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AI in 2026: CFOs predict transformation, not just efficiency gains

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Artificial intelligence was certainly top of mind for chief financial officers this year. AI-enabled transformation and ROI are key topics of discussion between CFOs, their boards, the broader C-suite, and other stakeholders.

As 2025 draws to a close, it’s time for predictions about what’s to come in the new year. Fortune asked more than a dozen CFOs of prominent companies: How do you think AI will continue to shape finance in 2026?

The finance chiefs broadly expect AI, including agentic AI, to shift from experimentation to proven, enterprise-wide impact, transforming the finance function. At the same time, they stress that success will depend on factors such as strong governance, clean and trusted data, modernized architectures, and human judgment. Overall, they frame AI less as a mere efficiency tool and more as a catalyst to reinvent finance as a proactive, strategic driver of the business.

Below are CFOs’ predictions for 2026:

Gina Mastantuono, president and CFO, ServiceNow: “In 2026, AI will be judged less on promise and more on proof. Enterprises will continue to expect measurable gains in speed, resilience, and decision quality, not pilots and prototypes. The real shift will be enterprise-wide, with AI embedded into how companies plan and allocate capital, operate, serve customers, and manage risk. That level of impact requires trusted data, clear accountability, and leaders willing to redesign how decisions get made. AI will not replace human experience or judgment, but it will quickly expose where it’s missing and reward organizations that connect vision to AI-powered execution at scale.” 

Marie Myers, EVP and CFO, Hewlett Packard Enterprise: “AI isn’t on the horizon; it’s here. In 2026, AI will move beyond experimentation to become a core enabler of finance operations. For HPE, that means our intelligent agents will automate quarterly close, forecasting, and analysis, delivering real-time insights and actionable predictions. Success will hinge on strong governance, human oversight, ROI discipline, and building digital acumen that empowers talent and upskills their expertise in this AI era. In 2026, CFOs need to shift from financial gatekeepers to transformational architects who drive strategy and shape decisions.”

Zane Rowe, CFO, Workday: “There has never been a more exciting time to be a CFO with AI unlocking new opportunities for value creation through unprecedented data and insights. Most of the focus has been on experimentation and discovering the art of the possible, but this year, leaders will shift from ‘What can AI do?’ to ‘How do we build the foundation for scale?’. They will manage a more nuanced AI portfolio that balances launching pilots with rolling out proven solutions, and they will prioritize the unglamorous but critical work of data governance, process redesign, and maintenance of new technologies. Success in 2026 will be defined by how we mature our AI strategy to ensure it is both agile, durable, and enterprise-grade.”

Mandy Fields, CFO, e.l.f. Beauty: “From where a CFO sits, AI simultaneously helps broaden our view to get a better macro picture and can help put a sharper focus on very specific points of interest. e.l.f. Beauty is growing globally, and AI has visibility across it all. Going into next year, we’ll continue to explore how we best leverage AI in finance to lean into its strengths. It’s a pretty similar approach to our high-performance teamwork culture in which we encourage the team to pursue and thrive in the areas where they have expertise, learn continuously and move at e.l.f. speed.”

Scott Grossman, CFO, Ensono, a managed IT services company: “Historically, AI struggled with the complexity of financial data, but 2026 will mark a turning point. Advances in generative AI and predictive analytics will enable finance teams to move beyond automation toward real-time insights and scenario modeling. AI will help CFOs anticipate risks, optimize capital allocation, and improve decision-making with unprecedented speed and accuracy. The future of finance is not just about crunching numbers, but rather about transforming data into strategic foresight.” 

Joy Mbanugo, CFO, CXApp Inc., an AI-powered enterprise workplace experience platform: “At full potential, AI enables finance teams to run hundreds or thousands of M&A scenarios before the first board discussion; predict customer churn before it impacts revenue; stress-test capital allocation decisions across dozens of macroeconomic environments; and identify the small subset of R&D investments most likely to generate the majority of returns. The real unlock is moving finance from reporting what happened to shaping what happens next. The hard truth: if AI is only being used to do the same work faster, its value is being underutilized. The real power comes from doing different work, strategic work that drives outcomes, not just efficiency. AI in finance isn’t just about speed. It’s about transformation.”

