Gen Z has a message for America: We don’t trust you. A long-running poll conducted by the Harvard Kennedy School, considered the “gold standard” by many, offers up a disquieting conclusion. The 51st edition of the Harvard Youth Poll finds a generation defined by economic insecurity, deep anxiety about the future, and a corrosive distrust of the institutions that are supposed to help them thrive. For Gen Z and young millennials, instability is not a passing phase of early adulthood, but the organizing principle of daily life.
Young Americans in the fall edition of the poll report say their lives and futures feel unstable, marked by deep economic anxiety, eroding trust in institutions, and fraying social bonds. The survey of 2,040 young people, ages 18 to 29, depicts a cohort that is pessimistic about the country’s direction and skeptical that political leaders or systems are working for them.
Only a small share of young Americans think the country is headed in the right direction, while a clear majority say the United States is on the wrong track, or are unsure where it is going at all. Behind that pessimism is money: More than four in 10 young people (43%) say they are struggling or getting by with only limited financial security, echoing similar findings from Harvard’s spring survey earlier this year. High housing costs, rising prices, and student debt have turned what older generations once framed as a time of exploration into a period of relentless financial triage.
Economic unease also cuts across traditional political and cultural divides. Pollsters and outside analysts note that anxiety about making ends meet now serves as a rare unifying experience for young adults, whether they live in cities or small towns, or lean left or right. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has agreed about the economic struggles for young people, saying in September that “kids coming out of college and younger people, minorities, are having a hard time finding jobs.”
Economy, work, and AI
Economic insecurity is central: Many young adults worry about making ends meet, affording housing, and finding stable, meaningful work. Layered onto that economic fragility is a fear that the future of work itself is slipping away.
Large numbers of young respondents view artificial intelligence less as a tool and more as a looming threat to their job prospects and long-term careers. In the poll, concerns about AI’s impact on employment outrank worries about immigration and rival more traditional anxieties about trade or regulation.
That perspective represents a striking reversal of the usual generational script. Younger Americans are often assumed to be early adopters and natural optimists about new technology, but the Harvard findings suggest they increasingly associate innovation with precarity: unstable schedules, algorithmic layoffs, and work that feels less meaningful. For many, the question is no longer how technology will expand opportunity, but how long it will be before it makes them redundant.
Trust in institutions and politics
The survey shows that this economic and technological uncertainty is feeding a broader collapse of faith in public life. Confidence in government, political parties, and the mainstream media is low, with many young Americans seeing these institutions as threats to their well-being rather than as sources of stability. Even institutions that fare relatively better, such as colleges, do so against a backdrop of skepticism that leaders of any kind will act in young people’s interests.
Trust in major institutions continues to erode, with colleges and immigrants seen relatively more positively while entities such as mainstream media, political parties, and other core institutions are often viewed as risks rather than assets. President Trump and both major political parties receive poor ratings from young Americans, and although Democrats hold an advantage for the 2026 elections, that edge reflects reluctance about alternatives more than genuine enthusiasm.
Donald Trump, now in his second term, fares poorly among this age group, but the poll also documents “deeply negative” views of both major parties. A plurality of respondents say they would prefer Democratic control of Congress in upcoming elections, yet that preference appears driven more by resignation than by genuine enthusiasm. Politics, in other words, feels less like a vehicle for change and more like an arena in which no one is truly on their side.
The poll may have a left-wing bias, as the Harvard Crimson reported on how it overestimated support for the Democratic president in both the 2020 and 2024 elections. The Harvard Youth Poll uses the Ipsos Knowledge Panel, a survey considered to be of high quality, indexed to probability, but these are built up over several years and can fail to catch rapidly shifting dynamics, such as a young-male shift to Trump in 2024. Still, this edition of the poll shows a disaffected youth, regardless of political affiliation.
Social trust, discourse, and vaccines
Harvard’s researchers warn that this distrust extends beyond institutions to the social fabric itself. Many young Americans report avoiding political conversations for fear of backlash and doubt that people who disagree with them still want what is best for the country. Social connection is thin: Earlier surveys in the same series found only a small minority feel deeply connected to their communities, and the new data suggest those patterns are hardening rather than easing.
