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Florida Republicans support Donald Trump, the Legislature, preserving ballot measure process

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A new poll shows President Donald Trump remains extremely popular among Florida Republicans. And so do Republican lawmakers who control a supermajority in the Florida Legislature.

Pollster Tony Fabrizio, best known as Trump’s top pollster, released results of a new survey as Gov. Ron DeSantis has engaged in a public fight over immigration policy. But the poll shows 83% of Republican Primary voters approve of the work by the Florida Legislature, while just 12% disapprove, even after a week of public pressure labeling the body’s work as “weak.”

Moreover, voters oppose the Governor’s plan to heavily restrict the state’s ballot initiative process.

“Florida RPV (Republican Primary voters) love the immigration policies, but they are heavily against the proposals on citizen-led initiatives,” Fabrizio wrote.

The Legislature last week passed the Tackling and Reforming Unlawful Migration Policy (TRUMP) Act, which the Governor has threatened to veto. Both the Governor and lawmakers say their own proposals would best empower Trump’s deportation agenda.

Trump enjoys especially strong support among Republican Primary voters. About 90% approve of the job the President is doing — 82% “strongly approve” — while only 9% disapprove.

That’s based on responses from 600 voters surveyed last Tuesday and Wednesday, Jan. 28 and 29. The Legislature passed the TRUMP Act on Jan. 28. Of those polled, 57% had seen, heard or read about the Special Session where the bill was taken up.

Regarding impressions of the Session, immigration and border security were the chief takeaways from 42% of those surveyed, while 13% were most aware of a disagreement with DeSantis and 13% saw it about alignment with Trump’s agenda.

Fabrizio also tested opinions on policies.

About 67% supported repealing in-state tuition for undocumented immigrants, with just 28% in opposition. The Governor supported the move and it was included in the Legislature’s bill.

About 90% of Republican Primary voters support requiring local and state law enforcement to help enforce federal immigration law, while just 7% oppose such a mandate.

About 81% of voters surveyed approve of using state funds to detain and deport undocumented immigrants, while only 14% say that would be the wrong move.

And 84% of those surveyed support making it a state crime for undocumented people to enter Florida, while 11% oppose that.

But the poll found some proposals backed by DeSantis that the Legislature declined to hear last week were unpopular. Most notably, 55% oppose any effort to limit the ability of ballot measure supporters to collect petitions. Only 17% favor such an action, something DeSantis called for when he initially ordered lawmakers to Tallahassee for a Special Session.

Additionally, 62% of Republican Primary voters don’t want lawyers to be given the ability to block constitutional initiatives.

About 72% of those surveyed voiced support for citizen-led initiatives in general, while just 14% opposed the process.

About 76% want to keep the petition process in place, and only 15% believe the process should be eliminated because it has been abused by special interests. Of those who like keeping the process, 36% considered it an important tool for giving voters a voice. The remaining 40% said they don’t always agree with initiatives but still don’t want them to be eliminated.

1-25 Fl Sw Rpv Survey – Topline by Jacob Ogles on Scribd


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Long-closed Jax pension plan still under 45% funded, expected to be made whole in 31 years

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A Jacksonville police and fire pension plan closed to new entrants nearly a decade ago is still well under halfway funded, despite a good year of investment returns.

Deputy Director Steve Lundy told the City Council Finance Committee that the funding ratio of 44.1% at the end of 2024 is “slightly down” from the 44.7% mark a year before. The plan is expected to be fully funded by 2026, roughly four decades after it was closed to new entrants in 2017.

Nevertheless, Lundy said the funding policy is working “very effectively.”

“Our investment returns were outstanding at 20.4%, far outpacing our assumed rate of 6.5%, and our pension health remains stable, although the funded ratio did slightly decrease,” he told legislators.

A half-cent sales tax will start funding the pension liability in 2031, which is an extension of the current Better Jacksonville Plan tax.

The Lenny Curry administration sought to repurpose that surtax to the pension liability previously. But given the commitment to the Jaguars’ stadium renovations, current Mayor Donna Deegan and the City Council agreed to move the sales tax back to physical infrastructure to defray stadium build costs of $775 million.

Surtax proceeds are down year over year, to 2.4% from 9.3% the year before. But the overall number is smoothed to 6% to dampen volatility in the metric.

