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Winner and Loser of the Week in Florida politics — Week of 2.16.25

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Could NASA headquarters make a landing here in the Sunshine State?

Gov. Ron DeSantis made a voyage to Washington this week to pitch President Donald Trump on that and other topics. And as the new administration is clearly comfortable with slashing and burning the established order in Washington, DeSantis clearly senses an opening.

“Don’t build that new NASA building in D.C.,” DeSantis said while speaking here ahead of his trip.

The Governor instead wants a new headquarters in Cape Canaveral, pointing to ongoing renovations building up the base there already. And he’s putting it in language that Trump and Department of Government Efficiency head (or not?) Elon Musk can understand:

“Relocate the headquarters to Brevard County … you absolutely would save a lot of money. I think you’d probably save about a billion dollars, quite frankly, so we should do it. I think it’d be good for Florida if that happened,” DeSantis said.

If Trump is serious about reducing the bureaucracy in Washington, this move has plenty of potential. The cuts so far have been way too careless, and there is an argument to keeping certain operations in the central hub of our federal government.

But firing rockets? That’s what Cape Canaveral does best. And putting NASA’s top brass adjacent to the nation’s main launch hub makes a lot of sense.

DeSantis may have crashed and burned elsewhere this week (more on that later) but on this he’s dead right.

Now, it’s onto our weekly game of winners and losers.

Winners

Honorable mention: Lauren Melo. On Tuesday, Melo filed to run to succeed former Senate President Kathleen Passidomo in Senate District 28.

By Wednesday, Melo had Passidomo’s endorsement.

“She cares genuinely about the communities we represent, especially the most vulnerable. Her deep-rooted conservative values and hard work ethic make Lauren Melo the best candidate for Florida Senate District 28, and I am proud to endorse her campaign,” Passidomo said.

Melo is forgoing a final House term to run for the Senate, and when a well-regarded leader in Republican politics voices support for a preferred successor, it usually works out pretty well.

The race isn’t completely over yet, with former Republican Rep. Bob Rommel also running, and with significant financial resources.

But with Passidomo behind her, expect Melo to get plenty of institutional backing that will allow her to grow her war chest significantly in the year-plus before the August 2026 Primary.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest winner: James Uthmeier. Florida’s new Attorney General will now get to enter next cycle with incumbency and potentially serve in the role for around a decade.

We’ve known for weeks that Uthmeier would enter this role after DeSantis named his predecessor, Ashley Moody, to fill Marco Rubio’s Senate seat. But it wasn’t until Monday that Uthmeier was actually sworn in.

And in his very first week, Uthmeier got a seat at the table on the State Immigration Enforcement Council, appointing his preferred law enforcement representative to the panel. This is far from the last time we’re going to hear about the state’s immigration enforcement efforts, and Uthmeier will have a front-row seat.

“No empty rhetoric, no posturing, no excuses,” Uthmeier promised during his swearing-in ceremony.

Already, the Attorney General’s Office secured a 35-year prison sentence for a man accused of possession of child porn. Talk about moving fast.

And we also want to give Uthmeier some credit for a shrewd shot DeSantis took this week with an unveiling of a new George Washington statue in the Capitol Rotunda. The move was part of a planned series of events across Florida ahead of America’s 250th birthday. But it also allowed DeSantis to take a veiled shot at Trump, who recently tried framing himself as a king.

That led to these comments from DeSantis about Washington. “He could have been the king of the United States of America if he wanted to do it,” DeSantis said.

“He could have just ceremonially been elected as long as he wanted to, but he set the precedent of a two-term limit. And what he was trying to show was that he was not indispensable, that ultimately the Republic would go on and that you could elect different people to office. And that was a tradition that stood in this country until 1940 and then was eventually put in part of the Constitution.”

To the extent Uthmeier was involved in shaping those remarks, he deserves credit, especially considering how dirty Trump did DeSantis later in the week …

The biggest winner: Byron Donalds. Speaking of which, congratulations to the next Governor of Florida.

We are about three months from the last election and have nearly a full cycle to go until votes are cast in 2026. But the most important event in the Governor’s race may have already happened.