Most young Americans reject political violence, but a nontrivial minority expresses conditional openness to it, linked more to financial strain, institutional distrust, and social alienation than to clear ideological extremism. This significant minority says it could be acceptable if the government violates individual rights—a view the report links less to ideology than to financial strain and alienation. Polling director John Della Volpe has described instability as the thread running through nearly every response, warning that a generation raised through crisis after crisis is now openly questioning whether American democracy and the economy can deliver for them at all.
For this story, Fortune journalists used generative AI as a research tool. An editor verified the accuracy of the information before publishing.
The CEO of the world’s most valuable company didn’t learn about America through elite universities or tech incubators. His education started in a rural Kentucky boarding school where the students smoked, carried knives, and the youngest student on campus, at 9 years old, was assigned to clean the toilets.
That student was Jensen Huang.
In a recent podcast appearance with Joe Rogan, the Nvidia CEO traced that improbable starting point back to his parents, who had sent him and his brother to the United States in the mid-1970s with almost nothing. The family had been living in Bangkok during one of Thailand’s periodic coups, and his parents decided it was no longer safe to keep the children there. They contacted an uncle they had never visited in Tacoma, Wash., and asked him to find a school in America that would accept two foreign boys with almost no savings.
He found one: Oneida Baptist Institute in Clay County, Ken., one of the poorest counties in the country then and now. The dorms had no closet doors, no locks, and a population of kids who smoked constantly–Huang said he also tried smoking for a week, at 9 —and settled disputes with knives. Huang’s roommate was a 17-year-old wrapped in tape from a recent fight; the “toughest kid in school,” he said. Every student had a job. His brother, was sent to the tobacco fields the school ran to fund the school—“kind of like a penitentiary”—while Huang became the janitor, cleaning the bathrooms for a hundred teenaged boys (“I just wished they would be a bit more careful” in the bathroom, he joked.)
That indefatigable cheerfulness, even when describing scenes that sound brutal to almost anyone else, ran through the entire interview.
Huang said most of his memories from that period were good, and remembers the time he told his parents his amazement after eating at a restaurant: “Mom and dad, we went to the most amazing restaurant today. This whole place is lit up. It’s like the future. And the food comes in a box and the food is incredible. The hamburger is incredible.”
“It was McDonald’s,” Huang laughed.
Indeed, these memories were relayed to his parents late; the boys were navigating all of this alone. International phone calls were too expensive, so his parents bought them a cheap tape deck. Once a month, they recorded an audio letter describing their lives in coal country and mailed it back to Bangkok. Their parents taped over the same cassette and mailed it back.
Two years later, Huang’s parents finally made it to America, with just suitcases and only a bit of money. His mother worked as a maid. His father, a trained engineer, looked for work by circling openings in the newspaper classifieds and calling whoever picked up. He eventually found a job at a consulting engineering firm designing factories and refineries.
“They left everything behind,” Huang said. “They started over in their late thirties.”
He still carries one memory from those early years that he said “breaks my heart.” Not long after his parents arrived in the U.S., the family was living in a rented, furnished apartment when he and his brother accidentally broke a flimsy particle-board coffee table.
“I just still remember the look on my mom’s face,” he said. “They didn’t have any money, and she didn’t know how she was going to pay it back.”
For Huang, moments like that define the stakes his parents accepted when they came to the U.S. “with almost no money”.
“My parents are incredible,” he said. “It’s hard not to love this country. It’s hard not to be romantic about this country.”
That way of seeing America—as a place where people will give you a chance if you’re willing to take one—is how Huang explains Nvidia’s early, unlikely bets.
Huang came up with the idea for Nvidia while sitting in a booth at a Denny’s, where he had worked first as a dishwasher and then a busboy. He wanted to build a chip that could power 3D graphics on a personal computer, and it was at that Denny’s booth that he met two friends to sketch out what would become the company.