Mike Weiner, CFO, Genpact, a business services and technology company: “In 2026, AI won’t be a future concept for finance; it will be a business necessity. Leaders will need to move beyond pilots and start treating AI and agentic systems as real team members that take on work and drive outcomes. At Genpact, we’re already seeing this shift. Our agentic accounts payable solutions are enabling more accurate, autonomous data capture, greater touchless processing, better cash visibility, and stronger supplier relationships, while reducing costs for both our clients and ourselves as Client Zero. Success will require continuing to rethink processes, data, talent, and ways of working.”

Michael Bourque, CFO, Convera, a B2B cross-border payments company: “AI will shape finance in 2026 more by helping leaders operate in a higher-cost, higher-volatility world. As cheap capital remains off the table, CFOs will lean on AI to optimize liquidity, manage debt, and prioritize spending with tighter margins. With currency volatility becoming the baseline through early 2026, AI-driven models will be critical for monitoring FX exposure and adjusting strategies in real time. As growth is increasingly driven by government spending rather than consumers, finance teams will use AI to assess policy impacts and sector-specific risk. Most importantly, AI will support scenario planning, enabling CFOs to run multiple forecasts and stay flexible amid uncertainty.”

Evan Goldstein, CFO, Seismic, a sales and revenue AI-powered platform: “AI will continue to force finance leaders to enact more discipline around how technology investments are evaluated and measured. Simply put, the era of buying AI for AI’s sake is over. CFOs will remain willing to invest in AI but will require clarity on how it’s tied to business outcomes like improved efficiency, productivity, or sustainable growth. There’s no universal metric for AI ROI, as success depends on the function and problem being solved. Whether it’s reducing front office administrative time or improving sales conversion rates, finance leaders will increasingly demand clear, operational proof of value before expanding AI spend.”

Jason Godley, CFO at Xactly, an intelligence revenue platform: “2026 will be the year when the lines around disparate software applications truly blur. Traditionally, software systems have generally served a single leader, like a CFO or CMO, instead of a broader set of business stakeholders. Since a CFO’s mission is to help run a business—not just a budget – the core finance and accounting systems will enter a phase of end-to-end connectivity, visibility, flexibility, and interconnectedness with all business applications across departments, like marketing, sales, and supply chain. The orchestration of these systems, data, and workflows through the use of generative AI will serve to augment end-to-end visibility and cross-functional scenario analysis, planning, and reporting.”

John Schwab, CFO, Vertex Inc., an indirect tax software provider:”In 2026, AI will move finance from retrospective reporting to real-time decision making. Embedded in ERP, agentic AI will accelerate the close, sharpen forecasting and cash visibility, and automate controls and compliance, cutting manual work while improving auditability. The real differentiator is governed data and operating models that keep humans in the loop and tie AI to measurable outcomes and risk standards. CFOs who modernize architecture and skills will convert pilots into durable productivity, faster cycle times, and stronger margins.”

Kevin Rhodes, CFO, Extreme Networks, an AI-powered cloud networking: “For CFOs and finance leaders, it’s going to become absolutely critical to have some level of AI literacy and an ability to identify use cases to improve productivity in your organization. It’s not just a matter of knowing how to use it, but understanding how to evaluate potential investments in AI platforms, lead and guide your teams in adoption, and assess which areas will be impacted by AI deployments. We’re advancing toward a future where nearly every business decision will involve AI, and having that background will be key for success at all levels, but particularly for leaders. It’s likely that, given our projected AI-powered future, AI-illiterate leaders will disappear in the next few years.”

Conor Tieney, CFO, AEye, Inc., a provider of lidar and intelligent perception software: “Right now, many CFOs are holding off on broad AI adoption because the market is saturated with overlapping tools and unclear value propositions. Consolidation needs to happen before widespread implementation. In 2026, AI will continue to disrupt low-value, transactional activities, freeing teams to focus on higher-value strategic work. But success depends on fixing foundational systems; layering AI over broken processes won’t deliver results. Predictive analytics and competitive benchmarking will become essential, enabling CFOs to anticipate market shifts and optimize decisions with speed and precision. Those who embrace streamlined, integrated AI solutions will gain a clear competitive edge.”



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How AI is redefining finance leadership: ‘There has never been a more exciting time to be a CFO’

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Good morning. This year has shown that AI isn’t just a buzzword anymore—it’s redefining finance. 

In covering AI, I’ve spoken with CFOs across industries who are focused on value creation and developing real-world use cases for AI to reshape everything from forecasting and financial planning to strategic decision-making. As data moves faster than ever, finance leaders are asking a new question: not what AI could do, but how it can truly transform the enterprise. I’ve also talked with industry experts and researchers about topics ranging from the ROI of AI to “prompt-a-thons” and debates over whether AI will turn CFOs into chief capital officers.