Just hours after reports emerged that DeSantis planned to pitch Trump in person against endorsing Donalds for Governor, Trump did just that ahead of DeSantis’ trip to Washington.

“Byron Donalds would be a truly Great and Powerful Governor for Florida and, should he decide to run, will have my Complete and Total Endorsement,” Trump posted in part. “RUN, BYRON, RUN!”

That led to a coy remark from Donalds. “President Trump is Making America Great Again. I’m committed to working with him to Keep Florida Great. Announcement coming soon!” Donalds wrote on X.

We’ll have more on the DeSantis angle shortly, but to say this gives Donalds an advantage in the 2026 GOP Primary is a massive understatement.

As beloved as DeSantis may be in Florida, Trump is the leader of the party and will still be well away from lame-duck status when the 2026 contest rolls around.

That makes Donalds a heavy favorite to secure the GOP nomination. And with Republicans dominating the state the past two cycles, we are highly skeptical at this point that Democrats can come out on top in 2026.

Donalds hasn’t made an official announcement yet, but expect him to make a move soon and start ramping up his operation, which already features some strong Trump allies.

Losers

Dishonorable mention: Florida agriculture. It’s been a rough period for the citrus industry, with declining yields over the past few years showing little sign of rebounding this harvest season.

The most recent report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture showed a drop in production projections this month, with analysts forecasting just 11.5 million boxes of oranges being produced.

For context, Florida produced 41.2 million boxes in the 2021-22 season. But those numbers have been falling due to a confluence of factors — including devastating storms and the ill effects of citrus greening — dropping to 15.8 million boxes in 2022-23 and just under 18 million last year.

Yet this year’s projection would represent a new low.

For grapefruit, tangerines and tangelos, the numbers aren’t much better. The grapefruit forecast sits at 1.1 million boxes, down from 3.33 million in 2021-22, 1.81 million in 2022-23 and 1.79 million in 2023-24.

For tangerines and tangelos, this year’s estimate of 350,000 boxes would also be a drop from 750,000 in 2021-22, 480,000 in 2022-23 and 450,000 in 2023-24.

Florida TaxWatch compiled a report weeks ago detailing the downfall of Florida’s citrus industry. And if state and national leaders don’t do something significant — and soon — it’s unclear how long “Florida” and “oranges” will be synonymous, a stunning change for those of us born and raised here.

Almost (but not quite) the biggest loser: Matt Gaetz. For Donalds’ gain, there were two major losers in the still-as-yet hypothetical 2026 Governor’s race.

The first is Gaetz, whose downfall we noted in recent months but who we thought, despite all of his struggles, could still make a comeback in 2026 should the man in the White House throw his support to Gaetz in the gubernatorial contest.

Well, so much for that.

And it really makes us question what the whole point of Gaetz’s U.S. Attorney bid was ever about if not to shield him from further scrutiny in Congress (a move which didn’t exactly come to pass anyway), seeing as he and Trump quickly pulled the plug on his bid.

Now, Gaetz is left with a show on One America News and a reputation that’s going to be hard to rehabilitate. It’s unclear if he has another chapter in public service or what it could even be.

The biggest loser: Ron and Casey DeSantis. Speaking of murky political futures, the DeSantises must be absolutely steaming right now.

Again, Trump is just straight up toying with DeSantis at this point given the timing of his Donalds endorsement.

And while the Governor has in the past downplayed Casey DeSantis’ desire to run for Governor, make no mistake: They wanted this to happen in 2026.

Do they still go through with it and set up another showdown with Trump? Maybe! Polling for Casey DeSantis has been strong, even among Trump supporters.

But there are 18 months until the Primary and outside of freaks like us, people are not paying attention to this race yet. When voters are hit over the head repeatedly that Trump has made a pick in this race, that polling is going to change.

Does that mean it’s impossible for Team DeSantis to get a win over Trump in 2026? Nope. But considering how their last electoral showdown went, we aren’t betting on it.

