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European consumers will have to cope with a ‘notable adverse impact’ on growth from tariffs, Greece’s central bank governor warns

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U.S. tariffs have become Europe’s biggest headache as the consequences of a brewing trade war promise to hurt the region’s faltering economy. 

Beyond making European goods such as wine, cheese, and cars more expensive in America, the resulting trade tensions will also indirectly impact European consumers. 

For one, it will impede demand in the Eurozone as the bloc considers whether it should continue cutting interest rates later this month. The region’s growth remained positive but slow at the end of 2024, with inflation just starting to approach the European Central Bank’s 2% benchmark. With it, factors like consumer confidence have also begun to find solid ground. 

But Greece’s central bank governor pointed out tariffs could shake up much of that progress. It could, in fact, drive prices sharply down and cause a “negative demand shock.”

“A notable adverse impact on growth could lead to activity being much weaker than expected, dragging inflation below our targets,” Yannis Stournaras told the Financial Times.  

While the apparent impact of the tariffs is they make European goods more expensive for Americans, Stournaras, who was previously a finance minister, is worried that Europe will become a dumping ground for cheap Chinese goods since the U.S. market will be less enticing. 

Last year, the EU imposed anti-dumping charges against China’s electric vehicles in a bid to control cheap Chinese-made goods from flooding European markets. China responded with tariffs on European pork as the bloc continues to probe other industries for similar practices. 

Stournaras echoed EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen’s sentiments following the tariff announcement. In a televised interview on Thursday, she said the EU will “be watching closely what indirect effects these tariffs could have because we cannot absorb global overcapacity, nor will we accept dumping on our market.”

Unlimited uncertainty

Trump’s tariffs vary by country (based on a rather simplistic formula), with the U.K. subject to 10%, Switzerland facing 31%, and China facing an additional 34% on top of past levies. The European Union, broadly, faces a 20% tariff on imports to the U.S.. This policy shift marks a seminal moment in Trump’s presidency and the U.S.’s trade relationship with much of the world.

“Such a high tariff is too large to be fully absorbed by consumers or producers. The hit to sentiment could be greater than previously seemed likely,” Andrew Kenningham, chief economist at Capital Economics, wrote in a note last week. 

While economies come to grips with the best course of action, the uncertainty they face may only be the start of what lies ahead. 

“Some people had the view that ‘Liberation Day’ could be the day of peak uncertainty, but I’m not entirely sure that is the case,” ECB policymaker Isabel Schnabel told Reuters

The EU has said it’s working on countermeasures following Trump’s litany of tariffs if its diplomatic efforts fail. One possible route is to go after American tech giants responsible for Europe’s €109 billion trade deficit in services with the U.S. 

Others aren’t sure that’s the best approach. For instance, Belgium’s Prime Minister Bart De Wever has bashed tariffs as “wealth-destroying protectionist madness” and advocated against retaliating similarly.  

But if the bloc pursues that path, the trade war’s growth will become hard to tame as it’ll turn the biggest companies on both sides of the pond into casualties. The EU has also previously floated the idea of a digital services tax but never had unanimity among its 27 members.

Euro Stoxx 50, the region’s blue-chip stock index comprising 50 stocks from eight Eurozone countries, has slipped 11.5% in the last five days. 

The ECB is set to announce its next interest rate decision on Apr. 17. 

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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Parents hit back at RFK Jr.’s claim that ‘autism destroys families’

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The Education Department has a rude awakening for 5.3 million student loan borrowers: giving their info to debt collectors

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Trump’s memecoin enjoys surprise 10% surge after sales lock up is lifted

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President Donald Trump’s personally endorsed memecoin surged over the weekend, despite expectations that its price would tumble as tens of thousands of fresh tokens were released to project insiders.

$Trump, a memecoin launched by Trump in the lead up to his second inauguration, has gained 10% since Friday, when 40 million additional tokens were to be released into circulation. The event, known as a token unlock, was expected to depress the memecoin’s price by increasing its supply but it seems to have had the opposite effect. 

Token unlocks are when a group of people—usually project team members, early investors or advisors—receive their allocated tokens for free or at a lower price after a predetermined amount of time and are allowed to sell them. Token unlocks are a way for project founders to guarantee to investors that they won’t do a rug pull—a common scam in which a memecoin project’s team members dump their holdings at once, tanking the token’s price and leaving investors holding the bag.

The tokens that were released last week were allocated to “creators and CIC digital,” according to the token’s website. While the identity of the token’s creators is unclear, CIC Digital is a company known to be affiliated with Trump. As the $330 million worth of tokens were unlocked, investors feared that these holders would immediately try to turn a profit by dumping the tokens into the market. 

Despite these concerns, the team has not made any significant sales yet, according to crypto analysis firm Chainalysis. “As of 1 p.m. ET on Monday, Chainalysis hasn’t detected any on-chain actions from the creators of $Trump coins,” the firm told Fortune

The token team’s perceived commitment to the project has led to increased confidence in the token’s longevity, leading investors to rush back over the weekend, Dylan Bane, an analyst at research firm Messari, told Fortune. “Because the price hasn’t gone down and a large-scale sale has not occurred, the markets might be pricing in the possibility that the Trump team just chooses to hold on to these tokens,” he said. 

However, this does not mean that the team behind the token won’t ever sell, Bane added. While there were 200 million tokens released for the launch in January, there are staggered unlocks scheduled every few months until 2028, when the total supply of tokens will reach 1 billion. 

“There’s a lot more to be unlocked,” Bane said. “So, if the price goes down, that’s not in the team’s interest since most of their tokens are not unlocked yet.”

Investors’ anxiety with Trump’s memecoin may be justified. The coin’s entry into the market was tumultuous, skyrocketing from $1.21 to $75.35 within its first two days, reaching a total market cap of $14 billion. But the coin’s price began to plummet soon after, and it has lost 90% of its value since Jan. 19. The token’s price now sits at $8.28. 

In the aftermath of the launch, investors lost more than $2 billion, according to an analysis by Chainalysis for The New York Times. Meanwhile, Trump-affiliated entities have produced $350 million in revenue from trading fees and selling the token itself, according to an analysis conducted by the Financial Times

According to the memecoin’s website, two Trump-affiliated entities—CIC Digital and Fight Fight Fight—will own 80% of the 1 billion total $Trump tokens once they are all unlocked in 2028. That would mean, at its current price, Trump’s team stands to walk away from the project with a profit in the billions of dollars. 

It’s unclear how much of the token Trump and his family own directly, if at all. 

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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