Long before the company became synonymous with the AI boom, Huang kept steering it toward ideas that few people understood and even fewer believed in. CUDA was one of them. When Nvidia introduced it in 2006, the cost of the chip roughly doubled, revenue did not move, and the company’s valuation fell from about $12 billion to between $2 and $3 billion.
“When I launched CUDA, the audience was complete silence,” he said. “Nobody wanted it. Nobody asked for it. Nobody understood it.”
CUDA is the software layer that turns the graphics chips into general purpose compute engines, making them capable of large neural networks. Now, of course, nearly every major AI model today runs on hardware that depends on CUDA.
The same thing happened when he introduced Nvidia’s first AI supercomputer, the DGX1. The launch drew “complete silence,” he said, and there were no purchase orders. The only person who reached out was none other than Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who told him he had “a nonprofit AI lab” that needed a system like this.
Huang assumed that meant the deal was impossible.
“All the blood drained out of my face,” he told Rogan. “A nonprofit is not buying a $300,000 computer.”
But Musk, the world’s richest man, insisted. So Huang boxed up one of the first units, loaded it into his car, and drove it to San Francisco himself.
In 2016, he walked into a small upstairs room filled with researchers— Berkeley robotics pioneer Pieter Abbeel, OpenAI cofounder Ilya Sutskever, and others—working in a cramped little office. That room turned out to be OpenAI, long before it became the most discussed AI organization in the world. Huang left the DGX1 with them and drove home.
Looking back, even as the CEO of a $4.5 trillion company who now draws crowds and autograph-seekers wherever he goes, he doesn’t describe any of this as foresight or heroism. To him, it’s simply the continuation of the risks his parents took when they sent two boys across the world with almost nothing.
“We really believed it, and so if you believe in that future, and you don’t do anything about it you’re going to regret it for your life,” Huang said.
Good morning. When experienced employees leave–whether they get laid off, or jump ship for a better opportunity–they take their years, if not decades, of experience with them. Over time, the company loses that institutional knowledge.
Nintendo, the Japanese video game giant, is an example. Its Japanese employees spend an average of 15 years at the company, which boasts a yearly retention rate of 98%. That’s not just better than the layoff-prone video game industry, it’s better than most of Japan. The average Japanese worker spends 11 years at their company; in the U.S., that number is closer to four.
“The people who first made Nintendo’s hits are still working at the company,” Keza MacDonald, the author of Super Nintendo, a forthcoming book about the developer, told me recently. “For the last 50 years, these people have been passing down knowledge and training up a new generation of Nintendo creatives.”
Both Nintendo’s business and creative leaders have long tenures at the company. Current president Shuntaro Furakawa joined the company in 1994 as an accountant. Shigeru Miyamoto, the brains behind franchises like “Super Mario” and “The Legend of Zelda,” joined as a staff artist in 1977.
There is a risk that companies that rely too much on institutional knowledge get stuck in their ways. Yet Nintendo, according to MacDonald, has combined institutional knowledge with fresh ideas to continuously replenish its pipeline of fun games: “It’s not like the oldest guy gets to decide what’s a good idea and what isn’t. Everyone puts ideas in.”
Nintendo has its share of flops, failed experiments, and puzzling business decisions–as does every firm. Yet the company maintains its share of the highly competitive video game industry against bigger, deeper-pocketed rivals like Sony and Microsoft.
The few designers who’ve left Nintendo still have fond feelings about their time there. As Lee Schuneman, a former Nintendo game designer and now Efekta Education Group’s chief product officer, told our Brainstorm Design audience this week, “I got to work with some of the most talented game designers in the world, including people like [Shigeru Miyamoto] at Nintendo, and [learn] a whole range of lessons about how to make playful experiences.”
That goodwill may be the result of Nintendo avoiding the industry’s boom-bust churn and valuing the expertise its workforce accumulates.
