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DraftKings Inc., Flutter Entertainment PLC and other stocks linked to the sports gambling industry are tumbling on Friday after new data suggested that they may be losing ground to competing products from prediction market startups.

Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, which have recently introduced financial contracts tied to the outcome of sports games, reported surging activity last week during the beginning of the NFL playoff season. Meanwhile, during what is typically a boom time for sportsbooks, New York state data showed that revenues from online sports wagering plunged from a year earlier.

DraftKings shares dropped as much as 8.3% in New York trading, the worst intraday plunge since late October. Shares of Flutter, which runs the gambling app FanDuel, were down as much as 5.5%, falling to the lowest intraday level since late November. The broader gambling space also took a dive, with an S&P gauge of the industry’s shares shedding as much as 2.5%.

Online sportsbooks have been under pressure for months since prediction markets rose to prominence with their new sports contracts. The startups have used their status as federally regulated exchanges to offer sports wagers that circumvent the state laws that have governed online gambling.

While several state gaming regulators have called the products illegal and pushed the companies to shut them down, the startups have plowed ahead and sports bets have come to account for around 90% of the trading volumes on Kalshi. The contracts have gotten wide distribution through Kalshi’s partnership with the retail broker Robinhood. 

“We do believe prediction markets are having an impact on the sports betting companies,” Jordan Bender, equity research analyst at Citizens, said. “The PMs are built around large tentpole events like the NFL playoffs.”

According to Piper Sandler & Co. analysts led by Patrick Moley, last week saw the five highest volume games of the season on Kalshi, with NFL-related bets on the platform hitting a record $720 million. The analysts say the weekend also marked a milestone, as the Chicago Bears’ comeback win over the Green Bay Packers was Kalshi’s first game to exceed $100 million in trading.

The shares of Flutter and DraftKings have recovered somewhat over the last two months after both companies said that they were opening their own prediction market offerings in states where sports gambling is illegal. While the companies rolled out those new apps last month, it is not yet clear if they have gained any traction.

“It’s still early days for the products and Kalshi has a lot more functionality than them at this time, so I would be surprised if they were gaining a lot of traction,” Needham analyst Bernie McTernan said. 

There has been debate within the industry about whether prediction markets could offer real competition for the more established offerings from sportsbooks, particularly in profitable areas like multi-leg parlay bets. A recent report from Citizens Bank estimates the new platforms still only account for 5% of the total wagered on sports in the US. 

“We think prediction markets will expand more than cannibalize traditional online sports betting markets,” Dan Wasiolek, a senior equity analyst at Morningstar said. 

Over the past few months, the New York state data has indicated that online gambling companies have generally been growing their revenues from the previous year.

But the new weekly numbers out of New York suggest that the revenues from traditional sportsbooks dropped 40% year-over-year in the week ending Jan. 11, which included the NFL wild card weekend. This comes at a time when prediction markets have seen surging volumes and garnered significant public attention.    

Needham’s McTernan says that while the stock selloff is mostly due to the New York state data, the sportsbooks also face difficult comparisons. “If you look versus two years ago it doesn’t look as bad,” he adds.



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Trump says he’ll make tech firms pay for power. They’d love to

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US President Donald Trump is calling for an emergency wholesale electricity auction that, his administration says, will force technology companies to pay for the new power they need to run massive AI data centers under construction across the country.

The truth is Amazon.com Inc., Microsoft Corp., Alphabet Inc., Meta Platforms Inc., OpenAI and all the other major tech firms behind the AI data center boom are more than happy to shell out for more electricity generation. And they have been.  

“They have no shortage of money,” said Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Anurag Rana of the tech giants powering the global artificial intelligence race. “They really don’t have a problem with funding this thing.” Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet and Meta collectively spend hundreds of billions of dollars on capital investments annually, far exceeding the budgets of the entire utility segment.

Data center developers have in fact already said they’d like to buy electricity off the nation’s power grids as opposed to signing contracts directly with power generators. That’s because grid rates can be cheaper, grids are equipped with backup resources and such systems can help stabilize supplies during extreme weather events. Hyperscalers have also been signing contracts to help bring back nuclear or build new nuclear.

Either way, the reality is tech companies have been trying to secure power from every source they can find — both on and off the grids — with data center power demand set to triple by 2035. 

Read More: AI Data Center Energy Needs Are Straining Global Power Systems

“We agree data centers should pay their own way,” a Google spokesperson told Bloomberg. “For us, it is table stakes. When built responsibly, data centers can provide long-term, reliable demand that stimulates new investments in energy production and transmission in a way that helps all consumers.”

In calling for an auction, Trump may be solving a public relations problem for tech companies, according to analysts. The industry and their power suppliers have drawn criticism over rising electricity bills and the potential environmental impacts of new plants. An auction like the one Trump’s proposing would allow them to circumvent the political headwinds facing individual projects. 

“This could be a more expeditious way to simply address the issue, as opposed to dealing with all this resistance and problems that are associated with it,” said Paul Patterson, a utility analyst at Glenrock Associates LLC. 

Under Trump’s plan, grid operator PJM Interconnection LLC will hold an auction for tech companies to bid on 15-year contracts for new electricity generation capacity. Such contracts are exactly what data center developers are after, offering “more stability, more certainty and more predictability about what the price is going to be,” Patterson said. 