Ron DeSantis still has a lot of levers to pull in his final years as Governor. He’s not quite a lame-duck. But as the last few weeks showed, the Legislature is no longer a compliant arm of the executive branch, so the Governor’s hand is not going to get stronger in the years ahead.

Gaetz has been a master of grabbing attention but has always been a bit of a fringe figure. So him having a questionable future in politics isn’t a surprise.

That DeSantis, the nation’s most popular Governor among Republicans by far just a few years ago, does not have a clear next step in politics is baffling. If he and Casey DeSantis do go head-to-head with Trump again in 2026 and fail, expect his star to fall even further.

But we do know one thing: It will be an insanely entertaining Primary.


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Tasha Carter appointed to Board of Directors for Florida Insurance Guaranty Association

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Carter served as the Consumer Advocate for Florida since 2019.

A seasoned insurance advocate for Florida has been appointed to be a member of the Board of Directors for the Florida Insurance Guaranty Association (FIGA).

Tasha Carter was named to the Board of the nonprofit corporation that services pending insurance claims by policyholders in the state. The member insurance companies with policyholders are either becoming insolvent or are ordered liquidated.

Florida Chief Executive Officer Jimmy Patronis made the appointment of Carter to the Board this month. FIGA was created by the Florida Legislature to handle the claims in 1970. The agency is charged with settling the claims in a timely manner.

Carter has been Florida’s Insurance Consumer Advocate since Patronis initially appointed her to that position in August 2019. She’s been in the insurance business and agencies for 22 years. She’s been a leader in professional responsibility, regulation, education and public outreach.

“During her tenure as Insurance Consumer Advocate, Carter’s post-storm response in coordination with the Department of Financial Services, Division of Consumer Services proved essential to consumers with losses in the aftermath of Hurricanes Michael, Ian, Idalia, Debby, Helene, and Milton. Additionally, Carter spearheaded the CFO’s education and outreach initiatives to promote financial literacy for all Floridians,” said a news release from the office of Patronis.

FIGA is composed of members who are licensed direct writers of property and casualty insurance groups in Florida. The property and casualty insurers are licensed under the Florida Office of Insurance Regulation (OIR) and are qualified for membership in FIGA.

The association works in helping Florida residents with policies when their company is declared as insolvent. That’s when the agency steps in and resolves the claims as soon as possible.

“FIGA’s personnel are trained and developed to deliver fast, fair and professional claim service. The operation is directed towards early recognition and payment of those covered claims which must be resolved to avoid hardship or financial difficulties to the insureds or claimants involved,” the FIGA website said.


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States threaten fines and jail time for local officials who resist Donald Trump’s immigration crackdown

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Republican state lawmakers seeking to aid President Donald Trump’s crackdown on illegal immigration are threatening local officials who resist with lawsuits, fines and even potential jail time.

Lawmakers in more than 20 states this year have filed legislation targeting so-called sanctuary policies that limit cooperation with federal immigration authorities, according to an Associated Press analysis using the bill-tracking software Plural.

Some of those states already ban sanctuary policies but are now proposing to punish mayors, council members and other government officials who violate the prohibition.

The goal is to provide “teeth to those who are being aggrieved by local governments and local officials who are not abiding by Georgia immigration law,” said Republican state Sen. Blake Tillery, whose legislation would allow lawsuits against anyone who implements sanctuary policies. His bill recently passed the Senate and is now in the House.

Opponents have raised concerns that the legislation could lead local police and sheriffs to detain immigrants for longer than they are supposed to under federal law out of fear of getting sued.

“We’re threatening our local law enforcement who are doing the best job they can to keep our communities safe,” said Georgia state Sen. Nikki Merritt, a Democrat.

The state proposals come as the Trump administration also has begun taking legal action against governments that have adopted policies inhibiting arrests and deportations by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement. The Department of Justice has sued Illinois, Chicago and Cook County, alleging they are violating federal law by not cooperating with immigration authorities.

Georgia law enacted last year already mandates that local law enforcement cooperate with federal authorities to identify and detain immigrants in the U.S. illegally, or else lose state funding and face misdemeanor charges. The legislation recently passed by the state Senate doubles down by letting people sue local governments, officials and employees for violating the ban.

