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Chris Mitchell: Democrats, this is not how we win

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I tried my best to stay quiet.

Like many in the political world these past few weeks, I’ve watched these Special Elections in Florida’s 1st and 6th Congressional Districts unfold with a growing sense of frustration. I wanted to give the benefit of the doubt, to trust that the strategy made sense, that there was a bigger picture I wasn’t seeing.

But as we approach the final days of these races, it’s clear we have been lying to ourselves. And the cost of that delusion is too high to ignore.

Nearly $20 million has been spent on these two races, districts that Donald Trump won by overwhelming margins.

As of this writing, CD 1 shows a 19-point Republican turnout advantage and CD 6 has a 9-point GOP edge. These are not swing districts. These are not close races. And yet, every day, I see the same ads flooding social media: “We can win this. Donate now. We’re closing the gap.” When in fact, the gap is widening, not closing.

Let’s be clear: these races were never truly winnable. That’s not defeatism. That’s math. Now, I understand that this $20 million wouldn’t have been raised if not for these races. The candidates, the urgency, the fear, they all generated energy, and in turn, money.

But that’s exactly the problem.

We’re fueling a system that prioritizes emotional appeal over strategic outcomes. And while small-dollar donors give in good faith, believing their contribution might flip a seat, the only people consistently benefiting are the consultants cashing the checks.

This isn’t just poor planning. It’s donor abuse. It’s an unethical use of resources in a state that desperately needs long-term investment. Even the state party and the DNC, institutions that typically bring oversight and structure to competitive races, got swept up in the momentum.

I don’t know what internal conversations may have happened, but from the outside, it looked like no one stepped in to apply the kind of rigor or accountability we expect in viable races. And that’s not a criticism of leadership; it’s simply a hard truth about what happens when hope and hype go unchecked.

Imagine what we could have done with that $20 million. We could have launched the largest voter registration program Florida has ever seen. We could have hired and trained organizers in underserved communities. We could have built lasting infrastructure that would benefit not just one race, but every race to come.

Instead, we burned through donor dollars on campaigns that will leave nothing behind: no new voters, no stronger party infrastructure, no sustained momentum. Just grifters with a payday and a movement no stronger than it was before.

Let me be clear: I’m not accusing anyone of criminal conduct. But just because something is legal doesn’t mean it’s right. And just because a campaign exists doesn’t mean it should be used as a fundraising funnel for consultants and vendors with no long-term plan for the communities they claim to serve.

I understand the desire to fight everywhere. I understand the symbolism. But if we want to win, really win, we have to stop confusing activity with strategy. We have to be honest about what’s winnable, what’s worth building, and what actually helps us take back power.

We need to stop mistaking good intentions for good planning, and we need to stop letting consultants write checks with other people’s hope. As a consultant, I know I’m part of this system. And that’s exactly why I’m speaking up.

We should expect better from each other and demand more from the institutions and professionals who claim to fight for democracy. The party deserves better. Our donors deserve better. Our voters deserve better. And so do the candidates we recruit, people who give up their time with their families, careers, and so much more to step into the arena and run.

If we’re serious about building a real, sustainable movement in Florida or anywhere else, we have to stop chasing quick wins and start investing in lasting infrastructure.

This isn’t about giving up the fight. It’s about fighting smarter, with integrity, purpose, and accountability. We all love to say, “The stakes are too high.” Well, if that’s true, then the excuses have to stop. It’s time to act like it.

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Chris Mitchell is a managing partner for Statecraft Digital.

The post Chris Mitchell: Democrats, this is not how we win appeared first on Florida Politics – Campaigns & Elections. Lobbying & Government..



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Auburn Tigers take on the Florida Gators in Final 4

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The game is tonight.

Florida Gators (34-4, 17-4 SEC) vs. Auburn Tigers (32-5, 16-4 SEC)

San Antonio; Saturday, 6:09 p.m. EDT

BETMGM SPORTSBOOK LINE: Gators -2.5; over/under is 159.5

BOTTOM LINE: No. 4 Auburn and No. 3 Florida meet in the NCAA Tournament Final Four.

The Tigers’ record in SEC play is 16-4, and their record is 16-1 against non-conference opponents. Auburn scores 83.2 points while outscoring opponents by 14.0 points per game.

The Gators’ record in SEC action is 17-4. Florida has a 2-1 record in games decided by 3 points or fewer.

Auburn averages 9.1 made 3-pointers per game, 2.4 more made shots than the 6.7 per game Florida gives up. Florida has shot at a 47.3% rate from the field this season, 6.7 percentage points above the 40.6% shooting opponents of Auburn have averaged.

The teams meet for the second time this season. The Gators won 90-81 in the last matchup on Feb. 8.

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Republished with permission of the Associated Press.


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Donald Trump makes big bet on tariffs

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Not even 24 hours after his party lost a key Wisconsin race and underperformed in Florida, President Donald Trump followed the playbook that has defined his political career: He doubled down.

Trump’s move on Wednesday to place stiff new tariffs on imports from nearly all U.S. trading partners marks an all-in bet by the Republican that his once-fringe economic vision will pay off for Americans. It was the realization of his four decades of advocacy for a protectionist foreign policy and the belief that free trade was forcing the United States into decline as its economy shifted from manufacturing to services.

