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Klarna is ready to ride the IPO roller coaster

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Going public right now is like a roller coaster with a serious height restriction—only the tallest companies can buckle up for the ride. 

Klarna, the Swedish fintech unicorn that made its name in buy now pay later, last week filed to go public on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker “KLAR.” And Klarna appears to meet the height requirement, so to speak—the company reported 2024 revenue of $2.8 billion (up from about $2.3 billion in 2023) plus 2024 net profits of $21 million. On Monday, Klarna followed up its F-1—not an S-1 because the company is based in Stockholm—by announcing it’s nabbed an exclusive buy now pay later deal with Walmart, a blow to rival Affirm. 

“Klarna is in a unique position with great revenue growth and the recent partnership with Walmart,” said Reena Aggarwal, director of the Georgetown University Psaros Center for Financial Markets and Policy, via email. “Even if this IPO is successful, it is not clear that IPOs more broadly will have a similar outcome.”

It’s important to remember that Klarna got here after enduring adversity. The company’s peak valuation in 2021 was $45.6 billion, and then tumbled to a low of $6.7 billion in 2022 in response to macroeconomic conditions and the fintech downturn. Since, the company’s valuation has gradually grown again, hitting the $15 billion range in the secondary markets. 

“Klarna was one of the first companies to ‘take their medicine’ in 2022 and substantially lower their valuation,” said Greg Martin, Rainmaker Securities managing director. “It was a bitter pill to swallow, but shows a prudent reset to create a few years of sustainable valuation growth to create a positive trajectory for an IPO. I think this will serve them well as investors like to think they are investing in long-term sustainable growth stories.”

“An important aspect of Klarna’s filing is their turnaround narrative—transitioning from substantial losses to achieving profitability ahead of their public debut,” Rudy Yang, PitchBook emerging technology senior analyst, said via email. “This reflects the market’s evolving expectations. However, their consumer credit losses represent a significant portion of their expenses, and could be further impacted by a potential economic down-cycle.”

Success for Klarna could have substantial ripple effects, private markets watchers say. 

“A strong debut by Klarna could encourage profitable or nearly profitable companies to go public once macro conditions stabilize,” said Howe Ng, head of data and investment solutions at Forge Global, via email.

These ripple effects could be especially clearly felt in fintech. 

“Klarna’s IPO represents a critical test case for the fintech sector, which has experienced a significant drought of public exits in recent years,” said PitchBook’s Yang. “For context, fintech public listings generated $222.7 billion in VC exit value in 2021. In the last three years combined, they generated just $28.7 billion.”

The IPO drought and fintech’s tough times have both coincided with the end of the ZIRP (zero interest rate policy) era, which led to higher interest rates and dicey consumer spending trends. 

“Investors and fintech companies alike will closely watch Klarna’s public market debut, as the company’s valuation and investor reception will establish a benchmark that could either accelerate or further delay the next wave of fintech offerings,” Yang added via email. 

I know, I know. The essential question remains: Is the IPO window open? CoreWeave, for example, carries a few big question marks, but recently filed to go public.

“The IPO market had opened up, however, it is very tough to get IPOs done when there is uncertainty and market volatility of last week,” Georgetown’s Aggarwal told Fortune. “Only the very strongest companies can go public in this environment and even they may get lower valuations than otherwise. We might need to wait for the markets to calm down before the IPO window opens fully.”

Until then, companies must be pretty darn tall to ride the IPO roller coaster. And once you’re on the ride, you’re likely to be thrown for a loop—or even a “loop-de-loop.” So, keep your arms, feet, legs, filings, and financials inside the ride. 

ICYMI… The SEC has issued new guidance making it easier for private equity and VC firms to more publicly advertise their funds and verify accredited investors based on high minimum investments. You can read more from Axios about the latest on Rule 506(c) here. Elsewhere, the Google-Wiz deal is reportedly back on, this time for (a reported) $33 billion.

See you tomorrow,

Allie Garfinkle
X:
@agarfinks
Email: alexandra.garfinkle@fortune.com
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Nina Ajemian curated the deals section of today’s newsletter. Subscribe here.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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Blockchain infrastructure company Privy raises $15 million from Ribbit Capital

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Successful women leaders have P&L experience—but many are getting it too late to shape their career trajectories

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Good morning! Gisèle Pelicot’s daughter filed rape case against Dominique Pelicot and releases book, big law firms are next target of Trump’s anti-DEI agenda, and P&L responsibility is critical—but it can come too late.

