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Bucs Playoff Primetime: Skeleton Keys To Victory: Buccaneers vs Commanders

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Buccaneers Lions Football – ap photo Baker Mayfield

By – J. T. Olsen – Bucs Report

The NFL regular season is over and we are now left with just 14 teams standing in the playoffs. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are one of those teams who still remain and are now turning their sights on the ultimate prize. They are now just four wins away from being Super Bowl champions.

Their first opponent will be the Washington Commanders who come to town for a Sunday night wild card game. The Bucs are familiar with this team as the two played each other in week one of this season. However, both teams have grown and evolved a great deal since that time.

After their week one loss Washington went on to win 12 games this year, which is two more than the Buccaneers. Obviously this Commanders team has a lot more in the tank than the 17 point loss to the Bucs showed earlier this year. But is it enough to pull off the upset or are the Bucs still the better team? I break it down in this Wild Card edition of Skeleton Keys to victory.

Pound The Rock

Playoff football is a tougher and more physical brand of football. The intensity level goes up and everyone is fighting for everything they can get. It’s the time of year where need to be able to line up from the man across from you and impose your will.

The Bucs have proven that they can do that this year with their offensive line. This has been one of the best run blocking units in the NFL this year and they are as physical and nasty as anybody. When you talk about tone setters then guys like Luke Goedeke, Graham Barton and Cody Mauch should come to mind.

They have helped lead rookie Bucky Irving to a 1,000 yards rushing season and the team overall to be 4th in total rushing yards this year. There is no doubt that this Bucs rushing attack is one of the best in the game and that they will need to lean on it in the postseason.

This week in particular, the Buccaneers need to run the ball. Washington ranks 30th in rushing yards allowed and is tied for 30th in rushing yards allowed per carry. The Commanders weakness plays into the Bucs strength and Tampa Bay has to take advantage of that.

Big Boys Set The Tone

We know Washington has a great running game, ranking 3rd in the NFL in total rushing yards. A big part of that is rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels. He is one of the most dynamic playmakers in the NFL and he has run for nearly 900 yards this season.

However, Daniels certainly isn’t the only ball carrier that deserves attention. Running back Brian Robinson has run for 799 yards and 8 touchdowns this year in 13 starts. He is the physical between the tackles element to this Commanders offense that they will need to rely on in the postseason.

Fortunately, the Bucs are equipped to handle Robinson and his north and south running style. Tampa Bay comes into this game with perhaps the best duo of defensive tackles in the NFL in Vita Vea and Calijah Kancey. These two, Vea in particular, can control the line of scrimmage and take away the space that Robinson needs to operate. 

This will allow the back seven to focus in more on taking away Daniels. Vea and Kancey should take a lot of pressure off those around them and make everyone else better by clogging up the line of scrimmage. If the Bucs defense is going to slow down the Commanders, it will start with these two having a big day. 

Force Their Playmakers To Make Plays

The last time these two teams played, their leading receiver was Austin Eckler who led the way with 52 yards. Among wide receivers in this game, Luke McCaffrey had the most receiving yards with just 18. In short, the Commander’s weapons aren’t especially dangerous. 

It is worth noting that Terry McLaurin has had an excellent season. He ranks 15th in receiving yards and 2nd in receiving touchdowns with 13. He has always been a very underrated player and is now finally starting to shine with improved quarterback play. 

Outside of that, there aren’t a lot of pass catchers who scare me. Zach Ertz is a solid, although not dynamic weapon at tight end. Olamide Zachheaus has been a role player for his career, but is the number two receiver in Washington with just 506 yards and 3 touchdowns. In terms of pass catchers, this isn’t exactly the Greatest Show on Turf.

With that said, the Bucs have let worse quarterbacks with worse weapons pick them apart at times this year. They have been carved up over the middle of the field when sitting in soft zone coverage. That can’t happen in this game. Todd Bowles needs to force the issues and force these playmakers to make plays. Let his secondary out talent the Washington receivers. 

Overall

Make no mistake, the Commanders have earned their place in the playoffs and are a better team now than what we saw in week one. With that said, the Bucs are still the better team. Tampa’s offense is more versatile and more dangerous and the Bucs have the pieces in place to slow down what Washington does best.