The tariff announcement was the latest and perhaps boldest manifestation of Trump’s second-term freedom to lead with his instincts after feeling his first turn in the Oval Office was restrained by aides who did not share his worldview. How it shakes out will be a defining judgment on his presidency.

The early reviews have been worrisome.

Financial markets had their worst week since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, foreign trade partners retaliated and economists warned that the import taxes may boost inflation and potentially send the U.S. into a recession. It’s now Republican lawmakers who are fretting about their party’s future while Democrats feel newly buoyant over what they see as Trump’s overreach.

He has promised that the taxes on imports will bring about a domestic manufacturing renaissance and help fund an extension of his 2017 tax cuts. He insisted on Thursday as the Dow Jones fell by 1,600 points that things were “going very well” and the economy would “boom,” then spent Friday at the golf course as the index plunged 2,200 more points.

In his first term, Trump’s tariff threats brought world leaders to his door to cut deals. This time, his actions so far have led to steep retaliation from China and promises from European allies to push back.

As Trump struggles with the economy, Democrats are beginning to emerge from the cloud of doom that has consumed their party ever since their election drubbing in November.

They scored a decisive victory in Wisconsin’s high-profile state Supreme Court election on Tuesday, even after Elon Musk and his affiliated groups poured more than $20 million into the contest. New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker then breathed new life into the Democratic resistance by delivering a record 25-hour-long speech on the Senate floor that centered on a call for his party to find its resolve.

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Republished with permission of the Associated Press.


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State can enforce DEI general education course ban while litigation plays out

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The state of Florida may enforce a law eliminating general education courses that teach “identity politics” at Florida’s institutions of higher education pending resolution of a lawsuit filed by professors, a federal judge has ruled.

In January, the American Civil Liberties Union of Florida filed suit on the professors’ behalf alleging that SB 266, a 2023 law limiting general education course classifications and funding for diversity, equity, and inclusion initiatives, harmed the professors’ academic ambitions. General education courses are required for students to graduate.

Days after a preliminary injunction hearing in Tallahassee in front of U.S. District Chief Judge Mark Walker, he ruled Wednesday that the professors had not established they would suffer any harm.

“This ruling is disappointing, but also offers a clearer path forward to prove this law is unconstitutional,” said Bacardi Jackson, executive director of the ACLU of Florida in a news release. “The law is a blatant effort to control the content of higher education, muzzle Florida’s scholars, and erase perspectives the state finds politically inconvenient. We remain committed to fighting alongside faculty, students, and the broader academic community until this undemocratic law is struck down.”

Among the plaintiffs is University of Florida political science professor Sharon Austin, who complains she was denied funding to present at a 2024 conference hosted by Diversity Abroad, which the school had paid for her to present at in 2023. The school specifically cited SB 266 in refusing to pay for her to appear subsequently, the suit alleges.

“As for Plaintiff Austin, her declaration demonstrates that she has already suffered a denial of state funding to attend conferences in 2024. However, to obtain prospective relief, she must demonstrate an unambiguous intention to seek funding to attend conferences at a reasonably foreseeable time in the future. That she has not done,” Walker wrote.

Professors who have had their courses removed from general education requirements, or fear it may happen, say their injury is chilled speech and potential repercussions in post-tenure review.

“To the extent these Plaintiffs claim their classroom speech associated with courses for which they have no stated plans to teach at a reasonably foreseeable time in the future will be chilled, such a hypothetical future chill is both too remote and speculative to amount to a cognizable injury in fact,” Walker wrote.

ACLU will continue
The plaintiffs allege viewpoint discrimination under the First Amendment; that the law is over-broad; and that it violates Florida’s Campus Free Expression Act.

State University System Chancellor Ray Rodrigues said in January that the law has helped address a Gallup poll that found “political agendas” as Americans’ Number One reason they have lost confidence in higher education.

Education Commissioner Manny Diaz Jr. said the law helps students who can be “overwhelmed by the number of courses that are out there,” and that students can take whatever classes they wish, “but the easier we can make it for them when it comes to general education and making sure that they’re getting what they need there I think is very important.”

Walker did not rule on merits of the underlying case and the ACLU said it will continue its challenge.

“Plaintiffs’ evidence does not demonstrate that any Plaintiff faces an imminent injury — namely, chilled speech — that is traceable to any Defendant’s enforcement of the general education requirements,” Walker wrote.

“For what it’s worth, Plaintiffs’ existential concerns about the survival of their academic departments and the future viability of their areas of expertise in the state of Florida are certainly understandable. However, these concerns, as described at length in Plaintiffs’ declarations, do not give rise to a concrete, imminent, and non-speculative injury in fact sufficient to permit Plaintiffs to seek a preliminary injunction against Defendants’ enforcement of the general education requirements.”

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Jay Waagmeester reporting. Florida Phoenix is part of States Newsroom, a nonprofit news network supported by grants and a coalition of donors as a 501c(3) public charity. Florida Phoenix maintains editorial independence. Contact Editor Michael Moline for questions: [email protected]


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