– Never too late? Seventy-one percent of women leaders have held P&L (or profit and loss) responsibility at some point in their careers, according to a new survey by the leadership advisory firm Spencer Stuart. The issue is, many women are getting that responsibility too late for it to have a meaningful impact on their career trajectory.

P&L responsibility is a key qualifier for most senior leadership roles including CEO, demonstrating the ability to drive revenue, manage budget and headcount, and own a business unit. Non-P&L roles—in operations or human resources, for example—are a less traditional trajectory to the very top. Spencer Stuart defines P&L roles as coming with broad exposure to the business, more visibility, and more risk.

In a survey of 2,300 senior women executives, those who moved into P&L roles within the first five years of their career (a quarter of those overall who had P&L experience) were more likely to say they proactively planned or managed their careers. They reported higher satisfaction with their work climate and were more likely to say that conditions for women at work continue to progress.

Cassandra Frangos, a board and CEO adviser at Spencer Stuart, advises women to seek out P&L responsibility within the first seven to 10 years of their careers—far earlier than many do. “When women don’t select these roles, or aren’t offered them early on, they risk being categorized as a narrow expert who may not be agile enough to take on a different discipline later in their career,” she says. “As opposed to someone who has shown range across multiple parts of a business, like sales or finance, and has a track record of delivering solid financial results.”

Emma Hinchliffe
emma.hinchliffe@fortune.com

The Most Powerful Women Daily newsletter is Fortune’s daily briefing for and about the women leading the business world. Today’s edition was curated by Nina Ajemian. Subscribe here.

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Richest woman in Indonesia loses $3.6 billion in just 3 days

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For three weeks straight, Marina Budiman became roughly $350 million richer each day.

By mid-March the president commissioner of Indonesia’s biggest data center operator sat atop a $7.5 billion fortune after her company’s shares repeatedly soared by the daily limit, making her the nation’s wealthiest woman, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Then the stock of DCI Indonesia crashed. In just three days, Budiman’s net worth fell by half, adding yet another boom-and-bust stock run to Indonesia’s sizable tally.

All told, Budiman and fellow billionaires and DCI controlling shareholders — Otto Toto Sugiri and Han Arming Hanafia — saw their combined fortunes soar by over $17 billion before they plummeted. At Tuesday’s close, the shares had given up more than half the gains since the rally began in mid-February.

Wild price swings in stocks are a common and increasingly problematic feature of Indonesia’s equity market. Dozens of firms have moved by 1,000% or more in recent years, their shares seemingly unshackled from the underlying financials. DCI closed on Tuesday with a market value of close to $17 billion, compared to last year’s revenue of $112 million and $49 million profit. The company trades at 416 times earnings, the highest relative to a group of peers tracked by Bloomberg.

Partly to blame are the large number of companies whose shares are thinly traded. Budiman, Sugiri, Hanafia and a fourth large owner, billionaire tycoon Anthoni Salim, hold 78% of DCI’s shares. Of the 2.4 billion outstanding, 80,400 shares changed hands by midday Wednesday in Jakarta compared with millions at companies in Indonesia of a similar size. 

DCI did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

DCI’s price swings “are largely a function of its tight free float,” said Mohit Mirpuri, a fund manager at SGMC Capital Pte in Singapore. “Bid-offer spreads are narrow, so any substantial positioning can move the stock significantly,” Mirpuri said.

DCI was the worst performer as Indonesia’s benchmark stock index plunged on Tuesday and triggered a 30-minute suspension. Traders attributed the overall decline to factors including concerns over President Prabowo Subianto’s populist measures, forced liquidations and uncertainties over the finance ministry’s leadership. 

“The selloff has been a bolt from the blue in many ways — the suddenness has caught the market by surprise,” said Nirgunan Tiruchelvam, an analyst at Aletheia Capital in Singapore.

Before the reversal in recent days, DCI may have benefited from investors betting that demand for data centers will continue to grow and help drive foreign investment. For example, Oracle Corp. is in discussions with Indonesia’s government to establish a cloud services center in the country, Bloomberg News reported Friday.

Budiman, 63, helped co-found DCI over a decade ago. Sugiri, 71, and Hanafia are also co-founders. 

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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