Things should only get better for the Bucs defense as star safety Antione Winfield Jr. is trending to return from injury this week. The addition of Kancey, who the Bucs didn’t have in week one, only adds to their advantage in the trenches. Things are never easy in the playoffs, but the Bucs should control this game.

Prediction

Washington – 27
Buccaneers – 34

For more from J.T. click here, then make sure to follow him on Twitter.

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NFL rights fees could change college conference expansion

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NFL and COLLEGE FOOTBALL – THE sec How Sports Is Saving Broadcast TV: The Rise of Live Programming in a Streaming-Dominated Era

Escalating costs of NFL and MLB renewals, combined with cable decline and streaming fragmentation, are likely to make ESPN, Amazon, Apple, CBS, NBC, Fox, and YouTube more cautious about paying significantly higher college football rights fees. This financial pressure could slow down aggressive expansion and reduce the incentive to add ACC schools like Florida State, Clemson, North Carolina, and Miami, especially since their recent on-field performance has weakened their market value.

MUST READS ON SPORTS TALK FLORIDA

Why Networks May Pause Spending

  • NFL & MLB renewals dominate budgets: The NFL’s Thanksgiving 2025 ratings shattered records, proving why networks will commit billions more to retain rights. MLB’s upcoming renewal adds another heavy obligation.
  • Streaming entrants already stretched: Amazon, Apple, and YouTube are investing heavily in NFL packages and global sports, limiting their appetite for additional college conference deals.
  • Cable volatility: Cord-cutting erodes traditional revenue streams, forcing networks to be more selective with rights investments.

College Conference Dynamics

  • Big Ten & SEC remain secure: Their multibillion-dollar deals ($8B+ for Big Ten, $3B for SEC) ensure stability and make them the only conferences positioned to expand further but only if there is more money to get from the media partners.
  • ACC locked in: ESPN extended its deal through 2036, giving the conference stability but limiting renegotiation. This makes poaching ACC schools less financially attractive unless ESPN adjusts terms.
  • Big 12 opportunism: Benefited from Pac-12’s collapse, but future expansion depends on whether networks see value in adding mid-tier programs.

Risks for ACC Schools

  • Performance matters: Florida State, Clemson, UNC, and Miami have struggled with subpar seasons, reducing their bargaining power. Networks are less likely to pay premiums for underperforming brands.
  • Revenue-sharing pressures: Following the House v. NCAA settlement, schools must share revenue with athletes, increasing the need for higher payouts. If networks won’t pay more, weaker conferences risk losing schools without replacement value.
  • Exposure vs. payout trade-off: Streaming platforms may prefer cherry-picking marquee matchups rather than funding entire conferences, further reducing incentives to add schools.

Likely Outcomes

  • Slower expansion: Networks will prioritize retaining NFL/MLB rights over funding new college realignment.
  • Selective poaching: Big Ten and SEC may still target top ACC schools if they rebound competitively, but only if the economics justify it.
  • ACC stability (for now): ESPN’s long-term deal through 2036 makes immediate exits difficult, though lawsuits from FSU and Clemson could test that structure.

Bottom Line

The financial strain of NFL and MLB renewals means networks are unlikely to pay dramatically more for college football in the near term. That reduces the incentive for conferences to expand aggressively, making another Pac-12-style collapse less likely in the short run — but leaving underperforming ACC schools vulnerable if their value doesn’t rebound.





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Let ’em Run Rear View Mirror: a look back

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The Breeders’ Cup starts today, and Let ’em Run is on site.

Rear View Mirror Segment Introduction

Let ’em Run continues to improve our product, and we are rolling out our “Rear View Mirror” segment in today’s edition for Sports Talk Florida, where we look back on races we broke down and see where we missed a possible pick and why, and also how we landed on a good pick. In life they say “the windshield is bigger than the rear view mirror so you look ahead, instead of back”. We think in handicapping, a good idea occasionally to look back!!

Friday 11/28 — Churchill Downs

Race 10 – The Mrs. Revere Stakes
Looking back on our Podcast, John and I both landed on #4 Classic Q as an upset winner over big favorite #1 Lush Lips. The favorite proved her class and just nipped Classic Q. and a fast closing #10 Pretty Picture.