Finance chiefs are signaling the next big evolution—2026 will be the year of enterprise-scale AI. Pilot programs and proofs of concept are giving way to avenues for full-scale deployment as CFOs expect AI to deliver measurable value: faster decisions, leaner operations, and predictive insights that can provide a competitive edge. However, that level of transformation comes with new demands—governance, data integrity, and human oversight matter more than ever.

I recently asked finance chiefs from leading companies how they expect AI to redefine what it means to lead in finance. For instance, Zane Rowe, CFO at Workday, told me: “There has never been a more exciting time to be a CFO with AI unlocking new opportunities for value creation through unprecedented data and insights. Most of the focus has been on experimentation and discovering the art of the possible, but this year, leaders will shift from ‘What can AI do?’ to ‘How do we build the foundation for scale?’ They will manage a more nuanced AI portfolio that balances launching pilots with rolling out proven solutions, and they will prioritize the unglamorous but critical work of data governance, process redesign, and maintenance of new technologies. Success in 2026 will be defined by how we mature our AI strategy to ensure it is both agile, durable, and enterprise-grade.”

Shifting from the perspective of a major tech company to a beauty and cosmetics leader, Mandy Fields, CFO at e.l.f. Beauty offered this prediction: “From where a CFO sits, AI simultaneously helps broaden our view to get a better macro picture and can help put a sharper focus on very specific points of interest. e.l.f. Beauty is growing globally, and AI has visibility across it all. Going into next year, we’ll continue to explore how we best leverage AI in finance to lean into its strengths. It’s a pretty similar approach to our high-performance teamwork culture in which we encourage the team to pursue and thrive in the areas where they have expertise, learn continuously and move at e.l.f. speed.”

You can read more insights from over a dozen CFOs on how AI will shape finance in 2026 in my complete article here.

This is the final CFO Daily of 2025. The next issue will land in your inbox on Jan. 5. Thank you for your readership—and wishing you a wonderful holiday season. See you in 2026!

Sheryl Estrada
sheryl.estrada@fortune.com

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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How about $1.7 billion in your stocking for Christmas? Powerball’s 46 straight draws with no winner bring Yuletide greetings

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A Christmas Eve Powerball drawing could add new meaning to holiday cheer as millions of players hope to cash in on the $1.7 billion prize, which comes after months without a jackpot winner.

The United States’ 4th-largest jackpot on record comes after 46 consecutive draws without someone claiming to have all six numbers. The last contest with a jackpot winner was on Sept. 6. The game’s long odds have people decking the halls and doling out $2 — and sometimes more — for tickets ahead of Wednesday night’s live drawing.

It’s a sign the game is operating as intended. Lottery officials made the odds tougher in 2015 as a mechanism for snowballing jackpots, all the while making it easier to win smaller prizes.

The Christmas holiday is not expected to impact the drawing process should there be a winning ticket, a Powerball spokesperson said.

Here is what to know about Wednesday’s drawing:

Christmas Eve cha-ching

That ticket placed in a stocking or under the tree could be worth a billion bucks — but with some caveats.

Powerball is played in 45 states, along with Washington, D.C., Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Most of those areas require players to be 18 or older, though some states have steeper requirements. In Nebraska, players have to be at least 19 years old, and in Louisiana and Arizona, people can’t buy tickets until they are 21.

Winning tickets also must be cashed in the states where they were bought. And players can’t buy tickets in Alabama, Alaska, Hawaii, Nevada or Utah.

Other than that, lottery officials argue there is a chance a lucky Powerball ticket could be a gift that keeps on giving.

Charlie McIntyre, the New Hampshire Lottery’s executive director, said Tuesday: “Just think of the stories you can tell for generations to come about the year you woke up a billionaire on Christmas.”

A range of prizes can be presents

Wednesday’s $1.7 billion jackpot has a cash value of $781.3 million.

A winner can choose to be paid the whole amount through an annuity, with an immediate payment and then annual payments over 29 years that increase by 5% each time. Most winners, however, usually choose the cash value for a lump sum.

The odds are high for the top prize, but there are smaller prizes players can reap.

At the last drawing, players in Florida, Georgia, Illinois, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee and Wisconsin each won $1 million. There are also prizes outside the jackpot, ranging from a few dollars to $2 million.

One woman told Powerball officials that she already made plans for her $1 million win: “We’re going to pay off our cars and credit cards and get a bigger house!”