Investment returns make up for the surtax shortfall though, Lundy said.

“Over the last five years, our pension funds average rate of return was 8.7%, and the 10-year average return was 7.4%, which are both above the assumed rate of return of 6.5%, and this is very good news,” Lundy said.

The police and fire plan is one of three legacy pension funds in the city, along with the correctional officers’ pension plan and the general employees’ plan. All three were closed to new entrants as a consequence of pension reform approved by the Legislature last decade, which put employees on a defined contribution plan for a number of years. However, the Deegan administration and the Council approved the Florida Retirement System as an option for police and fire starting in 2026.


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Senate Democrats delay Pam Bondi confirmation, vote now expected Wednesday

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Stalling tactics Democrats deployed mean Attorney General nominee Pam Bondi’s confirmation won’t happen until at least Wednesday.

Her nomination came to the Senate floor on Monday, but Democrats stopped a full vote the same day. The Senate did clear a cloture vote on a 52-46, vote, but no Democrats supported moving straight into a vote.

Still, the former Florida Attorney General appears to be on track for confirmation. A vote is now expected on Bondi’s confirmation on the floor Wednesday morning.

Senate Judiciary Chair Chuck Grassley, an Iowa Republican, expressed disappointment the entire minority caucus would block Bondi’s fast confirmation.

“If my colleagues won’t cross the aisle for this qualified nominee, they’ll show that they’re intent on opposing President Trump’s picks for purely partisan reasons,” he said. “Ms. Bondi’s ready and able to serve our country, and she’ll work with President Trump to restore faith in the Justice Department.”

Meanwhile, Senate Judiciary Ranking Member Dick Durbin’s office, as Bondi’s confirmation reached the floor, issued letters to several Justice Department nominees demanding answers on the recent dismissal of all FBI investigators and federal prosecutors who had worked on cases involving Jan. 6 rioters. That included a seven-page letter to Bondi demanding to know if she was involved, and what as Attorney General she would do to stop further retribution.

“As America faces a heightened threat landscape, these shocking removals and reassignments deprive DOJ and the FBI of experienced, senior leadership and decades of experience fighting violent crime, espionage, and terrorism,” the Democratic-led letter reads.

Similar letters were also sent to FBI Director nominee Kash Patel, Deputy Attorney General nominee Todd Blanche, acting FBI Director Brian Driscoll and acting Attorney General James McHenry.

In addition to sending out letters, Senate Democrats also consumed time on Monday evening in protest of a stop in funding for USAID. Instead of advancing Bondi’s confirmation Monday, U.S. Sen. Brian Schatz, a Hawaii Democrat, gave extended remarks questioning the legality of ceasing spending authorized by Congress.


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Donald Trump drove decision to turf Ron DeSantis early in 2024 GOP race

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An architect of Donald Trump’s third campaign for President confirms that Trump drove the decision to be aggressive against a major challenger in the GOP field and how that informed the entire campaign.

“The boss announces right after the ’22 cycle, which didn’t end well for anyone. And we were looking at the announcement and then going into the Primaries, and the whole focus up to that point was about how great of an opponent Ron DeSantis could be,” recounted Chris LaCivita on “The Ruthless Podcast” Tuesday.

Per LaCivita, he and Susie Wiles got marching orders from Trump “right out of the gate.”

“We’re going to hit him. And Susie and I are like, ‘In January?’ Yeah, right. And he’s like, ‘In January,’” the consultant related. “And we’re like, OK, we know how to do that. And that really, I thought, you know, set the stage for just the overall disposition that the campaign would take from that point to the very end, which is it’s going to be constant.”

Indeed, it was constant. Trump mocked “Ron DeSanctimonious” while his campaign and supportive Super PAC pushed narratives that included a story of DeSantis eating pudding with his fingers that became fodder for an ad.

DeSantis folded his campaign after a disappointing finish in Iowa, a state his operation made its first and last stand in before withdrawing as polls plummeted in New Hampshire. But the Governor continued to weigh in on Trump’s campaign, telling supporters he worried that “identity politics” would drive Trump’s pick of a running mate.

LaCivita was unsparing in response, saying, “Chicken fingers and pudding cups is what you will be remembered for, you sad little man.”


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