Immigrants and advocates in Georgia say the legislation, if passed, could stoke fear in communities already worried about ICE officials arresting loved ones in homes, churches or schools.

“This all relates to Donald Trump’s war on immigrants and local people trying to garner favor with him through legislation that doesn’t solve any problems,” said Charles Kuck, an Atlanta immigration attorney who opposes the legislation.

Mike Mitchell, deputy executive director of the Georgia Sheriffs’ Association, said the organization has a “neutral” position on the bill but noted sheriffs already are following immigration law.

Louisiana passed a law last year requiring law enforcement agencies to “use best efforts” to enforce federal immigration law. Earlier this month, Louisiana Attorney General Liz Murrill sued the sheriff’s office in New Orleans, alleging it is violating the state ban on sanctuary immigration policies.

The Orleans Parish Sheriff’s Office declines ICE requests to hold detainees for extra time except when they face murder, rape, kidnapping, treason or robbery charges, according to a 2013 policy put in place under a consent judgment in federal court. The attorney general’s lawsuit seeks to end that federal court order.

The sheriff’s office also restricts the information it shares with ICE and prevents federal immigration agents from entering its facilities without court authorization or interviewing detainees without legal counsel.

The sheriff’s office said in an emailed statement that it “remains in full compliance with all applicable state laws and valid court orders related to ICE detainers.”

An anti-sanctuary measure was the first item signed into law by Republican Gov. Larry Rhoden of South Dakota after he took over for former Gov. Kristi Noem, who was picked by Trump to be homeland security secretary. The law bans state and local policies that limit communication with federal officials about people’s immigration status, however it contains no penalties.

Other states have gone further. A sweeping immigration law signed recently by Republican Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis requires the attorney general to take legal action against local governments that adopt policies refusing to comply with federal requests to detain immigrants in the country illegally. Local officials who willfully violate a ban on such sanctuary policies can face fines up to $5,000.

Tennessee law already denies state economic development funds to local governments that violate a ban on sanctuary policies. A law signed recently by Gov. Bill Lee enhances that by subjecting local officials who vote for such policies to felony charges punishable by up to six years in prison. Legislative attorneys have said such penalties could be unconstitutional due to protections afforded elected officials while carrying out their duties.


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St. Augustine business leader appointed to Beach District Commission

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Lynda Kirker has experience in financial management at Flagler Hospital and other leadership positions in St. Johns County.

The governing board over one of Florida’s more modest ports has a new member thanks to Gov. Ron DeSantis.

Lynda Kirker was appointed by DeSantis this month as the latest member of the St. Augustine Port, Waterway and Beach District Board of Commissioners. The board has five members serving the nautical interests of St. Johns County along coastal areas.

The District is primarily charged with promoting the development of St. Johns County maritime interests among commercial and recreational activity in the area. Its original intent was to promote and protect nautical interests near the St. Augustine Inlet when it was founded in the 1930s. But it’s grown to involve marine projects, dune crossover development and other maritime projects.

“I’m excited and I’m flattered that the governor has that much faith and trust in me,” Kirker said in an interview with Jax Today. “and I hope that I can do a good job.”

In addition to maritime promotion, the District levies property taxes in coastal areas to support coastal projects and the board’s jurisdiction runs south to the Matanzas Inlet.

One of the more higher profile projects the board is connected to is the beach renourishment undertakings. That was a huge and expensive issue in St. Johns County in the past couple of years.

While the northern shoreline of St. Johns County was restored, another beach renourishment project was conducted south near St. Augustine and St. Augustine Beach. About $30 million in federal, state and local funding paid for the beach renourishment running from about Anastasia State Park into St. Augustine Beach near A Street.

Kirker has plenty of public service and management experience. She is the former Chief Financial Officer for Flagler Hospital and is the treasure of the Flagler College Women of Vision Advisory Board and the St. Augustine Sister Cities Association.

Kirker got a bachelor’s degree from Stetson University in business and accounting.


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