to hold on to these tokens,” he said. 

However, this does not mean that the team behind the token won’t ever sell, Bane added. While there were 200 million tokens released for the launch in January, there are staggered unlocks scheduled every few months until 2028, when the total supply of tokens will reach 1 billion. 

“There’s a lot more to be unlocked,” Bane said. “So, if the price goes down, that’s not in the team’s interest since most of their tokens are not unlocked yet.”

Investors’ anxiety with Trump’s memecoin may be justified. The coin’s entry into the market was tumultuous, skyrocketing from $1.21 to $75.35 within its first two days, reaching a total market cap of $14 billion. But the coin’s price began to plummet soon after, and it has lost 90% of its value since Jan. 19. The token’s price now sits at $8.28. 

In the aftermath of the launch, investors lost more than $2 billion, according to an analysis by Chainalysis for The New York Times. Meanwhile, Trump-affiliated entities have produced $350 million in revenue from trading fees and selling the token itself, according to an analysis conducted by the Financial Times

According to the memecoin’s website, two Trump-affiliated entities—CIC Digital and Fight Fight Fight—will own 80% of the 1 billion total $Trump tokens once they are all unlocked in 2028. That would mean, at its current price, Trump’s team stands to walk away from the project with a profit in the billions of dollars. 

It’s unclear how much of the token Trump and his family own directly, if at all. 

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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