And Thomas Anderson of Burlington, North Carolina, said he intended to use his $100,000 Powerball win from earlier this month to go back to school, according to Powerball.

Long odds for the billion-dollar jackpots

Lottery officials set the odds at 1 in 292.2 million in hopes that jackpots will roll over with each of the three weekly drawings until the pool balloons so much that more people take notice and play.

The odds used to be notably better, at 1 in 175 million. But the game was made tougher in 2015 to create the out-of-this-world bounties. The tougher odds partly helped set the stage for back-to-back record-breaking sweepstakes this year.

The last time someone won the Powerball pot was on Sept. 6, when players in Missouri and Texas won $1.787 billion, which was the second-highest top prize in U.S. history.

The U.S. has seen more than a dozen lottery jackpot prizes exceed $1 billion since 2016. The biggest U.S. jackpot ever was $2.04 billion back in 2022.

More about those unfavorable odds

It’s hard to explain what odds of 1 in 292.2 million mean. Even if halved, they remain difficult to digest.

In the past, one math professor described the odds of flipping a coin and getting heads 28 straight times.

Tim Chartier, a Davidson College math professor in North Carolina, on Monday compared the odds of a winning lottery ticket to selecting one marked dollar bill from a stack 19 miles (31 kilometers) high.

“It’s true that if you buy 100 tickets, you are 100 times more likely to win. But in this case, ‘100 times more likely’ barely moves the probability needle,” Chartier said. “Using the time analogy, buying 100 tickets is like getting 100 guesses to name that one chosen second over nine years. Possible — but wildly improbable.”

___

Olivia Diaz is a corps member for The Associated Press/Report for America Statehouse News Initiative. Report for America is a nonprofit national service program that places journalists in local newsrooms to report on undercovered issues.



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Trump just declared Christmas Eve a national holiday. Here’s what’s open and closed?

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President Donald Trump delivered an early gift to the federal workforce, signing an executive order that effectively grants a five-day weekend to hundreds of thousands of government employees. The order, signed last Thursday, designates both Wednesday, Dec. 24, and Friday, Dec. 26, as federal holidays for 2025.

While the move is a boon for morale within the executive branch—closing non-essential agencies from Christmas Eve through the following Sunday—it creates a complex patchwork of operating hours for the private sector and quasi-governmental services.

“All executive departments and agencies of the Federal Government shall be closed and their employees excused from duty on Wednesday, December 24, 2025, and Friday, December 26, 2025,” the executive order says, although it includes a crucial caveat allowing agency heads to keep offices open for “reasons of national security, defense, or other public need.”

While the move is generous, it’s not without precedent. Presidents often issue executive orders closing the government on Christmas Eve when it falls mid-week. Trump did this in 2018, 2019, and 2020. President Barack Obama also closed the government on Dec. 26 in 2014. However, securing both surrounding days is a rarity. And crucially, Trump’s executive order does not not legally compel banks, markets, or private enterprises to close.

With all that said, here’s what’s open and closed on December 24th.

Government services & mail

While most federal offices—such as Social Security Administration field offices and passport agencies—will be dark, the U.S. Postal Service (USPS) is an exception. Despite being a federal establishment, USPS operations are largely funded by revenue rather than tax dollars. Post offices are expected to remain open on Christmas Eve (likely with shortened retail hours) and resume normal operations on Dec. 26. Mail will be delivered on both days, though not on Christmas Day.

Financial markets

Wall Street is not taking the extra days off. The New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq will operate on a modified schedule:

  • Dec. 24: Open, with an early close at 1:00 p.m. ET.
  • Dec. 25: Closed.
  • Dec. 26: Open for a full trading day.

Banks

The Federal Reserve has not adopted the additional holidays for its banking operations. Consequently, most major banks (Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo) will remain open on Christmas Eve and Dec. 26. Customers should expect branches to close early on the 24th, but online banking and ATMs will function normally.

Shipping & logistics

For businesses rushing last-minute inventory, carriers have diverged on their post-Christmas plans:

  • FedEx: Expects to be fully operational on Dec. 26, though some freight services may run on a modified schedule.
  • UPS: Has announced no pickup or delivery service for Dec. 26, treating it effectively as a holiday extension alongside Christmas Day.

Private sector & retail

Major retailers like Walmart and Target are unaffected by the federal closure. They will generally be open for last-minute shoppers on Christmas Eve, closed Christmas Day, and fully open for returns and sales on Dec. 26.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com



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