Nintendo “is still, to this day, making games differently from everyone else,” MacDonald says. You can check out the rest of our mainstage sessions from Brainstorm Design here.—Nicholas Gordon
The online streamer and the maker of the Superman and Harry Potter franchises are expected to announce a sale of Warner’s studios and HBO Max business to Netflix, the WSJ reports. Paramount Skydance chief David Ellison lobbied the White House against the deal even though Netflix offered a richer valuation, according to the New York Post.
“China’s Nvidia” stages IPO
Moore Threads, a maker of GPUs based in Beijing went public today at a valuation of $1.1 billion and its stock rose by 400% on day one.
$10 billion a week on U.S. national debt
The calendar year may have a few weeks left to tick off, but as far as the government’s budget is concerned, we’re in fiscal 2026. The Treasury has already paid out a 12-figure sum to service the nation’s debt. Unlike the tax and calendar year, the government’s financial calendar runs to the end of September. According to Treasury data, in the nine weeks since, it has spent $104 billion in interest on its $38 trillion borrowing burden. That’s more than $11 billion a week, and already represents 15% of federal spending in the current fiscal year.
Poor labor data may have locked in Fed cut
Analysts may not have necessarily digested this week’s lackluster labor data with glee—but it sure didn’t dampen their spirits either. Wall Street is hoping for a Christmas miracle with a final interest rate cut from the Fed, bringing the base rate down to 3.5% to 3.75%, and recent jobs reports may just have sealed the deal.
U.S. lobbied against E.U. seizing Russian money
American officials urged Europe not to use frozen Russian assets as the basis of loans that would fund Ukraine’s defense against Moscow’s invasion of its Eastern flank. The funds could be used as an incentive to end the war, Washington argued.
Analysts are publishing their notoriously unreliable annual stock market forecasts and this year nine investment banks are guessing that the market will rise about 10% in 2026.
The markets
S&P 500 futures were up 0.17% this morning. The last session closed up 0.11%. STOXX Europe 600 was up 0.18% in early trading. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 was up 0.19% in early trading. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was down 1.05%. China’s CSI 300 was up 0.84%. The South Korea KOSPI was up 1.78%. India’s NIFTY 50 is up 0.55%. Bitcoin fell to $91.4K.
After natural gas producer BKV expanded into the power business, the company went on its IPO roadshow two years ago and was met with suspicion and ridicule about its then-unusual business model. It’s rare—and uncomfortable for shareholders—for oil and gas producers to take over power plants that require very different skillsets. They’re both hydrocarbon industries, but drilling and extracting from the earth and producing electricity require completely different business models and technologies.
“I went to a very large institutional investor and explained our gas-to-power strategy in our business, and I got berated for like 30 minutes about how it was such a foolish thing for me to go into power,” BKV founder and CEO Chris Kalnin told Fortune.
Fast forward to today, and BKV’s stock has spiked 50% since going public in September 2024—rising from a small cap to a mid-market cap value of $2.5 billion. BKV is on the brink of making a deal with a hyperscaler to provide immediate gas-fired power to an AI data center campus and continue, according to analysts, before buying and building more power plants.
“It was a pretty controversial decision for us to buy power. It’s been, honestly, one of our best investments ever,” Kalnin said. “Hyperscalers need more generation. They used to talk about hundreds of megawatts. Now the conversations start with gigawatts. Can you give me gigawatts?”
“We’re going to have to build power plants. If they want gigawatt power, we’re going to have to add more power,” he said.
BKV was founded a decade ago in partnership with Thailand’s Banpu Power—BKV being short for Banpu Kalnin Ventures—so there was some built-in power expertise. After focusing on natural gas production, four years ago BKV started buying up two power plants in Temple, Texas—located between Austin and Dallas—which now provide a total of 1.5 gigawatts of electricity generation capacity—enough to power more than 1.1 million homes, or a major data center campus. There is room to expand.
BKV is in the process of increasing its ownership stake in the joint venture with Banpu from 50% to 75%—slated to close in the first quarter—to double down on the power business and to better disclose the financials to investors, now that BKV is public, Kalnin said.
Tim Rezvan, energy analyst for KeyBanc Capital Markets, said the new AI data center market is naturally finding its way to BKV and its power plants, as opposed to BKV chasing a boom from behind.