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As Trump helps Gen Z on student debt, watchdog calls it an ‘incoherent political giveaway’

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The Trump administration’s announcement on Friday of an indefinite pause on the collection of defaulted federal student loan debt, including through the Treasury Offset Program, at least temporarily extends a program that began more than half a decade ago, as a temporary pandemic measure under the first Trump Administration. It has since been extended through both bipartisan legislation and administrative action during the Biden administration.  

The student-debt relief will likely come as relief to many members of Gen Z, who, as Fortune‘s Jacqueline Munis recently reported, average $94,000 in student-loan debt, driving them into “disillusionomics.” Other pundits, notably Kyla Scanlon, have riffed on the concept of “financial nihilism,” as coined by entrepreneur Demetri Kofinas, to describe how Gen Z’s crushing anxiety over their own futures—be it artificial intelligence, the $38 trillion national debt, or any other long-running financial emergency—drive them to destructive behaviors.

Trump, for his part, has been scrambling to address voter concerns about “affordability,” and has been reportedly in close contact, even texting back and forth in what the New York Post calls a “bromance,” with the bard of affordability himself: New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani.

In the opinion of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, though, the nonpartisan watchdog that stresses sustainability in fiscal policy, there is no excuse for this development.

CRFB President Maya MacGuineas called the decision “beyond ridiculous,” coming six years removed from the Covid pandemic that first put a stop to student-debt collections.

“This is an incoherent political giveaway, doubling down on the debt cancelation from the Biden era,” she wrote. “We’re not in a pandemic or financial crisis or deep recession. There’s no justification for emergency action on student debt, and no good reason the for the President to back down on efforts to actually begin collecting debt payments again.”

CRFB estimated that Trump’s pivot away from collections would cost about $5 billion a year in lost revenue.

A new pause, old playbook

Until now, Trump’s second-term team had been moving in the opposite direction, restarting the Treasury Offset Program in May 2025 and preparing to resume wage garnishment for borrowers in default. The new policy abruptly reverses that trajectory by restoring and extending a freeze that critics say was supposed to be temporary and tied to the COVID crisis, not a permanent fixture of higher-education finance.

MacGuineas argued that by blocking collections, the administration risks undermining “historic cost-saving reforms” to the federal student loan program that Congress approved this year to put the system on a more sustainable footing with a “fair repayment system.” She warned that taxpayers will end up paying more while borrowers could ultimately face larger balances, and the wider economy could feel upward pressure on interest rates and inflation.

Clash over Congress’s role

At the heart of the fight is who should shape the future of student lending: Congress or the president acting alone. Lawmakers this year enacted significant reforms meant to trim long-term costs and cement a more predictable repayment framework, and the CRFB credits the Trump administration with implementing those changes “with fiscal costs in mind” until now.

“The student loan program isn’t supposed to be a tool to stimulate the economy or buy votes,” MacGuineas argued, “it’s a way to help millions of students access college.” The White House should work with Congress to reform the collection of defaulted loans if that’s what it really wants to do, “But loans are supposed to be repaid, and the Administration should start collecting,” she added.

The action came just days after Trump took another page out of Mamdani’s democratic socialist playbook, suggesting a 10% cap on credit card interest rates. His former communications director, Anthony Scaramucci, suggested that this “hard-left” move could only have come from one place: his text message bromance with the princeling of Gotham.



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ChatGPT tests ads as a new era of AI begins

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Two days after Google insisted there are no current plans for ads in its Gemini AI app, OpenAI announced Friday that it is starting to test ads in ChatGPT.

OpenAI CEO of applications Fidji Simo said in a blog post that ads will begin appearing at the bottom of the chatbot’s answers for free users and for Go subscribers (who pay $8 a month) in the U.S. in the coming weeks, opening an important new source of revenue for the high-flying startup which has been valued by investors at $500 billion.

It’s a moment many in tech have long viewed as inevitable: Running frontier AI models is brutally expensive, burning through staggering amounts of computing power, electricity, and GPUs. Advertising’s revenue stream is hard to resist. OpenAI expects to generate “low billions” of dollars in revenue this year, and more each year thereafter, the FT reported on Friday citing an unnamed person “close to the company.”

While Google has so far held back from putting ads in its standalone Gemini chatbot app, the company has incorporated ads into the AI Overviews that appear in its online search results, a move viewed as essential as the company seeks to extend its $265 billion a year advertising business into the AI age.

OpenAI said in its blog post that the forthcoming ads will be clearly labeled, and that users’ conversations with ChatGPT would be kept private. “You need to know that your data and conversations are protected and never sold to advertisers,” the company said. “We need to keep a high bar and give you control over your experience so you see truly relevant, high-quality ads—and can turn off personalization if you want.” In addition, it said that ads will not influence ChatGPT’s answers, which it said “are optimized based on what’s most helpful to you.”

OpenAI emphasized that subscriptions remain its long-term priority, and said that the $20 per month Plus and $200 per month Pro subscriptions, as well as the Business Enterprise version of the product, will remain ad-free. “Our enterprise and subscription businesses are already strong, and we believe in having a diverse revenue model where ads can play a part in making intelligence more accessible to everyone,” the company wrote.

Still, the company doubled down on tying the introduction of ads with its overall mission to ensure that advanced general intelligence, or AGI, “benefits all of humanity,” Simo wrote.

In a separate blog post on Friday, OpenAI said that “ads support our commitment to making AI accessible to everyone by helping us keep ChatGPT available at free and affordable price points.”



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