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Internal poll finds Donald Trump’s endorsement gives Byron Donalds double-digit lead in Governor’s Primary

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U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds leads two other Republicans who are likely to run for Governor, as new internal polling shows the more voters learn he’s Donald Trump’s preferred candidate, the better his shot at winning becomes.

Fort Lauderdale-based survey, research and strategic consulting firm Fabrizio Lee & Associates, which Donalds hired for his campaign, polled 600 likely Republican Primary voters in Florida from Feb. 26-27. The poll had a 5-percentage-point margin of error.

Pollsters found that 34% of respondents prefer Donalds as Florida’s next Governor, while 30% like First Lady Casey DeSantis for the job.

Three percent said they plan to vote for Agriculture Commissioner Wilton Simpson, who is also rumored to be gearing up for a run. The remainder were undecided.

Donalds’ lead in the race is notable, considering DeSantis has much higher name recognition than he does. Eighty-six percent of respondents said they knew who DeSantis is, compared to 65% who said the same about Donalds.

But when pollsters informed voters that Trump had endorsed Donalds for Governor, Donalds’ lead over DeSantis grew to 22 points, 45% to 23% — a nearly 2-to-1 edge. And there’s a lot of room to grow; currently, less than half of Republican Primary voters know Trump has endorsed the race, and Donalds hasn’t yet advertised the President’s support.

Naturally, Casey DeSantis has the full backing of her husband, Gov. Ron DeSantis. But it’s not nearly as impactful as the President’s, the poll found. When respondents were told that Ron DeSantis endorsed Casey DeSantis without first hearing about Trump’s endorsement of Donalds, the First Lady’s standing in the race jumped to 35% support, 2 points more than Donalds.

However, when voters knew of both endorsements, 38% of respondents said they preferred Donalds, compared to 28% who said they were siding with DeSantis. Five percent said they would instead cast ballots for Simpson, a 2-point bump, while 29% remained undecided.

“Much like the DeSantises’ fool’s errand in 2024 against President Trump where he got crushed, this data shows that the DeSantises would suffer a similar fate in Florida if Casey should run for Governor,” Fabrizio Lee & Associates partner Tony Fabrizio said in a statement.

“The only real questions are: Will they betray President Trump again? And how many Tallahassee fools will follow them off the cliff a second time to do so?”

Trump is among several Florida Republicans who have supported Donalds’ campaign since he made his candidacy official late last month. Others backing him include state Sens. Randy Fine and Joe Gruters, state Reps Yvette BenarrochBerny JacquesToby Overdorf, and Juan Porras, Boca Raton Mayor Scott Singer, and former Florida GOP Chair Christian Ziegler.

Democrats rumored or confirmed to be mulling a run include Senate Democratic Leader Jason Pizzo, Miami Gardens Sen. Shevrin Jones, Jacksonville Rep. Angie Nixon, Miami-Dade Mayor Daniella Levine Cava, former U.S. Rep. Gwen Graham.

The 2026 Primary Election is on Aug. 18; the General Election is on Nov. 3.


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Supreme Court rejects Republican-led effort to halt climate change lawsuits in Democratic-led states

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The Supreme Court on Monday rejected a lawsuit from Republican attorneys general in 19 states aimed at blocking climate change suits against the oil and gas industry from Democratic-led states.

The justices acted on an unusual Republican effort to file suit in the Supreme Court over the Democratic states’ use of their own state courts to sue fossil fuel companies for deceiving the public about the risks of their products contributing to climate change.

The Supreme Court typically hears only appeals, but the Constitution gives the court authority to hear original lawsuits states file against each other.

Justices Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito said they would have allowed the lawsuit to proceed for now. The justices don’t have the discretion to reject the complaint at this stage, Thomas wrote in a dissent that did not deal with the merits of the claim.

The Republicans’ complaint, led by Alabama Attorney General Steve Marshall, asserts that the Democratic states are trying to dictate national energy policy and will drive up the cost of energy across the country.

The Supreme Court also has so far turned away appeals by the energy companies seeking to get the justices involved in the issue.