“It’s a lot of skill and a little bit of luck on top of that to take that power plant when they did,” Rezvan said. “They’re really in the catbird seat because they control these merchant power plants that can redirect power, in theory, the next day. The market is eagerly waiting to hear what’s going to happen with a potential, behind-the-meter deal with a hyperscaler.”
Despite BKV continuing to grow as a gas producer, Rezvan said the power segment is now a majority of the value of the stock and 90% of what investors want to talk about.
BKV also has one of the most advanced carbon capture and storage programs in the energy sector to deliver the power more cleanly, which may be especially inviting to Big Tech.
“The ability to deliver almost an carbon-neutral natural gas molecule—and then they can tie that in with the big hyperscaler—is a unique suite of services they can offer carbon-conscious consumers of power,” Rezvan said.
Birthplace of shale
An alum of McKinsey, Kalnin first connected to Banpu through that network. Banpu wanted to invest in U.S. shale gas after seeing the U.S. ship cheap natural gas to Asia in the early days of the shale boom.
The industry’s modern drilling and hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, techniques were pioneered in the Barnett Shale near Dallas, but those companies quickly fled the more mature Barnett to Louisiana’s Haynesville Shale, Pennsylvania’s Marcellus Shale and, eventually, West Texas’ oily Permian Basin.
As everyone was moving out of the Barnett, BKV bought in cheaply and, over time, became the dominant player there. “The Barnett was heavily undervalued relative to its risk,” Kalnin said. “The only way you find deep value is you see something that other people don’t see in the fundamental value. And so that’s the origin story of BKV.”
“Basically, all the players left the Barnett in that 2010 timeframe and went to other plays. Those plays have evolved how you fracked, and how you drill, and how you do directional drilling, and how you target [gas] zones. None of that technology was reapplied back to the Barnett,” he said. Now, BKV is taking those advanced drilling and fracking techniques and getting much more value from the Barnett than was believed possible, he said.
A lot of gas goes toward power generation, so Kalnin saw that as a natural extension. Borrowing on his McKinsey background, Kalnin said he sought to identify “mega trends” and take advantage. “It’s the idea of a glacier moving in a direction, and you can’t stop it. The idea is you want to get into that path or get the benefit from that trend. You’re not going to figure out all the nuances, but you’re going to get the direction correct if you think through it deeply.”
“Natural gas is the baseload of U.S. power, and not just as a bridging fuel, but actually as a core fuel for the future,” Kalnin said. “Most of the research at the time was showing that it was going to be all renewables. I called absolutely BS on that, and I said I’m going to double down on gas.”
Kalnin admittedly did not foresee the AI data center boom, but he did see the need for more power from population growth and greater electrification and manufacturing.
“We saw the trend,” he said. “And then, of course, the AI train has kicked things into high gear.”
What’s next?
BKV just expanded in the Barnett through a $370 million acquisition from Bedrock Energy Partners, and the company is launching another carbon capture project next year as part of its “Barnett Zero” emissions effort.
But the real focus is on power and attracting a hyperscaler. The pitch is for “closed-loop, net-zero power” from the gas fields and pipelines to the power plants and carbon capture.
“Not only do we have the power side, we can do the pipelines, we can do the gas, we can do the grid connection, we can do the whole thing soup-to-nuts in one company, and, by the way, we can decarbonize it with carbon capture,” Kalnin said.
“I can give somebody a fixed power price for 20 years because we can produce and sell the gas to ourselves and fix the gas price. Think about the ability to do that with a hyperscaler.”
Rezvan agrees. But, if BKV hasn’t signed a major power deal in the next six months or so, investors may start to get antsy.
“There will be some pressure to deliver,” Rezvan said. “The question is, why would a mega-cap tech company partner with a small energy company? The answer is because they have power right now. It’s not a greenfield project that would take many years. They could literally turn around and deliver that power in short order.
“This is a power-starved market. The ability to deliver on short notice is what gets them a deal I believe.”