Race 11 – The Clark Stakes
The “Rear View Mirror” told us we should have given a long look at the #9 Magnitude, who took it to the field with the highest U.S. Timeform early pace figure. John made a strong case for #5 Chunk of Gold, who had more company up front than expected. My pick #4 Gosger, had many Brisnet angles that made him strong in my book, but never fired. Keep an eye on this runner next out, odds will surely be worth a look.

Saturday 11/29 — Del Mar

Race 5 – The Seabiscuit Handicap
In this race, the “Rear View Mirror” told us the only way (in our opinion) the #4 Call Sign Seven could have been used, was if you used a dart board, no offense to those who picked him!! John and I both landed on #3 Almanderes, who ran in 4th place, as the leader ran away from all in the field.

Race 7 – The Jimmy Durante Stakes
Some redemption here as John laid out a Trifecta Key for $20 (4/1,5,6,8,9/1,5,6,8,9) and returned $61.50. Hey, a win is a win. I dropped anchor on the #5 La Ville Lumiere, a long shot at 8-1, with a lot of Brisnet angles to work with. She ran a nice race, but only managed a 3rd place finish.

Race 9 – The Hollywood Stakes
Using the “Rear View Mirror”, a case could have been made for winner #4 Salamis. Leading rider Umberto Rispoli jumped aboard for trainer Chad Brown. In the last race he was a tough load, and closed, but too late. He ran back to the 2 back race and took the top spot, not an impossible pick with a closer look.

Looking Ahead

Moving forward, Let’emRun is looking to run multiple Podcasts each week in the New Year. Coming up on Friday 12/5/25 Happy Hour at 3PM, we will dive into 2 races being run on Saturday 12/6/25… Race 6 at Laurel Park, The Maryland Juvenile. We will then jump over to Race 7 at Turfway Park, The Boone County. Some interesting races, at some interesting venues.

Upcoming Coverage

On Saturday 12/6/25, we will get back to East Coast racing at Aqueduct, where we will cover Races 7 thru 11, including Race 9 The Remsen Stakes (Kentucky Derby Prep), and Race 10, The Cigar Mile. Two big races each year at the Big A, so be sure to tune in for both shows, and as always Let ’em Run.





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Jay-Jay Okocha Names Coach Who Had the Biggest Influence on His Career

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Paris Saint-Germain legend Jay-Jay Okocha has rankked Serbian coach Dragoslav Stepanovic as the manager with the most significant impact on his career.

Okocha credited Stepanovic for guiding him during his formative years at Eintracht Frankfurt which shaped him in becom of the most skillful players during his active career.

Okocha joined Frankfurt from Borussia Neunkirchen in December 1991, a move that marked the beginning of his rise in European football.

He spent four years at the club, four defining seasons that helped shape his playing style and future success.

Those early years in the Bundesliga showcased Okocha’s incredible talent, as he quickly built a reputation for his mesmerizing footwork, flair, and creativity.

One of his most iconic moments in Germany remains his unforgettable solo goal against Karlsruher SC, where he famously dribbled past multiple defenders, including goalkeeper Oliver Kahn before slotting the ball into the net.

The goal is still regarded as one of the greatest in German Bundesliga history.

Despite his strong start in Germany, Okocha’s time at Frankfurt came to an unexpected end. In 1995, he fell out of favour under new coach Jupp Heynckes, but he has explained why Stepanovic stood out above all other coaches in his career.

“The coach who influenced me the most was my first manager at Eintracht Frankfurt, Dragoslav Stepanovic,” Okocha told R.org.

“It was short, but he influenced me the most throughout my career. Stepanovic is the type of coach every young player deserves to encounter.”

Okocha credited the Serbian coach for giving him both confidence and freedom, qualities that helped him fully express his unique style of play.

“I did not just feel at home at Frankfurt,” he added. “His guidance pushed me to bring the best out of myself.”

After Frankfurt were relegated to the German second division, Okocha moved to Fenerbahce in 1996.

His transfer to Turkey marked the beginning of another electrifying chapter, where his performances attracted international attention and eventually paved the way for his high-profile move to Paris Saint-Germain in 1998.





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