The lawsuits filed by dozens of state and local governments allege that fossil fuel companies misled the public about how their products could contribute to the climate crisis. The lawsuits claim billions of dollars of damage from such things as severe storms, wildfires and rising sea levels.

The Republican action specifically sought to stop lawsuits brought by California, Connecticut, Minnesota, New Jersey and Rhode Island.

Only the federal government can regulate interstate gas emissions, and states have no power to apply their own laws to a global atmosphere that reaches well beyond their borders.

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Republished with permission of The Associated Press.



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Florida sees jobless claims drop for third week in a row

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Florida’s drop in first-time unemployment claims cuts against the national trend.

If there is a recession coming, it isn’t being felt in Florida just yet.

New unemployment claims in Florida have now fallen for three weeks straight. The U.S. Department of Labor (DOL) reports there were 5,393 initial jobless claims for the week ending March 1 in Florida. That’s down by 520 filings from the 5,913 reported for the week ending Feb. 22.

It’s been nearly a month since Florida has seen first-time unemployment claims increase. And even that movement, during the week ending Feb. 8, was only a slight uptick. The new year has mostly seen unemployment claims decrease so far.

Florida’s new unemployment claims figures went against the trend on the national level. There were 224,689 first-time claims before seasonal adjustments across the country for the week ending March 1. That’s an increase of 3,833 claims, or a jump of 1.7%.

While that figure is a slight uptick, it’s a smaller surge than what DOL analysts had expected. DOL economists had projected a weekly increase of 25,158 claims.

The latest first-time jobless filings report also represents an increase of more than 10,000 claims nationwide in the year-over-year comparison. This time in 2024, there were 214,424 jobless filings.

Florida has maintained relatively upbeat jobless reports for much of the past year. There were few weeks that saw significant increases in unemployment claims in 2024 outside of the temporary surges following Hurricanes Helene and Milton.

The general monthly unemployment figure has remained relatively solid as well. The unemployment rate in Florida has sat at 3.4% since the Fall. In the Spring and Summer, the jobless figure was 3.3%, according to FloridaCommerce. The state agency has not released the rate for January yet. Florida has had a lower unemployment rate than the national figure for 50 months straight.


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Ron DeSantis says Idaho isn’t a ‘mature economy’

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Gov. Ron DeSantis is throwing rocks at the Gem State of Idaho, diminishing the state’s recent economic growth due to its lower population than Florida.

As he has at previous press conferences, the Governor was discussing Florida having the second-best performance in the “economy,” which has grown by more than 30% since he has been in office. He said Florida led “sizable states,” but less-populated “Idaho may be a little bit more than us.”

But DeSantis dissed the comparison between the states.

“Idaho has less people than Polk County does, so it’s a little bit different comparison when you’re talking, and I love Idaho, but it’s just not the same as comparing to a mature economy,” he said at Winter Haven’s Central Florida Intermodal Logistics Center.

Idaho’s lack of a “mature economy” aside, the Governor has reached into the Rocky Mountains to name Boise State Professor Scott Yenor to the University of West Florida Board of Trustees. The pick has caused some legislators, including the Jewish Legislative Caucus, consternation stemming from Yenor’s alleged “history of antisemitic and misogynistic rhetoric.”

The former fellow at the conservative Heritage Foundation, per The Associated Press, said “independent women” were “medicated, meddlesome and quarrelsome” and said colleges and universities were “the citadels of our gynecocracy.”

After his selection, past comments about whether women should pick motherhood over higher education immediately generated headlines. More controversy in recent months followed when Yenor, in since-deleted social media posts, questioned whether women or Jews should be considered for leadership posts in the U.S. Senate.

DeSantis has defended naming Yenor to the position when confronted with Yenor’s remarks on women.

“I’m not familiar with that. I mean, obviously, I think if you look at the state of Florida, we probably have a higher percentage of women enrolled in our state universities than we do men, and that’s probably grown under my tenure,” DeSantis said during the Jacksonville press conference in January. “But what I don’t do, what I don’t like is cherry-picking somebody saying this, and then trying to smear them.”

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Jacob Ogles and Jesse Scheckner of Florida Politics contributed to this report.


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