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UK retail spend was sluggish in February say Barclays and BRC

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​Recent footfall reports showed low interest in shopping during February and now actual consumer spending and retail sales figures are coming out, backing up those reports.

On Tuesday the regular monthly Barclays consumer spending report and the British Retail Consortium-KPMG Retail sales monitor showed that February was the dullest month of the year not just because of the cloudy skies.

Looking first at the Barclays report, which covers a wide range of consumer spending offline and online, it said that spend grew only 1% year on year.

That was lower than the 1.9% growth seen in January and well below the latest CPIH inflation rate of 3.9%. 

Admittedly, discretionary spending remained in growth at +2.1%, but it still lagged that inflation figure.

Barclays said that “with warnings of increases in energy prices coming in the weeks ahead, consumers took the opportunity to get their financial priorities in order. As a result, essential spending declined in February”. But in something of a contradiction, it also said that “consumer confidence rose to record highs”. 

Confidence in household finances reached the highest level Barclays has seen since it started tracking this measure in 2015, at 75% (up from 70% in January), “bolstered by consumers’ careful money management, even in the face of rising costs”. 

Looking more specifically at retail, Barclays said the sector saw marginal growth of 0.6%, but was propped up by a surge in electronics sales, which enjoyed its greatest increase since 2021, up 6.7%.

Clothing transaction numbers rose 2.2% but actual clothing spend was up only 0.4%, suggesting consumers are still very price-conscious. 

And regarding specific types of retailers, department stores reflected that trend with transaction numbers up 2.8%, but actual spend only rising 0.6%. And discounters dropped almost 2% on both fronts.

Yet beauty continued to defy the sluggish spending trend with pharmacy, heath & beauty transaction numbers up just 0.2% but spend up 8.9%.

The BRC-KPMG report meanwhile talked of “grey days for fashion sales”. UK Total retail sales increased by 1.1% year on year in February, the same percentage by which they’d grown a year ago and still below inflation.

The Monitor’s assessment of non-food sales were that they were flat year on year in February, admittedly better than a decline of 2.7% in February 2024, but still far from making up the ground that was lost a year ago. 

In-store non-food sales actually decreased by 1% this time, but at least online non-food sales rose 1.9%. However, once again, this didn’t make up for the fall of a year ago when such e-sales had dropped 4.1%.

Helen Dickinson, BRC CEO, said: “Retail sales saw more modest growth in February. While sales growth across non-food categories was generally muted, it was propped up by online purchases, particularly in computing and electronics. Jewellery, watches and fragrance sold well thanks to Valentine’s Day, reversing declines seen last year. 

“Fashion performed poorly due to the gloomy weather throughout the month, but retailers are hopeful the early March sunshine kickstarts spending on spring and summer wardrobes.”

And Linda Ellett, UK head of consumer, retail & leisure at KPMG, added: “Consumers remain cautious with their spending and many are continuing to prioritise saving, travel and experiences. But occasions and offers are still tempting shoppers into some impulsive spending. Valentine’s, for example, brought a jewellery sales boost to the high street, in what was otherwise a flat month for in-store buying.     

“Online shopping and the growth of social commerce has contributed to a lowering of demand for some physical retail stores and boardrooms will continue to keep a close eye on monthly footfall and sales data as 2025 progresses.”

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Allbirds reports steep revenue decline in 2024

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Sustainable footwear and lifestyle brand Allbirds announced on Tuesday fourth-quarter net revenue fell to $55.9 million, as the footwear firm grappled with international distributor transitions and planned retail store closures.

Allbirds reports steep revenue decline in 2024. – Allbirds

The San Francisco-based sustainable footwear and apparel company said that sales decreased 22.4% for the three months ending December 31, as a result of lower unit sales within its direct business.

For the full-year 2024, net revenue decreased 25.3% to $189.8 million versus a year ago. As a result of the plummeting sales, the U.S. company reported a net loss in 2024 of $93.3 million, or $11.87 per basic and diluted share.

“2024 was a year of progress both operationally and financially,” said Joe Vernachio, chief executive officer. 

“We strengthened our operating model, driving gross margin expansion and cost reduction, while also bolstering Allbirds’ international presence via new distributor agreements. Importantly, we reignited our product and marketing engines, which is expected to fuel improvement in trend in the second half of the year, including our return to top line growth in the fourth quarter. We are continuing to operate with financial discipline as we focus on further advancing our plans around product, marketing, and customer experience.”

Looking ahead, the company expects 2025 net revenue to be in the range of $175 million to $195 million, with U.S. net revenue of $145 million to $160 million.

For the first quarter of 2025, net revenue is expected to be in the range of $28 million to $33 million, with U.S. net revenue of $22 million to $25 million. 

The company’s outlook for the full year reflects approximately $18 million to $23 million of negative impact to revenue associated with the transition from a direct selling model to a distributor model in international markets, as well as the closure of 20 Allbirds stores in the U.S., encompassing 2024 and year-to-date 2025.

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American Eagle sees annual revenue below estimates as 2025 off to slow spending start

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March 12, 2025

American Eagle Outfitters annual revenue below expectations on Wednesday, joining other major U.S. apparel makers that expect a demand slowdown as shoppers battle the likelihood of pressured budgets again.

American Eagle

Apparel makers and retailers such as Walmart, opens new tab and Target have struck cautious expectations for the year as an uncertain economy burdened by U.S. President Donald Trump‘s seesaw tariff announcements has turned shoppers discerning on buying non-essential items.

“Entering 2025, the first quarter is off to a slower start than expected, reflecting less robust demand and colder weather,” said CEO Jay Schottenstein.

The company expects fiscal 2025 revenue to decline in the low-single digit percentage range, while analysts were expecting a 2.97% rise, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Shares of American Eagle rose 2% in extended trading after slightly edging past quarterly revenue estimates.

Its quarterly revenue fell to $1.61 billion, from $1.68 billion, compared to the analysts’ estimate of $1.60 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.

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EU to impose counter tariffs on $28 billion in US goods

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Reuters

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March 12, 2025

The European Union will impose counter tariffs on 26 billion euros ($28 billion) worth of U.S. goods from next month, the European Commission said on Wednesday, ramping up a global trade war in response to blanket U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminium.

Reuters

U.S. President Donald Trump‘s increased tariffs of 25% on all steel and aluminium imports took effect on Wednesday as prior exemptions, duty free quotas and product exclusions expired.

The European Commission said it will end the current suspension of tariffs on U.S. products on April 1 and will also put forward a new package of countermeasures on U.S. goods by mid-April.

The suspended tariffs apply to products ranging from boats to bourbon to motorbikes, and the EU said it would now start a two-week consultation to pick other product categories.

The new measures will target around 18 billion euros in goods, with the overall objective to ensure that the total value of the EU measures corresponds to the increased value of trade impacted by the new U.S. tariffs, the EU said.

The proposed target products include industrial and agricultural products, such as steel and aluminium, textiles, home appliances, plastics, poultry, beef, eggs, dairy, sugar and vegetables.

“Our countermeasures will be introduced in two steps. Starting with 1 April and fully in place as of 13 April,” Ursula von der Leyen, the president of the European Commission, said in a statement.
“We are ready to engage in meaningful dialogue. I have entrusted Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic to resume his talks to explore better solutions with the U.S.,” von der Leyen added.
 

© Thomson Reuters 2025 All rights reserved.



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